Predictive value of heart rate for prognosis in patients with cerebral infarction without atrial fibrillation comorbidity analyzed according to the MIMIC-IV database

ObjectiveThis study focused on the relationship between heart rate and the likelihood of death within 28 days in patients with cerebral infarction without the comorbidity of atrial fibrillation, using patient data extracted from the MIMIC-IV database.MethodThis study involved a retrospective analysi...

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Main Authors: Xinrou Song, Luwen Zhu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-03-01
Series:Frontiers in Neurology
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2025.1551427/full
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author Xinrou Song
Luwen Zhu
author_facet Xinrou Song
Luwen Zhu
author_sort Xinrou Song
collection DOAJ
description ObjectiveThis study focused on the relationship between heart rate and the likelihood of death within 28 days in patients with cerebral infarction without the comorbidity of atrial fibrillation, using patient data extracted from the MIMIC-IV database.MethodThis study involved a retrospective analysis of clinical data from 1,643 individuals with cerebral infarction who were admitted to the ICU. To investigate the role of heart rate in determining patient survival, we applied a variety of statistical techniques such as Cox regression models, survival analysis using Kaplan–Meier plots, and spline-based models. In addition, we performed analyses by patient subgroups to identify any potential variables that could influence the association between HR and 28-day mortality.ResultIn univariate and multivariate analyses, elevated heart rate was strongly associated with higher 28-day mortality, even after adjusting for confounders such as age, sex, comorbidities, and clinical scores.(HR:1.01, 95%,CI:1.01 ~ 1.02, p = 0.019) Kaplan–Meier survival analysis showed that patients with heart rate > 90 beats/min had a significantly lower probability of survival. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis confirmed a nonlinear relationship between heart rate and mortality. Subgroup analyses demonstrated an interaction between heart rate and factors such as hypertension and mechanical ventilation status.ConclusionThis study highlights the prognostic significance of heart rate as an independent predictor of 28-day mortality in patients with cerebral infarction who do not have atrial fibrillation.
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spelling doaj-art-ea6a8e586eac4e73a98b7f9e8b28d9942025-08-20T02:06:23ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Neurology1664-22952025-03-011610.3389/fneur.2025.15514271551427Predictive value of heart rate for prognosis in patients with cerebral infarction without atrial fibrillation comorbidity analyzed according to the MIMIC-IV databaseXinrou Song0Luwen Zhu1Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Heilongjiang University of Chinese Medicine, Harbin, ChinaThe Second Affiliated Hospital of Heilongjiang University of Chinese Medicine, Harbin, ChinaObjectiveThis study focused on the relationship between heart rate and the likelihood of death within 28 days in patients with cerebral infarction without the comorbidity of atrial fibrillation, using patient data extracted from the MIMIC-IV database.MethodThis study involved a retrospective analysis of clinical data from 1,643 individuals with cerebral infarction who were admitted to the ICU. To investigate the role of heart rate in determining patient survival, we applied a variety of statistical techniques such as Cox regression models, survival analysis using Kaplan–Meier plots, and spline-based models. In addition, we performed analyses by patient subgroups to identify any potential variables that could influence the association between HR and 28-day mortality.ResultIn univariate and multivariate analyses, elevated heart rate was strongly associated with higher 28-day mortality, even after adjusting for confounders such as age, sex, comorbidities, and clinical scores.(HR:1.01, 95%,CI:1.01 ~ 1.02, p = 0.019) Kaplan–Meier survival analysis showed that patients with heart rate > 90 beats/min had a significantly lower probability of survival. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis confirmed a nonlinear relationship between heart rate and mortality. Subgroup analyses demonstrated an interaction between heart rate and factors such as hypertension and mechanical ventilation status.ConclusionThis study highlights the prognostic significance of heart rate as an independent predictor of 28-day mortality in patients with cerebral infarction who do not have atrial fibrillation.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2025.1551427/fullMIMIC-IV databasecerebral infarctionheart rateprognosispredictive modeling
spellingShingle Xinrou Song
Luwen Zhu
Predictive value of heart rate for prognosis in patients with cerebral infarction without atrial fibrillation comorbidity analyzed according to the MIMIC-IV database
Frontiers in Neurology
MIMIC-IV database
cerebral infarction
heart rate
prognosis
predictive modeling
title Predictive value of heart rate for prognosis in patients with cerebral infarction without atrial fibrillation comorbidity analyzed according to the MIMIC-IV database
title_full Predictive value of heart rate for prognosis in patients with cerebral infarction without atrial fibrillation comorbidity analyzed according to the MIMIC-IV database
title_fullStr Predictive value of heart rate for prognosis in patients with cerebral infarction without atrial fibrillation comorbidity analyzed according to the MIMIC-IV database
title_full_unstemmed Predictive value of heart rate for prognosis in patients with cerebral infarction without atrial fibrillation comorbidity analyzed according to the MIMIC-IV database
title_short Predictive value of heart rate for prognosis in patients with cerebral infarction without atrial fibrillation comorbidity analyzed according to the MIMIC-IV database
title_sort predictive value of heart rate for prognosis in patients with cerebral infarction without atrial fibrillation comorbidity analyzed according to the mimic iv database
topic MIMIC-IV database
cerebral infarction
heart rate
prognosis
predictive modeling
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2025.1551427/full
work_keys_str_mv AT xinrousong predictivevalueofheartrateforprognosisinpatientswithcerebralinfarctionwithoutatrialfibrillationcomorbidityanalyzedaccordingtothemimicivdatabase
AT luwenzhu predictivevalueofheartrateforprognosisinpatientswithcerebralinfarctionwithoutatrialfibrillationcomorbidityanalyzedaccordingtothemimicivdatabase