Unraveling the conditions for post-adoption contestation over hard climate policy in OECD countries

Abstract Understanding drivers of public contestation over hard climate policies is crucial for advancing climate action. While existing literature provides insights into conditions for policy support and adoption, conditions for policy contestation at the post-adoption stage remain opaque. We inves...

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Main Authors: Ksenia V. Anisimova, James J. Patterson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-06-01
Series:npj Climate Action
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00270-1
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author Ksenia V. Anisimova
James J. Patterson
author_facet Ksenia V. Anisimova
James J. Patterson
author_sort Ksenia V. Anisimova
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Understanding drivers of public contestation over hard climate policies is crucial for advancing climate action. While existing literature provides insights into conditions for policy support and adoption, conditions for policy contestation at the post-adoption stage remain opaque. We investigate conditions for policy contestation at the post-adoption stage in a sample of 27 national climate policies in OECD countries (2009–2022). We employ fuzzy-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis drawing on primary (62 structured expert interviews) and secondary (media, datasets, academic and grey literature, policy documents) data. Findings reveal that policy contestation arises from a combination of conditions, especially when policy is perceived as demanding and unfair, sometimes also combined with socio-political polarization, lack of climate change concern, and lack of information provision. This supports ex-ante work on expected conditions of contestation but also suggests a need for attention to conjunctural causation, complex socio-political constructs, and analyzing policy content and policy context jointly.
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spelling doaj-art-e9f0fc75016047cebc4314abad4948412025-08-20T03:31:45ZengNature Portfolionpj Climate Action2731-98142025-06-014111410.1038/s44168-025-00270-1Unraveling the conditions for post-adoption contestation over hard climate policy in OECD countriesKsenia V. Anisimova0James J. Patterson1Copernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht UniversityCopernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht UniversityAbstract Understanding drivers of public contestation over hard climate policies is crucial for advancing climate action. While existing literature provides insights into conditions for policy support and adoption, conditions for policy contestation at the post-adoption stage remain opaque. We investigate conditions for policy contestation at the post-adoption stage in a sample of 27 national climate policies in OECD countries (2009–2022). We employ fuzzy-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis drawing on primary (62 structured expert interviews) and secondary (media, datasets, academic and grey literature, policy documents) data. Findings reveal that policy contestation arises from a combination of conditions, especially when policy is perceived as demanding and unfair, sometimes also combined with socio-political polarization, lack of climate change concern, and lack of information provision. This supports ex-ante work on expected conditions of contestation but also suggests a need for attention to conjunctural causation, complex socio-political constructs, and analyzing policy content and policy context jointly.https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00270-1
spellingShingle Ksenia V. Anisimova
James J. Patterson
Unraveling the conditions for post-adoption contestation over hard climate policy in OECD countries
npj Climate Action
title Unraveling the conditions for post-adoption contestation over hard climate policy in OECD countries
title_full Unraveling the conditions for post-adoption contestation over hard climate policy in OECD countries
title_fullStr Unraveling the conditions for post-adoption contestation over hard climate policy in OECD countries
title_full_unstemmed Unraveling the conditions for post-adoption contestation over hard climate policy in OECD countries
title_short Unraveling the conditions for post-adoption contestation over hard climate policy in OECD countries
title_sort unraveling the conditions for post adoption contestation over hard climate policy in oecd countries
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s44168-025-00270-1
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