Monetary Policy and Domestic Investment in Nigeria: The Role of the Inflation Rate

Economic theory suggests that monetary policy can be used to stabilize an economy. However, the ability of monetary policy targets—interest rates and money supply—to stabilize an economy depends on their ability to achieve price stability. Using data from 1981 to 2018 and applying the vector error c...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Ezeibekwe Obinna Franklin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Riga Technical University Press 2020-02-01
Series:Economics and Business
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/eb-2020-0010
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1850180852781154304
author Ezeibekwe Obinna Franklin
author_facet Ezeibekwe Obinna Franklin
author_sort Ezeibekwe Obinna Franklin
collection DOAJ
description Economic theory suggests that monetary policy can be used to stabilize an economy. However, the ability of monetary policy targets—interest rates and money supply—to stabilize an economy depends on their ability to achieve price stability. Using data from 1981 to 2018 and applying the vector error correction model, this paper seeks to determine how the changes in the inflation rate affect the ability of monetary policy tools to stabilize the Nigerian economy and stimulate investment. Empirical results suggest that the impact of the interest rates on investment depends on the level of the inflation rate. The size of the effect of interest rates on investment gets weaker as the inflation rate increases suggesting that monetary policy tools, such as the monetary policy rate (MPR), that directly change the interest rates are robust stabilization tools during periods of declining inflation rates but not relevant during periods of rising inflation rates. This is attributable to low bank lending rates. Additionally, the impact of the money supply target on investment does not depend on the level of the inflation rate. This suggests that monetary policy tools, such as open market operations, that directly change the money supply can be relevant stabilization tools during economic booms and recessions. As a result, the Central Bank of Nigeria should work to deepen the scale, capacity, and efficiency of its open market operations by ensuring that most of the people can participate with minimal transaction cost and by making different financial instruments available.
format Article
id doaj-art-eaf6fcb61bdf4727a738ac68bf1be148
institution OA Journals
issn 1407-7337
2256-0394
language English
publishDate 2020-02-01
publisher Riga Technical University Press
record_format Article
series Economics and Business
spelling doaj-art-eaf6fcb61bdf4727a738ac68bf1be1482025-08-20T02:18:01ZengRiga Technical University PressEconomics and Business1407-73372256-03942020-02-0134113915510.2478/eb-2020-0010eb-2020-0010Monetary Policy and Domestic Investment in Nigeria: The Role of the Inflation RateEzeibekwe Obinna Franklin0Eastern Illinois University, Charleston IL, U.S.A.Economic theory suggests that monetary policy can be used to stabilize an economy. However, the ability of monetary policy targets—interest rates and money supply—to stabilize an economy depends on their ability to achieve price stability. Using data from 1981 to 2018 and applying the vector error correction model, this paper seeks to determine how the changes in the inflation rate affect the ability of monetary policy tools to stabilize the Nigerian economy and stimulate investment. Empirical results suggest that the impact of the interest rates on investment depends on the level of the inflation rate. The size of the effect of interest rates on investment gets weaker as the inflation rate increases suggesting that monetary policy tools, such as the monetary policy rate (MPR), that directly change the interest rates are robust stabilization tools during periods of declining inflation rates but not relevant during periods of rising inflation rates. This is attributable to low bank lending rates. Additionally, the impact of the money supply target on investment does not depend on the level of the inflation rate. This suggests that monetary policy tools, such as open market operations, that directly change the money supply can be relevant stabilization tools during economic booms and recessions. As a result, the Central Bank of Nigeria should work to deepen the scale, capacity, and efficiency of its open market operations by ensuring that most of the people can participate with minimal transaction cost and by making different financial instruments available.https://doi.org/10.2478/eb-2020-0010inflation rateinvestmentmonetary policynigeriavector error correction modele22e31e43e52e58
spellingShingle Ezeibekwe Obinna Franklin
Monetary Policy and Domestic Investment in Nigeria: The Role of the Inflation Rate
Economics and Business
inflation rate
investment
monetary policy
nigeria
vector error correction model
e22
e31
e43
e52
e58
title Monetary Policy and Domestic Investment in Nigeria: The Role of the Inflation Rate
title_full Monetary Policy and Domestic Investment in Nigeria: The Role of the Inflation Rate
title_fullStr Monetary Policy and Domestic Investment in Nigeria: The Role of the Inflation Rate
title_full_unstemmed Monetary Policy and Domestic Investment in Nigeria: The Role of the Inflation Rate
title_short Monetary Policy and Domestic Investment in Nigeria: The Role of the Inflation Rate
title_sort monetary policy and domestic investment in nigeria the role of the inflation rate
topic inflation rate
investment
monetary policy
nigeria
vector error correction model
e22
e31
e43
e52
e58
url https://doi.org/10.2478/eb-2020-0010
work_keys_str_mv AT ezeibekweobinnafranklin monetarypolicyanddomesticinvestmentinnigeriatheroleoftheinflationrate