Stochastic determination of arrival time and initial polarity of seismic waveform

Abstract In this study, we have developed and implemented a new technology capable of probabilistically selecting phase arrival times and determining the initial polarity of seismic waveforms without the requirement of prior information. In this new method, the arrival time is determined through an...

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Main Authors: Weilai Pei, Jiancang Zhuang, Shiyong Zhou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2025-03-01
Series:Earth, Planets and Space
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-025-02161-5
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author Weilai Pei
Jiancang Zhuang
Shiyong Zhou
author_facet Weilai Pei
Jiancang Zhuang
Shiyong Zhou
author_sort Weilai Pei
collection DOAJ
description Abstract In this study, we have developed and implemented a new technology capable of probabilistically selecting phase arrival times and determining the initial polarity of seismic waveforms without the requirement of prior information. In this new method, the arrival time is determined through an eigen-equation associated with the probability distribution of the noise level, which is then used to calculate the probability of the polarity. We have tested this method using synthetic waveforms as well as records from well-established databases. The results demonstrate a high degree of concurrence with manually picked arrival times and polarities (98% accuracy) in the local seismic catalog. This suggests that the proposed method can provide consistent and unified judgments in phase picking tasks. In comparison, this method has shown comparable reliability to existing neural-network-based AI methods while maintaining greater portability due to its lack of dependence on training data. Graphical abstract
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institution Kabale University
issn 1880-5981
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publisher SpringerOpen
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series Earth, Planets and Space
spelling doaj-art-ed75ccda13a54a7bb723999f0e8e051f2025-08-20T03:41:41ZengSpringerOpenEarth, Planets and Space1880-59812025-03-0177111210.1186/s40623-025-02161-5Stochastic determination of arrival time and initial polarity of seismic waveformWeilai Pei0Jiancang Zhuang1Shiyong Zhou2School of Earth and Space Sciences, Peking UniversityThe Institute of Statistical MathematicsSchool of Earth and Space Sciences, Peking UniversityAbstract In this study, we have developed and implemented a new technology capable of probabilistically selecting phase arrival times and determining the initial polarity of seismic waveforms without the requirement of prior information. In this new method, the arrival time is determined through an eigen-equation associated with the probability distribution of the noise level, which is then used to calculate the probability of the polarity. We have tested this method using synthetic waveforms as well as records from well-established databases. The results demonstrate a high degree of concurrence with manually picked arrival times and polarities (98% accuracy) in the local seismic catalog. This suggests that the proposed method can provide consistent and unified judgments in phase picking tasks. In comparison, this method has shown comparable reliability to existing neural-network-based AI methods while maintaining greater portability due to its lack of dependence on training data. Graphical abstracthttps://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-025-02161-5P-wave arrival time pickingInitial-motion polarity determinationMinimum entropy criterionTransitive probability matrix
spellingShingle Weilai Pei
Jiancang Zhuang
Shiyong Zhou
Stochastic determination of arrival time and initial polarity of seismic waveform
Earth, Planets and Space
P-wave arrival time picking
Initial-motion polarity determination
Minimum entropy criterion
Transitive probability matrix
title Stochastic determination of arrival time and initial polarity of seismic waveform
title_full Stochastic determination of arrival time and initial polarity of seismic waveform
title_fullStr Stochastic determination of arrival time and initial polarity of seismic waveform
title_full_unstemmed Stochastic determination of arrival time and initial polarity of seismic waveform
title_short Stochastic determination of arrival time and initial polarity of seismic waveform
title_sort stochastic determination of arrival time and initial polarity of seismic waveform
topic P-wave arrival time picking
Initial-motion polarity determination
Minimum entropy criterion
Transitive probability matrix
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-025-02161-5
work_keys_str_mv AT weilaipei stochasticdeterminationofarrivaltimeandinitialpolarityofseismicwaveform
AT jiancangzhuang stochasticdeterminationofarrivaltimeandinitialpolarityofseismicwaveform
AT shiyongzhou stochasticdeterminationofarrivaltimeandinitialpolarityofseismicwaveform