Improving Doppler Radar Precipitation Prediction with Citizen Science Rain Gauges and Deep Learning

Accurate, real-time estimation of rainfall from Doppler radars remains a challenging problem, particularly over complex terrain where vertical beam sampling, atmospheric effects, and radar quality limitations introduce significant biases. In this work, we leverage citizen science rain gauge observat...

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Main Authors: Marshall Rosenhoover, John Rushing, John Beck, Kelsey White, Sara Graves
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-06-01
Series:Sensors
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/25/12/3719
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author Marshall Rosenhoover
John Rushing
John Beck
Kelsey White
Sara Graves
author_facet Marshall Rosenhoover
John Rushing
John Beck
Kelsey White
Sara Graves
author_sort Marshall Rosenhoover
collection DOAJ
description Accurate, real-time estimation of rainfall from Doppler radars remains a challenging problem, particularly over complex terrain where vertical beam sampling, atmospheric effects, and radar quality limitations introduce significant biases. In this work, we leverage citizen science rain gauge observations to develop a deep learning framework that corrects biases in radar-derived surface precipitation rates at high temporal resolution. A key step in our approach is the construction of piecewise-linear rainfall accumulation functions, which align gauge measurements with radar estimates and allow for the generation of high-quality instantaneous rain rate labels from rain gauge observations. After validating gauges through a two-stage temporal and spatial consistency filter, we train an adapted ResNet-101 model to classify rainfall intensity from sequences of surface precipitation rate estimates. Our model substantially improves precipitation classification accuracy relative to NOAA’s operational radar products within observed spatial regions, achieving large gains in precision, recall, and F1 score. While generalization to completely unseen regions remains more challenging, particularly for higher-intensity rainfall, modest improvements over baseline radar estimates are still observed in low-intensity rainfall. These results highlight how combining citizen science data with physically informed accumulation fitting and deep learning can meaningfully improve real-time radar-based rainfall estimation and support operational forecasting in complex environments.
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spelling doaj-art-ec911a259c7b4f44ae2ff12179919aae2025-08-20T03:27:36ZengMDPI AGSensors1424-82202025-06-012512371910.3390/s25123719Improving Doppler Radar Precipitation Prediction with Citizen Science Rain Gauges and Deep LearningMarshall Rosenhoover0John Rushing1John Beck2Kelsey White3Sara Graves4Information Technology and Systems Center, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL 35899, USAInformation Technology and Systems Center, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL 35899, USAInformation Technology and Systems Center, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL 35899, USAInformation Technology and Systems Center, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL 35899, USAInformation Technology and Systems Center, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL 35899, USAAccurate, real-time estimation of rainfall from Doppler radars remains a challenging problem, particularly over complex terrain where vertical beam sampling, atmospheric effects, and radar quality limitations introduce significant biases. In this work, we leverage citizen science rain gauge observations to develop a deep learning framework that corrects biases in radar-derived surface precipitation rates at high temporal resolution. A key step in our approach is the construction of piecewise-linear rainfall accumulation functions, which align gauge measurements with radar estimates and allow for the generation of high-quality instantaneous rain rate labels from rain gauge observations. After validating gauges through a two-stage temporal and spatial consistency filter, we train an adapted ResNet-101 model to classify rainfall intensity from sequences of surface precipitation rate estimates. Our model substantially improves precipitation classification accuracy relative to NOAA’s operational radar products within observed spatial regions, achieving large gains in precision, recall, and F1 score. While generalization to completely unseen regions remains more challenging, particularly for higher-intensity rainfall, modest improvements over baseline radar estimates are still observed in low-intensity rainfall. These results highlight how combining citizen science data with physically informed accumulation fitting and deep learning can meaningfully improve real-time radar-based rainfall estimation and support operational forecasting in complex environments.https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/25/12/3719radar precipitation estimationradar-rain gauge rainfall accumulationcitizen sciencedeep learningrainfall accumulationradar calibration
spellingShingle Marshall Rosenhoover
John Rushing
John Beck
Kelsey White
Sara Graves
Improving Doppler Radar Precipitation Prediction with Citizen Science Rain Gauges and Deep Learning
Sensors
radar precipitation estimation
radar-rain gauge rainfall accumulation
citizen science
deep learning
rainfall accumulation
radar calibration
title Improving Doppler Radar Precipitation Prediction with Citizen Science Rain Gauges and Deep Learning
title_full Improving Doppler Radar Precipitation Prediction with Citizen Science Rain Gauges and Deep Learning
title_fullStr Improving Doppler Radar Precipitation Prediction with Citizen Science Rain Gauges and Deep Learning
title_full_unstemmed Improving Doppler Radar Precipitation Prediction with Citizen Science Rain Gauges and Deep Learning
title_short Improving Doppler Radar Precipitation Prediction with Citizen Science Rain Gauges and Deep Learning
title_sort improving doppler radar precipitation prediction with citizen science rain gauges and deep learning
topic radar precipitation estimation
radar-rain gauge rainfall accumulation
citizen science
deep learning
rainfall accumulation
radar calibration
url https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/25/12/3719
work_keys_str_mv AT marshallrosenhoover improvingdopplerradarprecipitationpredictionwithcitizenscienceraingaugesanddeeplearning
AT johnrushing improvingdopplerradarprecipitationpredictionwithcitizenscienceraingaugesanddeeplearning
AT johnbeck improvingdopplerradarprecipitationpredictionwithcitizenscienceraingaugesanddeeplearning
AT kelseywhite improvingdopplerradarprecipitationpredictionwithcitizenscienceraingaugesanddeeplearning
AT saragraves improvingdopplerradarprecipitationpredictionwithcitizenscienceraingaugesanddeeplearning