How Do “One-Time Bidding, Average Price Win” Land Auction Rules Affect Land Prices: A Quasinatural Experiment in Suzhou, China

The land price reflects the supply and demand relationship in the land market and plays an important role in regulating land use. Improving land auction rules is of great significance for avoiding abnormal fluctuations in the land market and promoting the sustainable use of land resources. To regula...

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Main Authors: Duo Chai, Shunru Li, Pengyuan Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-10-01
Series:Land
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/11/1740
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author Duo Chai
Shunru Li
Pengyuan Zhang
author_facet Duo Chai
Shunru Li
Pengyuan Zhang
author_sort Duo Chai
collection DOAJ
description The land price reflects the supply and demand relationship in the land market and plays an important role in regulating land use. Improving land auction rules is of great significance for avoiding abnormal fluctuations in the land market and promoting the sustainable use of land resources. To regulate the abnormal fluctuations in the state-owned land use rights’ auction prices, Chinese local governments have implemented a “sealed one-time bidding, average price wins” rule. However, limited theoretical and empirical research that assesses its policy impact exists. This study examines the policy motivations behind this rule, constructing three game models; namely, static complete information, static incomplete information, and multiperiod repeated games. By deducing bidding strategies and equilibrium results, hypotheses are formulated. A baseline difference-in-differences (DID) and a dynamic policy effect model are designed, and the Python crawler is used to obtain 1182 microland auction samples in Suzhou. This study evaluates the impact of the one-time bidding rule on the starting prices, transaction prices, and premium rates. The empirical results underwent multiple robustness tests, eliminating potential endogeneity issues and biases. The results show that while the policy is effective in restraining the premium rate, indicating the bidding intensity in single-land auctions, it proves challenging to curb the long-term rise in land prices through continuous bidding auctions. Moreover, the policy may stimulate local governments to increase auction starting prices.
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spelling doaj-art-e91c65b411cc41b291d4517590209bef2025-08-20T02:47:58ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2024-10-011311174010.3390/land13111740How Do “One-Time Bidding, Average Price Win” Land Auction Rules Affect Land Prices: A Quasinatural Experiment in Suzhou, ChinaDuo Chai0Shunru Li1Pengyuan Zhang2School of Government, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing 100081, ChinaChina Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing 100081, ChinaSchool of Public Finance and Taxation, Hebei University of Economics and Business, Shijiazhuang 050061, ChinaThe land price reflects the supply and demand relationship in the land market and plays an important role in regulating land use. Improving land auction rules is of great significance for avoiding abnormal fluctuations in the land market and promoting the sustainable use of land resources. To regulate the abnormal fluctuations in the state-owned land use rights’ auction prices, Chinese local governments have implemented a “sealed one-time bidding, average price wins” rule. However, limited theoretical and empirical research that assesses its policy impact exists. This study examines the policy motivations behind this rule, constructing three game models; namely, static complete information, static incomplete information, and multiperiod repeated games. By deducing bidding strategies and equilibrium results, hypotheses are formulated. A baseline difference-in-differences (DID) and a dynamic policy effect model are designed, and the Python crawler is used to obtain 1182 microland auction samples in Suzhou. This study evaluates the impact of the one-time bidding rule on the starting prices, transaction prices, and premium rates. The empirical results underwent multiple robustness tests, eliminating potential endogeneity issues and biases. The results show that while the policy is effective in restraining the premium rate, indicating the bidding intensity in single-land auctions, it proves challenging to curb the long-term rise in land prices through continuous bidding auctions. Moreover, the policy may stimulate local governments to increase auction starting prices.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/11/1740auction of land use rightstate-owned landone-time bidding auctiongame analysis modeldifference-in-difference (DID) model
spellingShingle Duo Chai
Shunru Li
Pengyuan Zhang
How Do “One-Time Bidding, Average Price Win” Land Auction Rules Affect Land Prices: A Quasinatural Experiment in Suzhou, China
Land
auction of land use right
state-owned land
one-time bidding auction
game analysis model
difference-in-difference (DID) model
title How Do “One-Time Bidding, Average Price Win” Land Auction Rules Affect Land Prices: A Quasinatural Experiment in Suzhou, China
title_full How Do “One-Time Bidding, Average Price Win” Land Auction Rules Affect Land Prices: A Quasinatural Experiment in Suzhou, China
title_fullStr How Do “One-Time Bidding, Average Price Win” Land Auction Rules Affect Land Prices: A Quasinatural Experiment in Suzhou, China
title_full_unstemmed How Do “One-Time Bidding, Average Price Win” Land Auction Rules Affect Land Prices: A Quasinatural Experiment in Suzhou, China
title_short How Do “One-Time Bidding, Average Price Win” Land Auction Rules Affect Land Prices: A Quasinatural Experiment in Suzhou, China
title_sort how do one time bidding average price win land auction rules affect land prices a quasinatural experiment in suzhou china
topic auction of land use right
state-owned land
one-time bidding auction
game analysis model
difference-in-difference (DID) model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/11/1740
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AT shunruli howdoonetimebiddingaveragepricewinlandauctionrulesaffectlandpricesaquasinaturalexperimentinsuzhouchina
AT pengyuanzhang howdoonetimebiddingaveragepricewinlandauctionrulesaffectlandpricesaquasinaturalexperimentinsuzhouchina