The Effect of Exit Strategy on Optimal Portfolio Selection with Birandom Returns

The aims of this paper are to use a birandom variable to denote the stock return selected by some recurring technical patterns and to study the effect of exit strategy on optimal portfolio selection with birandom returns. Firstly, we propose a new method to estimate the stock return and use birandom...

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Main Authors: Guohua Cao, Dan Shan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:Journal of Applied Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/236579
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author Guohua Cao
Dan Shan
author_facet Guohua Cao
Dan Shan
author_sort Guohua Cao
collection DOAJ
description The aims of this paper are to use a birandom variable to denote the stock return selected by some recurring technical patterns and to study the effect of exit strategy on optimal portfolio selection with birandom returns. Firstly, we propose a new method to estimate the stock return and use birandom distribution to denote the final stock return which can reflect the features of technical patterns and investors' heterogeneity simultaneously; secondly, we build a birandom safety-first model and design a hybrid intelligent algorithm to help investors make decisions; finally, we innovatively study the effect of exit strategy on the given birandom safety-first model. The results indicate that (1) the exit strategy affects the proportion of portfolio, (2) the performance of taking the exit strategy is better than when the exit strategy is not taken, if the stop-loss point and the stop-profit point are appropriately set, and (3) the investor using the exit strategy become conservative.
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publishDate 2013-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-ea9b2d748be84caa9892e4fce8a330af2025-08-20T02:22:02ZengWileyJournal of Applied Mathematics1110-757X1687-00422013-01-01201310.1155/2013/236579236579The Effect of Exit Strategy on Optimal Portfolio Selection with Birandom ReturnsGuohua Cao0Dan Shan1School of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University, Room 240, No. 12, Dormitory Building, Area A, Shapingba District, Chongqing 400030, ChinaSchool of Economics and Business Administration, Chongqing University, Room 240, No. 12, Dormitory Building, Area A, Shapingba District, Chongqing 400030, ChinaThe aims of this paper are to use a birandom variable to denote the stock return selected by some recurring technical patterns and to study the effect of exit strategy on optimal portfolio selection with birandom returns. Firstly, we propose a new method to estimate the stock return and use birandom distribution to denote the final stock return which can reflect the features of technical patterns and investors' heterogeneity simultaneously; secondly, we build a birandom safety-first model and design a hybrid intelligent algorithm to help investors make decisions; finally, we innovatively study the effect of exit strategy on the given birandom safety-first model. The results indicate that (1) the exit strategy affects the proportion of portfolio, (2) the performance of taking the exit strategy is better than when the exit strategy is not taken, if the stop-loss point and the stop-profit point are appropriately set, and (3) the investor using the exit strategy become conservative.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/236579
spellingShingle Guohua Cao
Dan Shan
The Effect of Exit Strategy on Optimal Portfolio Selection with Birandom Returns
Journal of Applied Mathematics
title The Effect of Exit Strategy on Optimal Portfolio Selection with Birandom Returns
title_full The Effect of Exit Strategy on Optimal Portfolio Selection with Birandom Returns
title_fullStr The Effect of Exit Strategy on Optimal Portfolio Selection with Birandom Returns
title_full_unstemmed The Effect of Exit Strategy on Optimal Portfolio Selection with Birandom Returns
title_short The Effect of Exit Strategy on Optimal Portfolio Selection with Birandom Returns
title_sort effect of exit strategy on optimal portfolio selection with birandom returns
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/236579
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AT danshan theeffectofexitstrategyonoptimalportfolioselectionwithbirandomreturns
AT guohuacao effectofexitstrategyonoptimalportfolioselectionwithbirandomreturns
AT danshan effectofexitstrategyonoptimalportfolioselectionwithbirandomreturns