Fluid volume status detection model for patients with heart failure based on machine learning methods

Backgroud: Fluid volume abnormalities are a major cause of exacerbations in heart failure patients. However, there is few efficient, rapid, or cost-effective clinical approach for determining volume status, resulting in inadequate or unsatisfactory treatment. The aim was to develop an early fluid vo...

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Main Authors: Haozhe Huang, Jing Guan, Chao Feng, Jinping Feng, Ying Ao, Chen Lu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-01-01
Series:Heliyon
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024171587
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author Haozhe Huang
Jing Guan
Chao Feng
Jinping Feng
Ying Ao
Chen Lu
author_facet Haozhe Huang
Jing Guan
Chao Feng
Jinping Feng
Ying Ao
Chen Lu
author_sort Haozhe Huang
collection DOAJ
description Backgroud: Fluid volume abnormalities are a major cause of exacerbations in heart failure patients. However, there is few efficient, rapid, or cost-effective clinical approach for determining volume status, resulting in inadequate or unsatisfactory treatment. The aim was to develop an early fluid volume detection model for heart failure patients utilizing a machine learning stratification. Methods: The training set data collected by Tianjin Chest Hospital on heart failure patients from December 2016 to December 2021, included 2056 samples and 97 medical characteristics. The minimum Redundancy Maximum Relevance(mRMR) feature selection method was utilized to filter features that were strongly related to the patient's fluid volume status. Four machine learning classification models were used to predict patients' fluid volume status, and their effectiveness was measured using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, specificity, and sensitivity. Data from 186 heart failure patients collected between January 2022 and July 2022 were employed as an external validation set to investigate the effects of model training. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were used to interpret the ML models Results: Thirty features were selected for model development, and the area under the ROC curve AUC (95 % CI) for the four machine learning models in the testing set was 0.75 (0.73–0.77), 0.77 (0.74–0.79), 0.70 (0.67–0.73), and 0.76 (0.73–0.78), and the AUC (95 % CI) in the external validation set was 0.74 (0.71–0.76), 0.70 (0.67–0.73), 0.64 (0.59–0.68), and 0.67 (0.63–0.71). Logistic regression models were globally interpreted using SHAP-based summary plots Conclusions: Machine learning methods are effective in detecting fluid volume status in heart failure patients and can assist physicians with assisted diagnosis, thus helping clinicians to tailor precise management
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spelling doaj-art-e910c86437ec43f49f166f2df654a1262025-08-20T03:00:57ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402025-01-01111e4112710.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e41127Fluid volume status detection model for patients with heart failure based on machine learning methodsHaozhe Huang0Jing Guan1Chao Feng2Jinping Feng3Ying Ao4Chen Lu5School of Mathematics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300350, ChinaSchool of Mathematics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300350, China; Corresponding author.Department of Cardiology, Tianjin University Chest Hospital, Tianjin, 300222, China; Corresponding author.Tianjin Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Emergencies and Critical Diseases, Tianjin, 300222, ChinaChest Clinical College of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, 300270, ChinaChest Clinical College of Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, 300270, ChinaBackgroud: Fluid volume abnormalities are a major cause of exacerbations in heart failure patients. However, there is few efficient, rapid, or cost-effective clinical approach for determining volume status, resulting in inadequate or unsatisfactory treatment. The aim was to develop an early fluid volume detection model for heart failure patients utilizing a machine learning stratification. Methods: The training set data collected by Tianjin Chest Hospital on heart failure patients from December 2016 to December 2021, included 2056 samples and 97 medical characteristics. The minimum Redundancy Maximum Relevance(mRMR) feature selection method was utilized to filter features that were strongly related to the patient's fluid volume status. Four machine learning classification models were used to predict patients' fluid volume status, and their effectiveness was measured using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, specificity, and sensitivity. Data from 186 heart failure patients collected between January 2022 and July 2022 were employed as an external validation set to investigate the effects of model training. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were used to interpret the ML models Results: Thirty features were selected for model development, and the area under the ROC curve AUC (95 % CI) for the four machine learning models in the testing set was 0.75 (0.73–0.77), 0.77 (0.74–0.79), 0.70 (0.67–0.73), and 0.76 (0.73–0.78), and the AUC (95 % CI) in the external validation set was 0.74 (0.71–0.76), 0.70 (0.67–0.73), 0.64 (0.59–0.68), and 0.67 (0.63–0.71). Logistic regression models were globally interpreted using SHAP-based summary plots Conclusions: Machine learning methods are effective in detecting fluid volume status in heart failure patients and can assist physicians with assisted diagnosis, thus helping clinicians to tailor precise managementhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024171587Heart failureFluid volume status detectionmRMRFeature selectionMachine learningSHAP
spellingShingle Haozhe Huang
Jing Guan
Chao Feng
Jinping Feng
Ying Ao
Chen Lu
Fluid volume status detection model for patients with heart failure based on machine learning methods
Heliyon
Heart failure
Fluid volume status detection
mRMR
Feature selection
Machine learning
SHAP
title Fluid volume status detection model for patients with heart failure based on machine learning methods
title_full Fluid volume status detection model for patients with heart failure based on machine learning methods
title_fullStr Fluid volume status detection model for patients with heart failure based on machine learning methods
title_full_unstemmed Fluid volume status detection model for patients with heart failure based on machine learning methods
title_short Fluid volume status detection model for patients with heart failure based on machine learning methods
title_sort fluid volume status detection model for patients with heart failure based on machine learning methods
topic Heart failure
Fluid volume status detection
mRMR
Feature selection
Machine learning
SHAP
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024171587
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AT jinpingfeng fluidvolumestatusdetectionmodelforpatientswithheartfailurebasedonmachinelearningmethods
AT yingao fluidvolumestatusdetectionmodelforpatientswithheartfailurebasedonmachinelearningmethods
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