Prediction of the Marine Dynamic Environment for Arctic Ice-Based Buoys Using Historical Profile Data

In this paper, the time-series model is used to predict whether an ocean buoy is about to be inside a vortex. Marine buoys are an important tool for collecting ocean data and studying ocean dynamics, climate change, and ecosystem health. A vortex is an important ocean dynamic process. If we can pred...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jingzi Zhu, Yu Luo, Tao Li, Yanhai Gan, Junyu Dong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-05-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/6/1003
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849705209403539456
author Jingzi Zhu
Yu Luo
Tao Li
Yanhai Gan
Junyu Dong
author_facet Jingzi Zhu
Yu Luo
Tao Li
Yanhai Gan
Junyu Dong
author_sort Jingzi Zhu
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, the time-series model is used to predict whether an ocean buoy is about to be inside a vortex. Marine buoys are an important tool for collecting ocean data and studying ocean dynamics, climate change, and ecosystem health. A vortex is an important ocean dynamic process. If we can predict that a buoy is about to enter a vortex, we can automatically adjust the buoy’s sampling frequency to better observe the vortex’s structure and development. To address this requirement, based on the profile data, including latitude and longitude, temperature, and salinity, collected by 56 buoys in the Arctic Ocean from 2014 to 2023, this paper uses the TSMixer time-series model to predict whether an ocean buoy is about to be inside a vortex. The TSMixer model effectively captures the spatio-temporal characteristics of multivariate time series through time-mixing and feature-mixing mechanisms, and the accuracy of the model reaches 84.6%. The proposed model is computationally efficient and has a low memory footprint, which is suitable for real-time applications and provides accurate prediction support for marine monitoring.
format Article
id doaj-art-ebfc90d9ba5c4977902f807d769c3b10
institution DOAJ
issn 2077-1312
language English
publishDate 2025-05-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
spelling doaj-art-ebfc90d9ba5c4977902f807d769c3b102025-08-20T03:16:32ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122025-05-01136100310.3390/jmse13061003Prediction of the Marine Dynamic Environment for Arctic Ice-Based Buoys Using Historical Profile DataJingzi Zhu0Yu Luo1Tao Li2Yanhai Gan3Junyu Dong4Haide College, Ocean University of China, 238 Songling Road, Qingdao 266100, ChinaSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Ocean University of China, 238 Songling Road, Qingdao 266100, ChinaCollege of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences, Ocean University of China, 238 Songling Road, Qingdao 266100, ChinaFaculty of Information Science and Engineering, Ocean University of China, 238 Songling Road, Qingdao 266100, ChinaFaculty of Information Science and Engineering, Ocean University of China, 238 Songling Road, Qingdao 266100, ChinaIn this paper, the time-series model is used to predict whether an ocean buoy is about to be inside a vortex. Marine buoys are an important tool for collecting ocean data and studying ocean dynamics, climate change, and ecosystem health. A vortex is an important ocean dynamic process. If we can predict that a buoy is about to enter a vortex, we can automatically adjust the buoy’s sampling frequency to better observe the vortex’s structure and development. To address this requirement, based on the profile data, including latitude and longitude, temperature, and salinity, collected by 56 buoys in the Arctic Ocean from 2014 to 2023, this paper uses the TSMixer time-series model to predict whether an ocean buoy is about to be inside a vortex. The TSMixer model effectively captures the spatio-temporal characteristics of multivariate time series through time-mixing and feature-mixing mechanisms, and the accuracy of the model reaches 84.6%. The proposed model is computationally efficient and has a low memory footprint, which is suitable for real-time applications and provides accurate prediction support for marine monitoring.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/6/1003ocean buoyprofilevortex predictiontime-series modelTSMixer
spellingShingle Jingzi Zhu
Yu Luo
Tao Li
Yanhai Gan
Junyu Dong
Prediction of the Marine Dynamic Environment for Arctic Ice-Based Buoys Using Historical Profile Data
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
ocean buoy
profile
vortex prediction
time-series model
TSMixer
title Prediction of the Marine Dynamic Environment for Arctic Ice-Based Buoys Using Historical Profile Data
title_full Prediction of the Marine Dynamic Environment for Arctic Ice-Based Buoys Using Historical Profile Data
title_fullStr Prediction of the Marine Dynamic Environment for Arctic Ice-Based Buoys Using Historical Profile Data
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of the Marine Dynamic Environment for Arctic Ice-Based Buoys Using Historical Profile Data
title_short Prediction of the Marine Dynamic Environment for Arctic Ice-Based Buoys Using Historical Profile Data
title_sort prediction of the marine dynamic environment for arctic ice based buoys using historical profile data
topic ocean buoy
profile
vortex prediction
time-series model
TSMixer
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/6/1003
work_keys_str_mv AT jingzizhu predictionofthemarinedynamicenvironmentforarcticicebasedbuoysusinghistoricalprofiledata
AT yuluo predictionofthemarinedynamicenvironmentforarcticicebasedbuoysusinghistoricalprofiledata
AT taoli predictionofthemarinedynamicenvironmentforarcticicebasedbuoysusinghistoricalprofiledata
AT yanhaigan predictionofthemarinedynamicenvironmentforarcticicebasedbuoysusinghistoricalprofiledata
AT junyudong predictionofthemarinedynamicenvironmentforarcticicebasedbuoysusinghistoricalprofiledata