Three novel cost-sensitive machine learning models for urban growth modelling

This article addresses the class imbalance problem in urban gain modelling (UGM) of Tabriz and Isfahan megacities in Iran by proposing novel cost-sensitive machine learning models, namely cost-sensitive support vector machine (CSVM), random forest (CRF) and artificial neural network (CANN). Random s...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Mohammad Ahmadlou, Mohammad Karimi, Saad Sh. Sammen, Karam Alsafadi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-01-01
Series:Geocarto International
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/10106049.2024.2353252
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Summary:This article addresses the class imbalance problem in urban gain modelling (UGM) of Tabriz and Isfahan megacities in Iran by proposing novel cost-sensitive machine learning models, namely cost-sensitive support vector machine (CSVM), random forest (CRF) and artificial neural network (CANN). Random sampling, a frequently utilized method, fails to effectively tackle this issue by biasing models towards no change samples, which outnumber change samples. The results showed that CRF exhibited the highest accuracy (AUC = 0.560), followed by CANN (AUC = 0.557) and CSVM (AUC = 0.448) in Isfahan. In Tabriz, CRF (AUC = 0.809) and CANN (AUC = 0.818) excelled, outperforming balanced sampling models constructed with ANN, RF and SVM with the AUROC of ANN and RF boosted by 15% and 2% in validation. By emphasizing the significance of addressing class imbalance appropriately, this research highlights the improvement in modelling outcomes achievable through the cost-sensitive models especially in Tabriz case.
ISSN:1010-6049
1752-0762