SOIL MOISTURE PREDICTION MODEL IN PEATLAND USING RANDOM FOREST REGRESSOR

Soil moisture is one of the factors that has recently become the focus of research because it is strongly correlated with forest and land fires, where low soil moisture will increase drought and the incidence of forest and land fires. For this reason, this study aims to create a prediction model for...

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Main Authors: Helda Yunita Taihuttu, Imas Sukaesih Sitanggang, Lailan Syaufina
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Pattimura 2024-10-01
Series:Barekeng
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Online Access:https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/12959
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author Helda Yunita Taihuttu
Imas Sukaesih Sitanggang
Lailan Syaufina
author_facet Helda Yunita Taihuttu
Imas Sukaesih Sitanggang
Lailan Syaufina
author_sort Helda Yunita Taihuttu
collection DOAJ
description Soil moisture is one of the factors that has recently become the focus of research because it is strongly correlated with forest and land fires, where low soil moisture will increase drought and the incidence of forest and land fires. For this reason, this study aims to create a prediction model for soil moisture as an early prevention of fires in peatlands using the Random Forest Regressor (RFR) algorithm. RFR is used because of its ability to predict values and its resistance to overfitting and outliers. A dataset covering soil moisture, precipitation, temperature, maturity, and peat thickness was collected from August 2019 to December 2023. The data includes soil moisture, precipitation, temperature, maturity, and peat thickness. The data were divided into 80% for modeling and 20% for testing. Model performance was optimized through random search CV, resulting in significant prediction accuracy R-squared: 0.914, MAE: 0.0081, MSE: 0.0007, RMSE: 0 .0271, and MAPE: 0.969. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of RFR in soil moisture prediction and pave the way for more appropriate and timelier implementation of fire mitigation strategies.
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institution Kabale University
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publisher Universitas Pattimura
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spelling doaj-art-e8f4e46e892149abaa3a31446361e9062025-08-20T04:01:48ZengUniversitas PattimuraBarekeng1978-72272615-30172024-10-011842505251610.30598/barekengvol18iss4pp2505-251612959SOIL MOISTURE PREDICTION MODEL IN PEATLAND USING RANDOM FOREST REGRESSORHelda Yunita Taihuttu0Imas Sukaesih Sitanggang1Lailan Syaufina2Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, IPB University, IndonesiaDepartment of Computer Science, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, IPB University, IndonesiaDepartment of Silviculture, Faculty of Forestry, IPB University, IndonesiaSoil moisture is one of the factors that has recently become the focus of research because it is strongly correlated with forest and land fires, where low soil moisture will increase drought and the incidence of forest and land fires. For this reason, this study aims to create a prediction model for soil moisture as an early prevention of fires in peatlands using the Random Forest Regressor (RFR) algorithm. RFR is used because of its ability to predict values and its resistance to overfitting and outliers. A dataset covering soil moisture, precipitation, temperature, maturity, and peat thickness was collected from August 2019 to December 2023. The data includes soil moisture, precipitation, temperature, maturity, and peat thickness. The data were divided into 80% for modeling and 20% for testing. Model performance was optimized through random search CV, resulting in significant prediction accuracy R-squared: 0.914, MAE: 0.0081, MSE: 0.0007, RMSE: 0 .0271, and MAPE: 0.969. These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of RFR in soil moisture prediction and pave the way for more appropriate and timelier implementation of fire mitigation strategies.https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/12959forest and land fireprediction modelrandom forest regressorrandomized search cvsoil moisture
spellingShingle Helda Yunita Taihuttu
Imas Sukaesih Sitanggang
Lailan Syaufina
SOIL MOISTURE PREDICTION MODEL IN PEATLAND USING RANDOM FOREST REGRESSOR
Barekeng
forest and land fire
prediction model
random forest regressor
randomized search cv
soil moisture
title SOIL MOISTURE PREDICTION MODEL IN PEATLAND USING RANDOM FOREST REGRESSOR
title_full SOIL MOISTURE PREDICTION MODEL IN PEATLAND USING RANDOM FOREST REGRESSOR
title_fullStr SOIL MOISTURE PREDICTION MODEL IN PEATLAND USING RANDOM FOREST REGRESSOR
title_full_unstemmed SOIL MOISTURE PREDICTION MODEL IN PEATLAND USING RANDOM FOREST REGRESSOR
title_short SOIL MOISTURE PREDICTION MODEL IN PEATLAND USING RANDOM FOREST REGRESSOR
title_sort soil moisture prediction model in peatland using random forest regressor
topic forest and land fire
prediction model
random forest regressor
randomized search cv
soil moisture
url https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/12959
work_keys_str_mv AT heldayunitataihuttu soilmoisturepredictionmodelinpeatlandusingrandomforestregressor
AT imassukaesihsitanggang soilmoisturepredictionmodelinpeatlandusingrandomforestregressor
AT lailansyaufina soilmoisturepredictionmodelinpeatlandusingrandomforestregressor