The Impact of Climate Change on Pavement Temperatures and Asphalt Binder Grade Selection in Estonia Based on Different Climate Change Scenarios
This paper examines the impact of climate change on asphalt pavement temperatures and Superpave asphalt binder Performance Grade (PG) selection in Estonia. Pavement temperatures were estimated using statistical-empirical pavement temperature prediction models tailored for Estonian conditions. The i...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Riga Technical University Press
2025-03-01
|
| Series: | The Baltic Journal of Road and Bridge Engineering |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://bjrbe-journals.rtu.lv/bjrbe/article/view/838 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1850208807211237376 |
|---|---|
| author | Karli Kontson Kristjan Lill Artu Ellmann Andrus Aavik |
| author_facet | Karli Kontson Kristjan Lill Artu Ellmann Andrus Aavik |
| author_sort | Karli Kontson |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
This paper examines the impact of climate change on asphalt pavement temperatures and Superpave asphalt binder Performance Grade (PG) selection in Estonia. Pavement temperatures were estimated using statistical-empirical pavement temperature prediction models tailored for Estonian conditions. The impact of climate change on pavement temperatures was assessed based on the latest climate change models, assuming three different climate change scenarios for the near, medium and long terms. Projected changes reflect warming trends, with both coastal and mainland areas experiencing substantial shifts in binder grades. Asphalt binder low temperature PG grades are more significantly influenced by climate change, leading to narrower pavement temperature ranges in the region.
|
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-ea5af885cf90470e94cfcd6528ea9a63 |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 1822-427X 1822-4288 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-03-01 |
| publisher | Riga Technical University Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | The Baltic Journal of Road and Bridge Engineering |
| spelling | doaj-art-ea5af885cf90470e94cfcd6528ea9a632025-08-20T02:10:09ZengRiga Technical University PressThe Baltic Journal of Road and Bridge Engineering1822-427X1822-42882025-03-0120110.7250/bjrbe.2025-20.655The Impact of Climate Change on Pavement Temperatures and Asphalt Binder Grade Selection in Estonia Based on Different Climate Change ScenariosKarli Kontson0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4029-3245Kristjan Lill1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2095-806XArtu Ellmann2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5512-8461Andrus Aavik3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8672-0345Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Tallinn University of Technology, Tallinn, EstoniaDepartment of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Tallinn University of Technology, Tallinn, EstoniaDepartment of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Tallinn University of Technology, Tallinn, EstoniaDepartment of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Tallinn University of Technology, Tallinn, Estonia This paper examines the impact of climate change on asphalt pavement temperatures and Superpave asphalt binder Performance Grade (PG) selection in Estonia. Pavement temperatures were estimated using statistical-empirical pavement temperature prediction models tailored for Estonian conditions. The impact of climate change on pavement temperatures was assessed based on the latest climate change models, assuming three different climate change scenarios for the near, medium and long terms. Projected changes reflect warming trends, with both coastal and mainland areas experiencing substantial shifts in binder grades. Asphalt binder low temperature PG grades are more significantly influenced by climate change, leading to narrower pavement temperature ranges in the region. https://bjrbe-journals.rtu.lv/bjrbe/article/view/838asphalt binderclimate changepavement temperaturesperformance gradingSuperpave |
| spellingShingle | Karli Kontson Kristjan Lill Artu Ellmann Andrus Aavik The Impact of Climate Change on Pavement Temperatures and Asphalt Binder Grade Selection in Estonia Based on Different Climate Change Scenarios The Baltic Journal of Road and Bridge Engineering asphalt binder climate change pavement temperatures performance grading Superpave |
| title | The Impact of Climate Change on Pavement Temperatures and Asphalt Binder Grade Selection in Estonia Based on Different Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_full | The Impact of Climate Change on Pavement Temperatures and Asphalt Binder Grade Selection in Estonia Based on Different Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_fullStr | The Impact of Climate Change on Pavement Temperatures and Asphalt Binder Grade Selection in Estonia Based on Different Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Impact of Climate Change on Pavement Temperatures and Asphalt Binder Grade Selection in Estonia Based on Different Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_short | The Impact of Climate Change on Pavement Temperatures and Asphalt Binder Grade Selection in Estonia Based on Different Climate Change Scenarios |
| title_sort | impact of climate change on pavement temperatures and asphalt binder grade selection in estonia based on different climate change scenarios |
| topic | asphalt binder climate change pavement temperatures performance grading Superpave |
| url | https://bjrbe-journals.rtu.lv/bjrbe/article/view/838 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT karlikontson theimpactofclimatechangeonpavementtemperaturesandasphaltbindergradeselectioninestoniabasedondifferentclimatechangescenarios AT kristjanlill theimpactofclimatechangeonpavementtemperaturesandasphaltbindergradeselectioninestoniabasedondifferentclimatechangescenarios AT artuellmann theimpactofclimatechangeonpavementtemperaturesandasphaltbindergradeselectioninestoniabasedondifferentclimatechangescenarios AT andrusaavik theimpactofclimatechangeonpavementtemperaturesandasphaltbindergradeselectioninestoniabasedondifferentclimatechangescenarios AT karlikontson impactofclimatechangeonpavementtemperaturesandasphaltbindergradeselectioninestoniabasedondifferentclimatechangescenarios AT kristjanlill impactofclimatechangeonpavementtemperaturesandasphaltbindergradeselectioninestoniabasedondifferentclimatechangescenarios AT artuellmann impactofclimatechangeonpavementtemperaturesandasphaltbindergradeselectioninestoniabasedondifferentclimatechangescenarios AT andrusaavik impactofclimatechangeonpavementtemperaturesandasphaltbindergradeselectioninestoniabasedondifferentclimatechangescenarios |