An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptation

While adapting to future sea-level rise (SLR) and its hazards and impacts is a multidisciplinary challenge, the interaction of scientists across different research fields, and with practitioners, is limited. To stimulate collaboration and develop a common research agenda, a workshop held in June 202...

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Main Authors: Tim Henri Josephus Hermans, Renske de Winter, Joep Storms, Frances E. Dunn, Renske Gelderloos, Ferdinand Diermanse, Toon Haer, Dewi Le Bars, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Ymkje Huismans, Loes M. Kreemers, Eveline C. van der Linden, Stuart G. Pearson, Roelof Rietbroek, Aimee B.A. Slangen, Kathelijne M. Wijnberg, Gundula Winter, Roderik S.W. van de Wal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2025-01-01
Series:Cambridge Prisms: Coastal Futures
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Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2754720525100036/type/journal_article
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author Tim Henri Josephus Hermans
Renske de Winter
Joep Storms
Frances E. Dunn
Renske Gelderloos
Ferdinand Diermanse
Toon Haer
Dewi Le Bars
Marjolijn Haasnoot
Ymkje Huismans
Loes M. Kreemers
Eveline C. van der Linden
Stuart G. Pearson
Roelof Rietbroek
Aimee B.A. Slangen
Kathelijne M. Wijnberg
Gundula Winter
Roderik S.W. van de Wal
author_facet Tim Henri Josephus Hermans
Renske de Winter
Joep Storms
Frances E. Dunn
Renske Gelderloos
Ferdinand Diermanse
Toon Haer
Dewi Le Bars
Marjolijn Haasnoot
Ymkje Huismans
Loes M. Kreemers
Eveline C. van der Linden
Stuart G. Pearson
Roelof Rietbroek
Aimee B.A. Slangen
Kathelijne M. Wijnberg
Gundula Winter
Roderik S.W. van de Wal
author_sort Tim Henri Josephus Hermans
collection DOAJ
description While adapting to future sea-level rise (SLR) and its hazards and impacts is a multidisciplinary challenge, the interaction of scientists across different research fields, and with practitioners, is limited. To stimulate collaboration and develop a common research agenda, a workshop held in June 2024 gathered 22 scientists and policymakers working in the Netherlands. Participants discussed the interacting uncertainties across three different research fields: sea-level projections, hazards and impacts, and adaptation. Here, we present our view on the most important uncertainties within each field and the feasibility of managing and reducing those uncertainties. We find that enhanced collaboration is urgently needed to prioritize uncertainty reductions, manage expectations and increase the relevance of science to adaptation planning. Furthermore, we argue that in the coming decades, significant uncertainties will remain or newly arise in each research field and that rapidly accelerating SLR will remain a possibility. Therefore, we recommend investigating the extent to which early warning systems can help policymakers as a tool to make timely decisions under remaining uncertainties, in both the Netherlands and other coastal areas. Crucially, this will require viewing SLR, its hazards and impacts, and adaptation as a whole.
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spelling doaj-art-e7b40fc826654d72bc5f120990ebee352025-08-20T03:23:59ZengCambridge University PressCambridge Prisms: Coastal Futures2754-72052025-01-01310.1017/cft.2025.10003An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptationTim Henri Josephus Hermans0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0253-9291Renske de Winter1Joep Storms2Frances E. Dunn3Renske Gelderloos4Ferdinand Diermanse5Toon Haer6Dewi Le Bars7Marjolijn Haasnoot8Ymkje Huismans9Loes M. Kreemers10Eveline C. van der Linden11Stuart G. Pearson12Roelof Rietbroek13Aimee B.A. Slangen14https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6268-6683Kathelijne M. Wijnberg15Gundula Winter16Roderik S.W. van de Wal17Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, https://ror.org/04pp8hn57Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlandshttps://ror.org/01deh9c76Deltares, Delft, The NetherlandsDepartment of Geosciences and Engineering, https://ror.org/02e2c7k09Delft University of Technology, Delft, The NetherlandsDepartment of Physical Geography, https://ror.org/04pp8hn57Utrecht University, Utrecht, The NetherlandsDepartment of Hydraulic Engineering, https://ror.org/02e2c7k09Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlandshttps://ror.org/01deh9c76Deltares, Delft, The NetherlandsInstitute for Environmental Studies (IVM), https://ror.org/008xxew50Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlandshttps://ror.org/05dfgh554Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, The Netherlandshttps://ror.org/01deh9c76Deltares, Delft, The Netherlands Department of Physical Geography, https://ror.org/04pp8hn57Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlandshttps://ror.org/01deh9c76Deltares, Delft, The Netherlands Department of Hydraulic Engineering, https://ror.org/02e2c7k09Delft University of Technology, Delft, The NetherlandsPsychology for Sustainable Cities, Knowledge Centre Society and Law, https://ror.org/00y2z2s03Amsterdam University of Applied Science, Amsterdam, The Netherlandshttps://ror.org/05dfgh554Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, The NetherlandsDepartment of Hydraulic Engineering, https://ror.org/02e2c7k09Delft University of Technology, Delft, The NetherlandsITC Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, https://ror.org/006hf6230University of Twente, Enschede, The NetherlandsDepartment of Physical Geography, https://ror.org/04pp8hn57Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands Department of Estuarine and Delta Systems, https://ror.org/01gntjh03NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Yerseke, The NetherlandsDepartment of Civil Engineering and Management, https://ror.org/006hf6230University of Twente, Enschede, The Netherlandshttps://ror.org/01deh9c76Deltares, Delft, The NetherlandsInstitute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, https://ror.org/04pp8hn57Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands Department of Physical Geography, https://ror.org/04pp8hn57Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands https://ror.org/05dfgh554Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, The NetherlandsWhile adapting to future sea-level rise (SLR) and its hazards and impacts is a multidisciplinary challenge, the interaction of scientists across different research fields, and with practitioners, is limited. To stimulate collaboration and develop a common research agenda, a workshop held in June 2024 gathered 22 scientists and policymakers working in the Netherlands. Participants discussed the interacting uncertainties across three different research fields: sea-level projections, hazards and impacts, and adaptation. Here, we present our view on the most important uncertainties within each field and the feasibility of managing and reducing those uncertainties. We find that enhanced collaboration is urgently needed to prioritize uncertainty reductions, manage expectations and increase the relevance of science to adaptation planning. Furthermore, we argue that in the coming decades, significant uncertainties will remain or newly arise in each research field and that rapidly accelerating SLR will remain a possibility. Therefore, we recommend investigating the extent to which early warning systems can help policymakers as a tool to make timely decisions under remaining uncertainties, in both the Netherlands and other coastal areas. Crucially, this will require viewing SLR, its hazards and impacts, and adaptation as a whole.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2754720525100036/type/journal_articleSea-level risecoastal riskclimate adaptationcollaborationearly warning systems
spellingShingle Tim Henri Josephus Hermans
Renske de Winter
Joep Storms
Frances E. Dunn
Renske Gelderloos
Ferdinand Diermanse
Toon Haer
Dewi Le Bars
Marjolijn Haasnoot
Ymkje Huismans
Loes M. Kreemers
Eveline C. van der Linden
Stuart G. Pearson
Roelof Rietbroek
Aimee B.A. Slangen
Kathelijne M. Wijnberg
Gundula Winter
Roderik S.W. van de Wal
An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptation
Cambridge Prisms: Coastal Futures
Sea-level rise
coastal risk
climate adaptation
collaboration
early warning systems
title An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptation
title_full An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptation
title_fullStr An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptation
title_full_unstemmed An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptation
title_short An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptation
title_sort integrated view on the uncertainties of sea level rise hazards and impacts and adaptation
topic Sea-level rise
coastal risk
climate adaptation
collaboration
early warning systems
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2754720525100036/type/journal_article
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