SRF2—A Short‐Term (1–24)h foF2 Prediction Method

Abstract A sunrise F2‐layer short‐term (1–24) h foF2 prediction method has been developed to forecast foF2 variations at a given ionosonde station during magnetically quiet and disturbed periods. The proposed method efficiently describes both positive and negative quiet time F2‐layer disturbances un...

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Main Authors: L. Perrone, A. V. Mikhailov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-08-01
Series:Space Weather
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2022SW003047
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author L. Perrone
A. V. Mikhailov
author_facet L. Perrone
A. V. Mikhailov
author_sort L. Perrone
collection DOAJ
description Abstract A sunrise F2‐layer short‐term (1–24) h foF2 prediction method has been developed to forecast foF2 variations at a given ionosonde station during magnetically quiet and disturbed periods. The proposed method efficiently describes both positive and negative quiet time F2‐layer disturbances under daily Ap <30 nT and this was done for the first time. A comparison with modern global empirical models demonstrates a statistically significant advantage over them under various seasons and levels of solar activity.
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series Space Weather
spelling doaj-art-eb84b4de34434a1d92a4a44fa315a20e2025-01-14T16:27:07ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902022-08-01208n/an/a10.1029/2022SW003047SRF2—A Short‐Term (1–24)h foF2 Prediction MethodL. Perrone0A. V. Mikhailov1Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) Via di Vigna Murata Roma ItaliaIstituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) Via di Vigna Murata Roma ItaliaAbstract A sunrise F2‐layer short‐term (1–24) h foF2 prediction method has been developed to forecast foF2 variations at a given ionosonde station during magnetically quiet and disturbed periods. The proposed method efficiently describes both positive and negative quiet time F2‐layer disturbances under daily Ap <30 nT and this was done for the first time. A comparison with modern global empirical models demonstrates a statistically significant advantage over them under various seasons and levels of solar activity.https://doi.org/10.1029/2022SW003047magnetotelluricselectrical resistivityvelocitymineral explorationfertilizationfluid pathways
spellingShingle L. Perrone
A. V. Mikhailov
SRF2—A Short‐Term (1–24)h foF2 Prediction Method
Space Weather
magnetotellurics
electrical resistivity
velocity
mineral exploration
fertilization
fluid pathways
title SRF2—A Short‐Term (1–24)h foF2 Prediction Method
title_full SRF2—A Short‐Term (1–24)h foF2 Prediction Method
title_fullStr SRF2—A Short‐Term (1–24)h foF2 Prediction Method
title_full_unstemmed SRF2—A Short‐Term (1–24)h foF2 Prediction Method
title_short SRF2—A Short‐Term (1–24)h foF2 Prediction Method
title_sort srf2 a short term 1 24 h fof2 prediction method
topic magnetotellurics
electrical resistivity
velocity
mineral exploration
fertilization
fluid pathways
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2022SW003047
work_keys_str_mv AT lperrone srf2ashortterm124hfof2predictionmethod
AT avmikhailov srf2ashortterm124hfof2predictionmethod