Global assessment and hotspots of lake drought

Abstract Many lakes have exhibited substantial variability in recent years, making “lake drought” a growing concern. However, there is no established framework for identifying and studying lake droughts. Here, we propose a reliable definition for it and provide a global assessment of over 160,000 la...

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Main Authors: Xing Cheng, Shuo Wang, Jianli Chen, Amir AghaKouchak
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-04-01
Series:Communications Earth & Environment
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02285-2
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author Xing Cheng
Shuo Wang
Jianli Chen
Amir AghaKouchak
author_facet Xing Cheng
Shuo Wang
Jianli Chen
Amir AghaKouchak
author_sort Xing Cheng
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Many lakes have exhibited substantial variability in recent years, making “lake drought” a growing concern. However, there is no established framework for identifying and studying lake droughts. Here, we propose a reliable definition for it and provide a global assessment of over 160,000 lakes (≥1 km2) using monthly area data from 1985 to 2018. Our findings show that 15.7% of lakes have experienced statistically significant increasing trends in drought frequency (p < 0.05), with hotspots in the Southern United States at 52.7% and Southeast Australia at 70.4%. Furthermore, we identify two severe lake drought events in the Southern United States (2012–2014) and Southeast Australia (2007–2010), posing dramatic threats to water supplies, biodiversity, and ecological health. Rising trends in lake drought are driven by increasing temperature, vapor pressure deficit, and factors associated with the lake water cycle, such as precipitation deficit, increased evaporation, and excessive water withdrawal.
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issn 2662-4435
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spelling doaj-art-e77e599723f249d6a212c120cc70937b2025-08-20T02:19:58ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Earth & Environment2662-44352025-04-016111210.1038/s43247-025-02285-2Global assessment and hotspots of lake droughtXing Cheng0Shuo Wang1Jianli Chen2Amir AghaKouchak3Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic UniversityDepartment of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic UniversityDepartment of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic UniversityDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, IrvineAbstract Many lakes have exhibited substantial variability in recent years, making “lake drought” a growing concern. However, there is no established framework for identifying and studying lake droughts. Here, we propose a reliable definition for it and provide a global assessment of over 160,000 lakes (≥1 km2) using monthly area data from 1985 to 2018. Our findings show that 15.7% of lakes have experienced statistically significant increasing trends in drought frequency (p < 0.05), with hotspots in the Southern United States at 52.7% and Southeast Australia at 70.4%. Furthermore, we identify two severe lake drought events in the Southern United States (2012–2014) and Southeast Australia (2007–2010), posing dramatic threats to water supplies, biodiversity, and ecological health. Rising trends in lake drought are driven by increasing temperature, vapor pressure deficit, and factors associated with the lake water cycle, such as precipitation deficit, increased evaporation, and excessive water withdrawal.https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02285-2
spellingShingle Xing Cheng
Shuo Wang
Jianli Chen
Amir AghaKouchak
Global assessment and hotspots of lake drought
Communications Earth & Environment
title Global assessment and hotspots of lake drought
title_full Global assessment and hotspots of lake drought
title_fullStr Global assessment and hotspots of lake drought
title_full_unstemmed Global assessment and hotspots of lake drought
title_short Global assessment and hotspots of lake drought
title_sort global assessment and hotspots of lake drought
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02285-2
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AT shuowang globalassessmentandhotspotsoflakedrought
AT jianlichen globalassessmentandhotspotsoflakedrought
AT amiraghakouchak globalassessmentandhotspotsoflakedrought