Simulation analysis on the evolution driven model of global copper ore trade network

IntroductionIn the context of energy transition, the competition for copper resources among countries has intensified, and the global copper trade has become a vitally important trade chain. The global copper ore trade network is influenced by various factors, including resource distribution, supply...

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Main Authors: Qishen Chen, Kun Wang, Yanfei Zhang, Qing Guan, Jiayun Xing, Tao Long, Guodong Zheng, Qiang Li, Zhenqing Li, Xin Ren, Chenghong Shang, Yueran Duan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-03-01
Series:Frontiers in Physics
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphy.2025.1559799/full
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author Qishen Chen
Kun Wang
Yanfei Zhang
Qing Guan
Jiayun Xing
Tao Long
Guodong Zheng
Qiang Li
Zhenqing Li
Xin Ren
Chenghong Shang
Yueran Duan
author_facet Qishen Chen
Kun Wang
Yanfei Zhang
Qing Guan
Jiayun Xing
Tao Long
Guodong Zheng
Qiang Li
Zhenqing Li
Xin Ren
Chenghong Shang
Yueran Duan
author_sort Qishen Chen
collection DOAJ
description IntroductionIn the context of energy transition, the competition for copper resources among countries has intensified, and the global copper trade has become a vitally important trade chain. The global copper ore trade network is influenced by various factors, including resource distribution, supply, demand, prices, transportation costs, etc.MethodsTo understand the evolution process of copper trade network and to predict the trend of supply chain structure evolution in future, in this paper, we construct a spatial weighted complex network evolution model based on complex network theory and gravity model using the import and export data and distance data of countries from 1990 to 2022.Results and discussionSimulation results show that the possibility of establishing copper ore trade between countries follows the spatial weighted complex network evolution model. It is proportional to the expected trade flow between countries and inversely proportional to the distance. The model will support the simulation analysis of the supply chain network structure evolution and help to carry out in-depth research on the forecast of future trade relations between important countries.
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id doaj-art-eb68336bbb564ac897ba8f87e6e3d797
institution DOAJ
issn 2296-424X
language English
publishDate 2025-03-01
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
record_format Article
series Frontiers in Physics
spelling doaj-art-eb68336bbb564ac897ba8f87e6e3d7972025-08-20T03:00:55ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Physics2296-424X2025-03-011310.3389/fphy.2025.15597991559799Simulation analysis on the evolution driven model of global copper ore trade networkQishen Chen0Kun Wang1Yanfei Zhang2Qing Guan3Jiayun Xing4Tao Long5Guodong Zheng6Qiang Li7Zhenqing Li8Xin Ren9Chenghong Shang10Yueran Duan11Institute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing, ChinaInstitute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing, ChinaInstitute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing, ChinaSchool of Information Engineering, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing, ChinaInstitute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing, ChinaInstitute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing, ChinaInstitute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing, ChinaInstitute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing, ChinaInstitute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing, ChinaInstitute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing, ChinaInstitute of Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Beijing, ChinaSchool of Information Engineering, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing, ChinaIntroductionIn the context of energy transition, the competition for copper resources among countries has intensified, and the global copper trade has become a vitally important trade chain. The global copper ore trade network is influenced by various factors, including resource distribution, supply, demand, prices, transportation costs, etc.MethodsTo understand the evolution process of copper trade network and to predict the trend of supply chain structure evolution in future, in this paper, we construct a spatial weighted complex network evolution model based on complex network theory and gravity model using the import and export data and distance data of countries from 1990 to 2022.Results and discussionSimulation results show that the possibility of establishing copper ore trade between countries follows the spatial weighted complex network evolution model. It is proportional to the expected trade flow between countries and inversely proportional to the distance. The model will support the simulation analysis of the supply chain network structure evolution and help to carry out in-depth research on the forecast of future trade relations between important countries.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphy.2025.1559799/fullspatial complex networkgravity modelcopper ore supply chainnetwork evolution patterndynamics simulation
spellingShingle Qishen Chen
Kun Wang
Yanfei Zhang
Qing Guan
Jiayun Xing
Tao Long
Guodong Zheng
Qiang Li
Zhenqing Li
Xin Ren
Chenghong Shang
Yueran Duan
Simulation analysis on the evolution driven model of global copper ore trade network
Frontiers in Physics
spatial complex network
gravity model
copper ore supply chain
network evolution pattern
dynamics simulation
title Simulation analysis on the evolution driven model of global copper ore trade network
title_full Simulation analysis on the evolution driven model of global copper ore trade network
title_fullStr Simulation analysis on the evolution driven model of global copper ore trade network
title_full_unstemmed Simulation analysis on the evolution driven model of global copper ore trade network
title_short Simulation analysis on the evolution driven model of global copper ore trade network
title_sort simulation analysis on the evolution driven model of global copper ore trade network
topic spatial complex network
gravity model
copper ore supply chain
network evolution pattern
dynamics simulation
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphy.2025.1559799/full
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