Analysis of Demand Response in Electric Systems with Strong Presence of Intermittent Generation Using Conditional Value-at-Risk

The integration of renewable sources, such as hydro, wind, and solar power, into electrical systems has profoundly transformed the sector’s dynamics. The inherent intermittency of these energy sources, due to the uncertainty associated with inflows, winds, and solar irradiation, introduces considera...

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Main Authors: Rafael V. X. de Souza, Thales Sousa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-09-01
Series:Energies
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/18/4688
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author Rafael V. X. de Souza
Thales Sousa
author_facet Rafael V. X. de Souza
Thales Sousa
author_sort Rafael V. X. de Souza
collection DOAJ
description The integration of renewable sources, such as hydro, wind, and solar power, into electrical systems has profoundly transformed the sector’s dynamics. The inherent intermittency of these energy sources, due to the uncertainty associated with inflows, winds, and solar irradiation, introduces considerable challenges in the operation and planning of the electrical system. In this context, demand response emerges as a promising solution to handle the fluctuations in renewable generation and maintain system stability and reliability. Therefore, this study presents a new approach to the demand response program through the modeling of an optimal power flow problem to minimize operational costs, considering the uncertainties in hydro, wind, and solar generation by applying the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) risk metric. The mathematical modeling of the problem was conducted, and the problem was solved using the MINOS solver. To validate the model, simulations were carried out using modified IEEE systems of 14, 30, 57, and 118 buses, considering operation planning for the next 24 h. Furthermore, sensitivity analyses were performed by altering the CVaR parameters. As a result of the simulations, the total operational cost, electrical losses, and hourly generation at each bus by source type were determined, highlighting how CVaR impacts the operation of this type of system.
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spelling doaj-art-e952de6775a747608bca18cd1fa4d2532025-08-20T01:55:26ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732024-09-011718468810.3390/en17184688Analysis of Demand Response in Electric Systems with Strong Presence of Intermittent Generation Using Conditional Value-at-RiskRafael V. X. de Souza0Thales Sousa1Center for Engineering, Modeling and Applied Social Sciences, Federal University of ABC, Santo André 09210-580, BrazilCenter for Engineering, Modeling and Applied Social Sciences, Federal University of ABC, Santo André 09210-580, BrazilThe integration of renewable sources, such as hydro, wind, and solar power, into electrical systems has profoundly transformed the sector’s dynamics. The inherent intermittency of these energy sources, due to the uncertainty associated with inflows, winds, and solar irradiation, introduces considerable challenges in the operation and planning of the electrical system. In this context, demand response emerges as a promising solution to handle the fluctuations in renewable generation and maintain system stability and reliability. Therefore, this study presents a new approach to the demand response program through the modeling of an optimal power flow problem to minimize operational costs, considering the uncertainties in hydro, wind, and solar generation by applying the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) risk metric. The mathematical modeling of the problem was conducted, and the problem was solved using the MINOS solver. To validate the model, simulations were carried out using modified IEEE systems of 14, 30, 57, and 118 buses, considering operation planning for the next 24 h. Furthermore, sensitivity analyses were performed by altering the CVaR parameters. As a result of the simulations, the total operational cost, electrical losses, and hourly generation at each bus by source type were determined, highlighting how CVaR impacts the operation of this type of system.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/18/4688CVaRdemand responseintermittent generationoptimal power flow
spellingShingle Rafael V. X. de Souza
Thales Sousa
Analysis of Demand Response in Electric Systems with Strong Presence of Intermittent Generation Using Conditional Value-at-Risk
Energies
CVaR
demand response
intermittent generation
optimal power flow
title Analysis of Demand Response in Electric Systems with Strong Presence of Intermittent Generation Using Conditional Value-at-Risk
title_full Analysis of Demand Response in Electric Systems with Strong Presence of Intermittent Generation Using Conditional Value-at-Risk
title_fullStr Analysis of Demand Response in Electric Systems with Strong Presence of Intermittent Generation Using Conditional Value-at-Risk
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of Demand Response in Electric Systems with Strong Presence of Intermittent Generation Using Conditional Value-at-Risk
title_short Analysis of Demand Response in Electric Systems with Strong Presence of Intermittent Generation Using Conditional Value-at-Risk
title_sort analysis of demand response in electric systems with strong presence of intermittent generation using conditional value at risk
topic CVaR
demand response
intermittent generation
optimal power flow
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/18/4688
work_keys_str_mv AT rafaelvxdesouza analysisofdemandresponseinelectricsystemswithstrongpresenceofintermittentgenerationusingconditionalvalueatrisk
AT thalessousa analysisofdemandresponseinelectricsystemswithstrongpresenceofintermittentgenerationusingconditionalvalueatrisk