Ten‐Year Hindcast Assessment of an Improved Probabilistic Forecast System for Cyanotoxin (Microcystins) Risk Level in Lake Erie

Ten‐Year Hindcast Assessment of an Improved Probabilistic Forecast System for Cyanotoxin (Microcystins) Risk Level in Lake Erie

Abstract Toxic harmful algal blooms produce public health hazards in freshwater systems around the world. There is a need for forecast systems that can mitigate risk of public exposure to toxins. We improved an approach to predict the spatially and temporally resolved probability of microcystins (MC...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Qianqian Liu, Mark D. Rowe, Richard P. Stumpf, Reagan Errera, Casey Godwin, Justin D. Chaffin, Eric J. Anderson, Tongyao Pu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-04-01
Series:Water Resources Research
Subjects:
Lake Erie
cyanobacterial harmful algal bloom
microcystins
probabilistic forecast
cross‐validation
skill assessment
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024WR038952
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