Implementation of a hierarchical cluster model to analyze wind and solar availability in the department of Antioquia, Colombia

This research presents a systematic spatiotemporal assessment of solar radiation and wind speed patterns throughout the Department of Antioquia, Colombia, employing advanced machine learning methodologies to evaluate renewable resource potential. The investigation aligns with Colombia's strateg...

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Main Authors: Alejandro Restrepo Román, Didier J. Villegas, Carolina Rodriguez, Adrián Cogollo, Iván D. Bedoya, Andres A. Amell Arrieta
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024-12-01
Series:Case Studies in Chemical and Environmental Engineering
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666016424004006
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author Alejandro Restrepo Román
Didier J. Villegas
Carolina Rodriguez
Adrián Cogollo
Iván D. Bedoya
Andres A. Amell Arrieta
author_facet Alejandro Restrepo Román
Didier J. Villegas
Carolina Rodriguez
Adrián Cogollo
Iván D. Bedoya
Andres A. Amell Arrieta
author_sort Alejandro Restrepo Román
collection DOAJ
description This research presents a systematic spatiotemporal assessment of solar radiation and wind speed patterns throughout the Department of Antioquia, Colombia, employing advanced machine learning methodologies to evaluate renewable resource potential. The investigation aligns with Colombia's strategic energy transition framework, which targets a 51 % reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 relative to baseline projections. Through hierarchical clustering analysis, five distinct groups of municipalities were identified, revealing significant solar potential with radiation averages between 4.6 and 5.0 kWh/m2, reaching maximum values of 5.4 kWh/m2 in the Magdalena Medio subregion. This solar availability exceeds 60 % of Colombia's maximum reported values, indicating substantial potential for photovoltaic (PV) and solar thermal projects. In contrast, the wind resource assessment shows limited viability for utility-scale wind energy development, with speeds rarely exceeding 3 m/s even at a height of 100 m, resulting in capacity factors between 4.1 % and 11.8 % in coastal onshore and offshore areas, respectively. Temporal analysis across solstices and equinoxes confirms year-round consistency in solar radiation, attributed to the region's equatorial location, while maintaining stable patterns across the identified clusters. The demonstrated synergy between reliable solar resources and Antioquia's abundant hydroelectric infrastructure supports the development of hybrid systems, particularly solar-hydroelectric integration, with promising applications in both electricity generation and green hydrogen production. Furthermore, the Magdalena Medio and northern Urabá subregions emerge as prime candidates for solar energy projects, offering strategic opportunities for industrial-scale renewable deployment. This research provides crucial insights for Colombia's decarbonization roadmap, emphasizing Antioquia's significant solar energy potential as a cornerstone for transitioning towards a sustainable and diversified energy matrix.
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spelling doaj-art-eaba25e057444475a4c2a62825ed1b3a2025-08-20T02:17:59ZengElsevierCase Studies in Chemical and Environmental Engineering2666-01642024-12-011010100610.1016/j.cscee.2024.101006Implementation of a hierarchical cluster model to analyze wind and solar availability in the department of Antioquia, ColombiaAlejandro Restrepo Román0Didier J. Villegas1Carolina Rodriguez2Adrián Cogollo3Iván D. Bedoya4Andres A. Amell Arrieta5Grupo de Ciencia y Tecnología Del Gas y Uso Racional de La Energía - GASURE, Facultad de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ingeniería Mecánica, Universidad de Antioquia, ColombiaGrupo de Ciencia y Tecnología Del Gas y Uso Racional de La Energía - GASURE, Facultad de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ingeniería Mecánica, Universidad de Antioquia, ColombiaGrupo de Ciencia y Tecnología Del Gas y Uso Racional de La Energía - GASURE, Facultad de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ingeniería Mecánica, Universidad de Antioquia, ColombiaGrupo de Ciencia y Tecnología Del Gas y Uso Racional de La Energía - GASURE, Facultad de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ingeniería Mecánica, Universidad de Antioquia, ColombiaGrupo de Ciencia y Tecnología Del Gas y Uso Racional de La Energía - GASURE, Facultad de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ingeniería Mecánica, Universidad de Antioquia, ColombiaCorresponding author.; Grupo de Ciencia y Tecnología Del Gas y Uso Racional de La Energía - GASURE, Facultad de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ingeniería Mecánica, Universidad de Antioquia, ColombiaThis research presents a systematic spatiotemporal assessment of solar radiation and wind speed patterns throughout the Department of Antioquia, Colombia, employing advanced machine learning methodologies to evaluate renewable resource potential. The investigation aligns with Colombia's strategic energy transition framework, which targets a 51 % reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 relative to baseline projections. Through hierarchical clustering analysis, five distinct groups of municipalities were identified, revealing significant solar potential with radiation averages between 4.6 and 5.0 kWh/m2, reaching maximum values of 5.4 kWh/m2 in the Magdalena Medio subregion. This solar availability exceeds 60 % of Colombia's maximum reported values, indicating substantial potential for photovoltaic (PV) and solar thermal projects. In contrast, the wind resource assessment shows limited viability for utility-scale wind energy development, with speeds rarely exceeding 3 m/s even at a height of 100 m, resulting in capacity factors between 4.1 % and 11.8 % in coastal onshore and offshore areas, respectively. Temporal analysis across solstices and equinoxes confirms year-round consistency in solar radiation, attributed to the region's equatorial location, while maintaining stable patterns across the identified clusters. The demonstrated synergy between reliable solar resources and Antioquia's abundant hydroelectric infrastructure supports the development of hybrid systems, particularly solar-hydroelectric integration, with promising applications in both electricity generation and green hydrogen production. Furthermore, the Magdalena Medio and northern Urabá subregions emerge as prime candidates for solar energy projects, offering strategic opportunities for industrial-scale renewable deployment. This research provides crucial insights for Colombia's decarbonization roadmap, emphasizing Antioquia's significant solar energy potential as a cornerstone for transitioning towards a sustainable and diversified energy matrix.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666016424004006Hierarchical clusterMachine learningSolar energyWind energyAntioquiaColombia
spellingShingle Alejandro Restrepo Román
Didier J. Villegas
Carolina Rodriguez
Adrián Cogollo
Iván D. Bedoya
Andres A. Amell Arrieta
Implementation of a hierarchical cluster model to analyze wind and solar availability in the department of Antioquia, Colombia
Case Studies in Chemical and Environmental Engineering
Hierarchical cluster
Machine learning
Solar energy
Wind energy
Antioquia
Colombia
title Implementation of a hierarchical cluster model to analyze wind and solar availability in the department of Antioquia, Colombia
title_full Implementation of a hierarchical cluster model to analyze wind and solar availability in the department of Antioquia, Colombia
title_fullStr Implementation of a hierarchical cluster model to analyze wind and solar availability in the department of Antioquia, Colombia
title_full_unstemmed Implementation of a hierarchical cluster model to analyze wind and solar availability in the department of Antioquia, Colombia
title_short Implementation of a hierarchical cluster model to analyze wind and solar availability in the department of Antioquia, Colombia
title_sort implementation of a hierarchical cluster model to analyze wind and solar availability in the department of antioquia colombia
topic Hierarchical cluster
Machine learning
Solar energy
Wind energy
Antioquia
Colombia
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666016424004006
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