INFLATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH TRENDS: GLOBAL AND SOUTH AFRICAN PERSPECTIVES
This paper explores the global inflation and economic growth trends, with a special focus on South Africa, from the 1970s – the period marked by the crumbling of the Bretton Woods system and the ensuing stagflation – to 2022. Our exploration reveals that global inflation is driven mainly by advanced...
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| Format: | Article |
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University of Banja Luka, Faculty of Economics
2023-12-01
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| Series: | Acta Economica |
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| Online Access: | https://www.ae.ef.unibl.org/index.php/ae/article/view/463 |
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| author | Shelton Mandeya Sin-Yu Ho |
| author_facet | Shelton Mandeya Sin-Yu Ho |
| author_sort | Shelton Mandeya |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This paper explores the global inflation and economic growth trends, with a special focus on South Africa, from the 1970s – the period marked by the crumbling of the Bretton Woods system and the ensuing stagflation – to 2022. Our exploration reveals that global inflation is driven mainly by advanced economies, and there are signs of a negative correlation between the levels of income and inflation rates. We observed a structural break in global inflation in 1995 when inflation substantially decreased and became more stable than before. Our analysis links this structural break and stability in inflation to the emergence of strict monetary policy regimes like inflation targeting. Emerging and developing economies experienced a substantial decrease in inflation after they adopted inflation-targeting policies, as compared to advanced economies. In contrast, AEs benefitted from a significant rise in their economic growth. For South Africa, the trends in inflation and economic growth displayed a different picture. Although negligibly, South Africa’s inflation rose three years after adopting inflation targeting. During the same period, the South Africa experienced rising economic growth. To better understand the relationship between inflation and economic growth, we suggest the use of extensive data and models to investigate the structural breaks experienced.
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| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-edf1fb3dfdb04bf583201b26288dd4ff |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1512-858X 2232-738X |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2023-12-01 |
| publisher | University of Banja Luka, Faculty of Economics |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Acta Economica |
| spelling | doaj-art-edf1fb3dfdb04bf583201b26288dd4ff2025-01-10T14:15:12ZengUniversity of Banja Luka, Faculty of EconomicsActa Economica1512-858X2232-738X2023-12-01213910.7251/ACE2339091MINFLATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH TRENDS: GLOBAL AND SOUTH AFRICAN PERSPECTIVESShelton Mandeya0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0390-3120Sin-Yu Ho1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0032-1616Department of Economics, University of South Africa, UNISA, Pretoria, South AfricaDepartment of Economics, University of South Africa, UNISA, Pretoria, South AfricaThis paper explores the global inflation and economic growth trends, with a special focus on South Africa, from the 1970s – the period marked by the crumbling of the Bretton Woods system and the ensuing stagflation – to 2022. Our exploration reveals that global inflation is driven mainly by advanced economies, and there are signs of a negative correlation between the levels of income and inflation rates. We observed a structural break in global inflation in 1995 when inflation substantially decreased and became more stable than before. Our analysis links this structural break and stability in inflation to the emergence of strict monetary policy regimes like inflation targeting. Emerging and developing economies experienced a substantial decrease in inflation after they adopted inflation-targeting policies, as compared to advanced economies. In contrast, AEs benefitted from a significant rise in their economic growth. For South Africa, the trends in inflation and economic growth displayed a different picture. Although negligibly, South Africa’s inflation rose three years after adopting inflation targeting. During the same period, the South Africa experienced rising economic growth. To better understand the relationship between inflation and economic growth, we suggest the use of extensive data and models to investigate the structural breaks experienced. https://www.ae.ef.unibl.org/index.php/ae/article/view/463inflationeconomic growthinflation targetingglobal trendsSouth Africa |
| spellingShingle | Shelton Mandeya Sin-Yu Ho INFLATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH TRENDS: GLOBAL AND SOUTH AFRICAN PERSPECTIVES Acta Economica inflation economic growth inflation targeting global trends South Africa |
| title | INFLATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH TRENDS: GLOBAL AND SOUTH AFRICAN PERSPECTIVES |
| title_full | INFLATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH TRENDS: GLOBAL AND SOUTH AFRICAN PERSPECTIVES |
| title_fullStr | INFLATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH TRENDS: GLOBAL AND SOUTH AFRICAN PERSPECTIVES |
| title_full_unstemmed | INFLATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH TRENDS: GLOBAL AND SOUTH AFRICAN PERSPECTIVES |
| title_short | INFLATION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH TRENDS: GLOBAL AND SOUTH AFRICAN PERSPECTIVES |
| title_sort | inflation and economic growth trends global and south african perspectives |
| topic | inflation economic growth inflation targeting global trends South Africa |
| url | https://www.ae.ef.unibl.org/index.php/ae/article/view/463 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT sheltonmandeya inflationandeconomicgrowthtrendsglobalandsouthafricanperspectives AT sinyuho inflationandeconomicgrowthtrendsglobalandsouthafricanperspectives |