A population-based estimation of breast cancer recurrence in northeast Italy with administrative healthcare databases

Background/Aim: Information on the long-term frequency of recurrence is of paramount importance for the increasing number of women living several years after breast cancer (BC) diagnosis and for their caregivers.The study aims to estimate the cumulative incidence of recurrence until 10 years after d...

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Main Authors: Fabiola Giudici, Federica Toffolutti, Stefano Guzzinati, Francesco Schettini, Marina Bortul, Silvia Francisci, Manuel Zorzi, Sara De Vidi, Daniela Pierannunzio, Luigino Dal Maso
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Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-08-01
Series:Breast
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960977625005041
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author Fabiola Giudici
Federica Toffolutti
Stefano Guzzinati
Francesco Schettini
Marina Bortul
Silvia Francisci
Manuel Zorzi
Sara De Vidi
Daniela Pierannunzio
Luigino Dal Maso
author_facet Fabiola Giudici
Federica Toffolutti
Stefano Guzzinati
Francesco Schettini
Marina Bortul
Silvia Francisci
Manuel Zorzi
Sara De Vidi
Daniela Pierannunzio
Luigino Dal Maso
author_sort Fabiola Giudici
collection DOAJ
description Background/Aim: Information on the long-term frequency of recurrence is of paramount importance for the increasing number of women living several years after breast cancer (BC) diagnosis and for their caregivers.The study aims to estimate the cumulative incidence of recurrence until 10 years after diagnosis in Italian women diagnosed with BC using population-based cancer registries. Methods: Women diagnosed with stage I to III BC during 2004–2010 from Friuli Venezia Giulia and Veneto (Italy) cancer registries were included (n = 5825). Recurrence status after a disease-free period was ascertained through individual-level linked databases using treatment or procedure codes from claims. Cumulative incidence of recurrence was calculated in the presence of competing risks (second cancer or death). Results: During a median follow-up of 13.5 years, 1522 out of 5825 women experienced a recurrence with an estimated 10-years cumulative incidence of 20.8 % (95 %CI:19.7–21.8 %), decreasing from 23.7 % in 2004–2006 to 18.5 % in 2007–2010. Women younger than 40 years (40.5 %), with stage III (41.8 %) and triple-negative BC (32.5 %) showed a higher 10-year incidence of recurrence.At 10 years after a BC diagnosis, 83.9 % of women were alive: 67.5 % without any cancer-related events, 12.4 % after recurrence and 4.0 % after second primary cancer. 10-years survival was higher than 90 % for women with stage I BC and 58.1 % for those with stage III (3.2 % and 27.3 % deaths after recurrence, respectively). Discussion: This Italian study provide detailed population-based information on the incidence of recurrence and other outcomes after BC and may be replicated in other Italian and European areas.
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spelling doaj-art-ee406f4e1912435db46c9167a11d63352025-08-20T03:27:58ZengElsevierBreast1532-30802025-08-018210448710.1016/j.breast.2025.104487A population-based estimation of breast cancer recurrence in northeast Italy with administrative healthcare databasesFabiola Giudici0Federica Toffolutti1Stefano Guzzinati2Francesco Schettini3Marina Bortul4Silvia Francisci5Manuel Zorzi6Sara De Vidi7Daniela Pierannunzio8Luigino Dal Maso9Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCS, Aviano, Italy; Corresponding author. Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCS, Via Franco Gallini 2, 33081, Aviano, PN, Italy.Cancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCS, Aviano, ItalyEpidemiological Department, Azienda Zero, Padua, ItalyTranslational Genomics and Targeted Therapies in Solid Tumors, August Pi i Sunyer Biomedical Research Institute (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain; Medical Oncology Department, Hospital Clinic of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain; Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, SpainDivision of General Surgery, Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Breast Unit, Cattinara University Hospital, Trieste, ItalyFaculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, SpainEpidemiological Department, Azienda Zero, Padua, ItalyCancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCS, Aviano, ItalyNational Centre for Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, National Institute of Health, Rome, ItalyCancer Epidemiology Unit, Centro di Riferimento Oncologico di Aviano (CRO) IRCCS, Aviano, ItalyBackground/Aim: Information on the long-term frequency of recurrence is of paramount importance for the increasing number of women living several years after breast cancer (BC) diagnosis and for their caregivers.The study aims to estimate the cumulative incidence of recurrence until 10 years after diagnosis in Italian women diagnosed with BC using population-based cancer registries. Methods: Women diagnosed with stage I to III BC during 2004–2010 from Friuli Venezia Giulia and Veneto (Italy) cancer registries were included (n = 5825). Recurrence status after a disease-free period was ascertained through individual-level linked databases using treatment or procedure codes from claims. Cumulative incidence of recurrence was calculated in the presence of competing risks (second cancer or death). Results: During a median follow-up of 13.5 years, 1522 out of 5825 women experienced a recurrence with an estimated 10-years cumulative incidence of 20.8 % (95 %CI:19.7–21.8 %), decreasing from 23.7 % in 2004–2006 to 18.5 % in 2007–2010. Women younger than 40 years (40.5 %), with stage III (41.8 %) and triple-negative BC (32.5 %) showed a higher 10-year incidence of recurrence.At 10 years after a BC diagnosis, 83.9 % of women were alive: 67.5 % without any cancer-related events, 12.4 % after recurrence and 4.0 % after second primary cancer. 10-years survival was higher than 90 % for women with stage I BC and 58.1 % for those with stage III (3.2 % and 27.3 % deaths after recurrence, respectively). Discussion: This Italian study provide detailed population-based information on the incidence of recurrence and other outcomes after BC and may be replicated in other Italian and European areas.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960977625005041Breast cancerStage at diagnosisRecurrenceCompeting riskSurvival
spellingShingle Fabiola Giudici
Federica Toffolutti
Stefano Guzzinati
Francesco Schettini
Marina Bortul
Silvia Francisci
Manuel Zorzi
Sara De Vidi
Daniela Pierannunzio
Luigino Dal Maso
A population-based estimation of breast cancer recurrence in northeast Italy with administrative healthcare databases
Breast
Breast cancer
Stage at diagnosis
Recurrence
Competing risk
Survival
title A population-based estimation of breast cancer recurrence in northeast Italy with administrative healthcare databases
title_full A population-based estimation of breast cancer recurrence in northeast Italy with administrative healthcare databases
title_fullStr A population-based estimation of breast cancer recurrence in northeast Italy with administrative healthcare databases
title_full_unstemmed A population-based estimation of breast cancer recurrence in northeast Italy with administrative healthcare databases
title_short A population-based estimation of breast cancer recurrence in northeast Italy with administrative healthcare databases
title_sort population based estimation of breast cancer recurrence in northeast italy with administrative healthcare databases
topic Breast cancer
Stage at diagnosis
Recurrence
Competing risk
Survival
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960977625005041
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