Microseismic Data-Driven Short-Term Rockburst Evaluation in Underground Engineering with Strategic Data Augmentation and Extremely Randomized Forest

Rockburst is a common dynamic geological disaster in underground mining and tunneling engineering, characterized by randomness, abruptness, and impact. Short-term evaluation of rockburst potential plays an outsize role in ensuring the safety of workers, equipment, and projects. As is well known, mic...

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Main Authors: Shouye Cheng, Xin Yin, Feng Gao, Yucong Pan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-11-01
Series:Mathematics
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/22/3502
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author Shouye Cheng
Xin Yin
Feng Gao
Yucong Pan
author_facet Shouye Cheng
Xin Yin
Feng Gao
Yucong Pan
author_sort Shouye Cheng
collection DOAJ
description Rockburst is a common dynamic geological disaster in underground mining and tunneling engineering, characterized by randomness, abruptness, and impact. Short-term evaluation of rockburst potential plays an outsize role in ensuring the safety of workers, equipment, and projects. As is well known, microseismic monitoring serves as a reliable short-term early-warning technique for rockburst. However, the large amount of microseismic data brings many challenges to traditional manual analysis, such as the timeliness of data processing and the accuracy of rockburst prediction. To this end, this study integrates artificial intelligence with microseismic monitoring. On the basis of a comprehensive consideration of class imbalance and multicollinearity, an innovative modeling framework that combines local outlier factor-guided synthetic minority oversampling and an extremely randomized forest with C5.0 decision trees is proposed for the short-term evaluation of rockburst potential. To determine the optimal hyperparameters, the whale optimization algorithm is embedded. To prove the efficacy of the model, a total of 93 rockburst cases are collected from various engineering projects. The results show that the proposed approach achieves an accuracy of 90.91% and a macro <i>F</i><sub>1</sub>-score of 0.9141. Additionally, the local <i>F</i><sub>1</sub>-scores on low-intensity and high-intensity rockburst are 0.9600 and 0.9474, respectively. Finally, the advantages of the proposed approach are further validated through an extended comparative analysis. The insights derived from this research provide a reference for microseismic data-based short-term rockburst prediction when faced with class imbalance and multicollinearity.
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spelling doaj-art-e77c3b46727447f1bddf0a62bf1138c42025-08-20T02:05:04ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902024-11-011222350210.3390/math12223502Microseismic Data-Driven Short-Term Rockburst Evaluation in Underground Engineering with Strategic Data Augmentation and Extremely Randomized ForestShouye Cheng0Xin Yin1Feng Gao2Yucong Pan3Research Institute of Mine Construction, Tiandi Science and Technology Company Limited, Beijing 100013, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, ChinaResearch Institute of Mine Construction, Tiandi Science and Technology Company Limited, Beijing 100013, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, ChinaRockburst is a common dynamic geological disaster in underground mining and tunneling engineering, characterized by randomness, abruptness, and impact. Short-term evaluation of rockburst potential plays an outsize role in ensuring the safety of workers, equipment, and projects. As is well known, microseismic monitoring serves as a reliable short-term early-warning technique for rockburst. However, the large amount of microseismic data brings many challenges to traditional manual analysis, such as the timeliness of data processing and the accuracy of rockburst prediction. To this end, this study integrates artificial intelligence with microseismic monitoring. On the basis of a comprehensive consideration of class imbalance and multicollinearity, an innovative modeling framework that combines local outlier factor-guided synthetic minority oversampling and an extremely randomized forest with C5.0 decision trees is proposed for the short-term evaluation of rockburst potential. To determine the optimal hyperparameters, the whale optimization algorithm is embedded. To prove the efficacy of the model, a total of 93 rockburst cases are collected from various engineering projects. The results show that the proposed approach achieves an accuracy of 90.91% and a macro <i>F</i><sub>1</sub>-score of 0.9141. Additionally, the local <i>F</i><sub>1</sub>-scores on low-intensity and high-intensity rockburst are 0.9600 and 0.9474, respectively. Finally, the advantages of the proposed approach are further validated through an extended comparative analysis. The insights derived from this research provide a reference for microseismic data-based short-term rockburst prediction when faced with class imbalance and multicollinearity.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/22/3502underground engineeringrockburst predictionmicroseismic monitoringstrategic data augmentationextremely randomized forest
spellingShingle Shouye Cheng
Xin Yin
Feng Gao
Yucong Pan
Microseismic Data-Driven Short-Term Rockburst Evaluation in Underground Engineering with Strategic Data Augmentation and Extremely Randomized Forest
Mathematics
underground engineering
rockburst prediction
microseismic monitoring
strategic data augmentation
extremely randomized forest
title Microseismic Data-Driven Short-Term Rockburst Evaluation in Underground Engineering with Strategic Data Augmentation and Extremely Randomized Forest
title_full Microseismic Data-Driven Short-Term Rockburst Evaluation in Underground Engineering with Strategic Data Augmentation and Extremely Randomized Forest
title_fullStr Microseismic Data-Driven Short-Term Rockburst Evaluation in Underground Engineering with Strategic Data Augmentation and Extremely Randomized Forest
title_full_unstemmed Microseismic Data-Driven Short-Term Rockburst Evaluation in Underground Engineering with Strategic Data Augmentation and Extremely Randomized Forest
title_short Microseismic Data-Driven Short-Term Rockburst Evaluation in Underground Engineering with Strategic Data Augmentation and Extremely Randomized Forest
title_sort microseismic data driven short term rockburst evaluation in underground engineering with strategic data augmentation and extremely randomized forest
topic underground engineering
rockburst prediction
microseismic monitoring
strategic data augmentation
extremely randomized forest
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/22/3502
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AT fenggao microseismicdatadrivenshorttermrockburstevaluationinundergroundengineeringwithstrategicdataaugmentationandextremelyrandomizedforest
AT yucongpan microseismicdatadrivenshorttermrockburstevaluationinundergroundengineeringwithstrategicdataaugmentationandextremelyrandomizedforest