Intelligent decision support system for iterative analysis of dysfunctions of the institutional system of human capital development based on neural structures

Intelligent analysis of dysfunctions of the institutional system of human capital development is an iterative process of extracting useful information and decision-making templates from organized or unorganized arrays of big data of different formats. However, existing algorithms and approaches to i...

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Main Authors: Zhukov Aleksandr, Pronichkin Sergey, Mihaylov Yuri, Kartsan Igor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2025-01-01
Series:EPJ Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.epj-conferences.org/articles/epjconf/pdf/2025/06/epjconf_apitech-vii2025_03004.pdf
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author Zhukov Aleksandr
Pronichkin Sergey
Mihaylov Yuri
Kartsan Igor
author_facet Zhukov Aleksandr
Pronichkin Sergey
Mihaylov Yuri
Kartsan Igor
author_sort Zhukov Aleksandr
collection DOAJ
description Intelligent analysis of dysfunctions of the institutional system of human capital development is an iterative process of extracting useful information and decision-making templates from organized or unorganized arrays of big data of different formats. However, existing algorithms and approaches to intelligent analysis of human capital development data cannot be applied to solving problems of effective implementation of innovation programs, since they have a specific goal aimed at creating the results of intellectual activity. As a methodological basis for the system analysis of human capital development in the digital economy, it is proposed to use ensembles of decision trees and models of the Markov decision-making process together. A software and analytical toolkit for forecasting time series based on neural structures has been developed. For the iterative analysis of dysfunctions of the national innovation system, a multi-step forecasting of the human capital development trend has been performed and forecasting horizons in the digital economy have been determined.
format Article
id doaj-art-eb3a957aed1b4db995c1e9ead527e9bc
institution OA Journals
issn 2100-014X
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher EDP Sciences
record_format Article
series EPJ Web of Conferences
spelling doaj-art-eb3a957aed1b4db995c1e9ead527e9bc2025-08-20T01:51:58ZengEDP SciencesEPJ Web of Conferences2100-014X2025-01-013210300410.1051/epjconf/202532103004epjconf_apitech-vii2025_03004Intelligent decision support system for iterative analysis of dysfunctions of the institutional system of human capital development based on neural structuresZhukov Aleksandr0Pronichkin Sergey1Mihaylov Yuri2Kartsan Igor3Expert and Analytical CenterExpert and Analytical CenterNational University of Science & Technology MISiSMarine Hydrophysical Institute, Russian Academy of SciencesIntelligent analysis of dysfunctions of the institutional system of human capital development is an iterative process of extracting useful information and decision-making templates from organized or unorganized arrays of big data of different formats. However, existing algorithms and approaches to intelligent analysis of human capital development data cannot be applied to solving problems of effective implementation of innovation programs, since they have a specific goal aimed at creating the results of intellectual activity. As a methodological basis for the system analysis of human capital development in the digital economy, it is proposed to use ensembles of decision trees and models of the Markov decision-making process together. A software and analytical toolkit for forecasting time series based on neural structures has been developed. For the iterative analysis of dysfunctions of the national innovation system, a multi-step forecasting of the human capital development trend has been performed and forecasting horizons in the digital economy have been determined.https://www.epj-conferences.org/articles/epjconf/pdf/2025/06/epjconf_apitech-vii2025_03004.pdf
spellingShingle Zhukov Aleksandr
Pronichkin Sergey
Mihaylov Yuri
Kartsan Igor
Intelligent decision support system for iterative analysis of dysfunctions of the institutional system of human capital development based on neural structures
EPJ Web of Conferences
title Intelligent decision support system for iterative analysis of dysfunctions of the institutional system of human capital development based on neural structures
title_full Intelligent decision support system for iterative analysis of dysfunctions of the institutional system of human capital development based on neural structures
title_fullStr Intelligent decision support system for iterative analysis of dysfunctions of the institutional system of human capital development based on neural structures
title_full_unstemmed Intelligent decision support system for iterative analysis of dysfunctions of the institutional system of human capital development based on neural structures
title_short Intelligent decision support system for iterative analysis of dysfunctions of the institutional system of human capital development based on neural structures
title_sort intelligent decision support system for iterative analysis of dysfunctions of the institutional system of human capital development based on neural structures
url https://www.epj-conferences.org/articles/epjconf/pdf/2025/06/epjconf_apitech-vii2025_03004.pdf
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AT mihaylovyuri intelligentdecisionsupportsystemforiterativeanalysisofdysfunctionsoftheinstitutionalsystemofhumancapitaldevelopmentbasedonneuralstructures
AT kartsanigor intelligentdecisionsupportsystemforiterativeanalysisofdysfunctionsoftheinstitutionalsystemofhumancapitaldevelopmentbasedonneuralstructures