Economic burden for Alzheimer’s disease in China from 2010 to 2050: a modelling study

Objectives: We aimed to conduct a modelling study to estimate and predict the economic burden of AD to support the healthcare management of AD in China. Methods: The economic burden of AD was estimated with an evaluation of the prevalence of AD patients and a simulation of annual resource use and co...

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Main Authors: Emilie Clay, Junwen Zhou, Zhan-Miao Yi, Suodi Zhai, Mondher Toumi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-01-01
Series:Journal of Market Access & Health Policy
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/20016689.2019.1667195
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author Emilie Clay
Junwen Zhou
Zhan-Miao Yi
Suodi Zhai
Mondher Toumi
author_facet Emilie Clay
Junwen Zhou
Zhan-Miao Yi
Suodi Zhai
Mondher Toumi
author_sort Emilie Clay
collection DOAJ
description Objectives: We aimed to conduct a modelling study to estimate and predict the economic burden of AD to support the healthcare management of AD in China. Methods: The economic burden of AD was estimated with an evaluation of the prevalence of AD patients and a simulation of annual resource use and cost per AD patient in China using a published model. Percentage of AD patients being treated was assumed to be 5% from 2010 to 2050, with three scenarios testing the value of this parameter of 10%, 20% and 40% throughout 2020 to 2050. Results: The costs of AD were estimated to be from around 91 billion RMB in 2010 to 332 billion in 2050. Most of the current burden was related to private caregivers paid by families. With the percentage of patients being treated changing from 5% to 40%, costs were estimated to double. This was related to more hospitalisations and more use of care facilities, while the burden for families would decrease. Conclusion: A high economic burden related to AD is predicted. The burden would be driven mainly by indirect costs related to the social support of the patients. Investment in improving awareness and care of AD patients is needed and worth it.
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spelling doaj-art-edba83c80aee496dbb0c2736ef2b55592025-08-20T02:54:40ZengMDPI AGJournal of Market Access & Health Policy2001-66892019-01-017110.1080/20016689.2019.16671951667195Economic burden for Alzheimer’s disease in China from 2010 to 2050: a modelling studyEmilie Clay0Junwen Zhou1Zhan-Miao Yi2Suodi Zhai3Mondher Toumi4Creativ-CeuticalAix-Marseille UniversityPeking University Third HospitalPeking University Third HospitalAix-Marseille UniversityObjectives: We aimed to conduct a modelling study to estimate and predict the economic burden of AD to support the healthcare management of AD in China. Methods: The economic burden of AD was estimated with an evaluation of the prevalence of AD patients and a simulation of annual resource use and cost per AD patient in China using a published model. Percentage of AD patients being treated was assumed to be 5% from 2010 to 2050, with three scenarios testing the value of this parameter of 10%, 20% and 40% throughout 2020 to 2050. Results: The costs of AD were estimated to be from around 91 billion RMB in 2010 to 332 billion in 2050. Most of the current burden was related to private caregivers paid by families. With the percentage of patients being treated changing from 5% to 40%, costs were estimated to double. This was related to more hospitalisations and more use of care facilities, while the burden for families would decrease. Conclusion: A high economic burden related to AD is predicted. The burden would be driven mainly by indirect costs related to the social support of the patients. Investment in improving awareness and care of AD patients is needed and worth it.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/20016689.2019.1667195alzheimer’s diseaseeconomic burdencaregiver burdeneconomic modelchina
spellingShingle Emilie Clay
Junwen Zhou
Zhan-Miao Yi
Suodi Zhai
Mondher Toumi
Economic burden for Alzheimer’s disease in China from 2010 to 2050: a modelling study
Journal of Market Access & Health Policy
alzheimer’s disease
economic burden
caregiver burden
economic model
china
title Economic burden for Alzheimer’s disease in China from 2010 to 2050: a modelling study
title_full Economic burden for Alzheimer’s disease in China from 2010 to 2050: a modelling study
title_fullStr Economic burden for Alzheimer’s disease in China from 2010 to 2050: a modelling study
title_full_unstemmed Economic burden for Alzheimer’s disease in China from 2010 to 2050: a modelling study
title_short Economic burden for Alzheimer’s disease in China from 2010 to 2050: a modelling study
title_sort economic burden for alzheimer s disease in china from 2010 to 2050 a modelling study
topic alzheimer’s disease
economic burden
caregiver burden
economic model
china
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/20016689.2019.1667195
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AT junwenzhou economicburdenforalzheimersdiseaseinchinafrom2010to2050amodellingstudy
AT zhanmiaoyi economicburdenforalzheimersdiseaseinchinafrom2010to2050amodellingstudy
AT suodizhai economicburdenforalzheimersdiseaseinchinafrom2010to2050amodellingstudy
AT mondhertoumi economicburdenforalzheimersdiseaseinchinafrom2010to2050amodellingstudy