Multiyear variability of ice concentration in the White Sea according to satellite data

The objectives of this study were to analyze satellite data on the ice conditions in the White Sea available for the period 1979-2021 so that to identify statistically significant trends in closeness of ice during that period, and to establish spatial and temporal characteristics of the sea ice regi...

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Main Author: V. N. Baklagin
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Nauka 2023-01-01
Series:Лëд и снег
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/1089
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author V. N. Baklagin
author_facet V. N. Baklagin
author_sort V. N. Baklagin
collection DOAJ
description The objectives of this study were to analyze satellite data on the ice conditions in the White Sea available for the period 1979-2021 so that to identify statistically significant trends in closeness of ice during that period, and to establish spatial and temporal characteristics of the sea ice regime in this area. It was found that according to the satellite data a statistically significant negative trend (-0.34±0.11% year-1 at a significance level of 0.05) of the ice closeness changes was observed over the above period for all areas of the sea, which corresponds to the general tendency of reducing the area of the Arctic ice cover due to the global warming. However, contrary to the statements of J.C. Comiso, D.K. Perovich, M.C. Serreze, J. Streve, D. Notz that since the beginning of the XX century the reduction of the ice area in the Arctic Ocean accelerates, no tendency in decrease of mean annual values of the ice closeness for the White Sea was revealed. In addition, the results of the regression analysis showed a slight decrease in the absolute value of the trend from - 0.74±0.38% year-1 in 1979-1996 to -0.47±0.25% year-1 in 1997-2020. It is also shown that the results of a comparative analysis of two trends in the year-to-year variability of ice closeness in the White Sea: the first one obtained from the microwave radiometer data provided by the National Snow and Ice Data Center, and the second one revealed from data of advanced microwave scanning radiometers (the University of Bremen), are in good agreement with each other. The difference in the slope coefficients of the linear approximation is only 0.038% year-1 for the period 2002-2020. This is the important argument in support of using microwave radiometer data to determine trends in variability of ice closeness in the White Sea.
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spelling doaj-art-ed7cc7ed3d134e9aa4653ec29827c6d12025-08-20T03:00:45ZrusNaukaЛëд и снег2076-67342412-37652023-01-0162457959010.31857/S2076673422040153774Multiyear variability of ice concentration in the White Sea according to satellite dataV. N. Baklagin0Northern Water Problems Institute of the Karelian Research Centre, Russian Academy of SciencesThe objectives of this study were to analyze satellite data on the ice conditions in the White Sea available for the period 1979-2021 so that to identify statistically significant trends in closeness of ice during that period, and to establish spatial and temporal characteristics of the sea ice regime in this area. It was found that according to the satellite data a statistically significant negative trend (-0.34±0.11% year-1 at a significance level of 0.05) of the ice closeness changes was observed over the above period for all areas of the sea, which corresponds to the general tendency of reducing the area of the Arctic ice cover due to the global warming. However, contrary to the statements of J.C. Comiso, D.K. Perovich, M.C. Serreze, J. Streve, D. Notz that since the beginning of the XX century the reduction of the ice area in the Arctic Ocean accelerates, no tendency in decrease of mean annual values of the ice closeness for the White Sea was revealed. In addition, the results of the regression analysis showed a slight decrease in the absolute value of the trend from - 0.74±0.38% year-1 in 1979-1996 to -0.47±0.25% year-1 in 1997-2020. It is also shown that the results of a comparative analysis of two trends in the year-to-year variability of ice closeness in the White Sea: the first one obtained from the microwave radiometer data provided by the National Snow and Ice Data Center, and the second one revealed from data of advanced microwave scanning radiometers (the University of Bremen), are in good agreement with each other. The difference in the slope coefficients of the linear approximation is only 0.038% year-1 for the period 2002-2020. This is the important argument in support of using microwave radiometer data to determine trends in variability of ice closeness in the White Sea.https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/1089sea icetrendnsidcamsr-eamsr2
spellingShingle V. N. Baklagin
Multiyear variability of ice concentration in the White Sea according to satellite data
Лëд и снег
sea ice
trend
nsidc
amsr-e
amsr2
title Multiyear variability of ice concentration in the White Sea according to satellite data
title_full Multiyear variability of ice concentration in the White Sea according to satellite data
title_fullStr Multiyear variability of ice concentration in the White Sea according to satellite data
title_full_unstemmed Multiyear variability of ice concentration in the White Sea according to satellite data
title_short Multiyear variability of ice concentration in the White Sea according to satellite data
title_sort multiyear variability of ice concentration in the white sea according to satellite data
topic sea ice
trend
nsidc
amsr-e
amsr2
url https://ice-snow.igras.ru/jour/article/view/1089
work_keys_str_mv AT vnbaklagin multiyearvariabilityoficeconcentrationinthewhiteseaaccordingtosatellitedata