Real Options and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis to Assess Strategic Investment Projects

In today’s uncertain and highly competitive business environment, the difficulty to make strategic investment decisions is growing. The dominant discounted cash flow analysis requires the assumption of perfect certainty of project cash flows. However, under uncertainty traditional DCF approach falls...

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Main Author: Pivorienė Agnė
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Riga Technical University Press 2017-04-01
Series:Economics and Business
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/eb-2017-0008
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author Pivorienė Agnė
author_facet Pivorienė Agnė
author_sort Pivorienė Agnė
collection DOAJ
description In today’s uncertain and highly competitive business environment, the difficulty to make strategic investment decisions is growing. The dominant discounted cash flow analysis requires the assumption of perfect certainty of project cash flows. However, under uncertainty traditional DCF approach falls short of providing adequate strategic decision support, and this situation demands new methods for investment evaluation. Real options approach (ROA) has shown the potential for valuation of strategic corporate investment decisions and managerial flexibility in situations of high uncertainty. Under ROA, projects are viewed as real options that can be valued using financial option pricing techniques. This framework allows their owner to keep investment options open and to benefit from the upside potential of an opportunity while controlling the downside risk. The main aim of this research is to investigate the feasibility of real options approach and traditional DCF analysis for assessment of strategic investment projects under environmental uncertainty.
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spelling doaj-art-eb511ff7662346c7ad395afb678b8b7d2025-08-20T02:18:01ZengRiga Technical University PressEconomics and Business2256-03942017-04-013019110110.1515/eb-2017-0008eb-2017-0008Real Options and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis to Assess Strategic Investment ProjectsPivorienė Agnė0Kaunas University of Technology, LithuaniaIn today’s uncertain and highly competitive business environment, the difficulty to make strategic investment decisions is growing. The dominant discounted cash flow analysis requires the assumption of perfect certainty of project cash flows. However, under uncertainty traditional DCF approach falls short of providing adequate strategic decision support, and this situation demands new methods for investment evaluation. Real options approach (ROA) has shown the potential for valuation of strategic corporate investment decisions and managerial flexibility in situations of high uncertainty. Under ROA, projects are viewed as real options that can be valued using financial option pricing techniques. This framework allows their owner to keep investment options open and to benefit from the upside potential of an opportunity while controlling the downside risk. The main aim of this research is to investigate the feasibility of real options approach and traditional DCF analysis for assessment of strategic investment projects under environmental uncertainty.https://doi.org/10.1515/eb-2017-0008discounted cash flow analysisreal optionsstrategic investment projectsuncertainty
spellingShingle Pivorienė Agnė
Real Options and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis to Assess Strategic Investment Projects
Economics and Business
discounted cash flow analysis
real options
strategic investment projects
uncertainty
title Real Options and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis to Assess Strategic Investment Projects
title_full Real Options and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis to Assess Strategic Investment Projects
title_fullStr Real Options and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis to Assess Strategic Investment Projects
title_full_unstemmed Real Options and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis to Assess Strategic Investment Projects
title_short Real Options and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis to Assess Strategic Investment Projects
title_sort real options and discounted cash flow analysis to assess strategic investment projects
topic discounted cash flow analysis
real options
strategic investment projects
uncertainty
url https://doi.org/10.1515/eb-2017-0008
work_keys_str_mv AT pivorieneagne realoptionsanddiscountedcashflowanalysistoassessstrategicinvestmentprojects