Machine Learning for Health Insurance Prediction in Nigeria

Health insurance coverage remains critical to healthcare accessibility, particularly in developing nations like Nigeria. This paper focused on predicting the likelihood of medical insurance coverage among individuals in Nigeria by employing four prominent Machine learning techniques: Logistic Regre...

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Main Authors: Victor Enemona Ochigbo, Oluwasogo Adekunle Okunade, Emmanuel Gbenga Dada, Oluyemi Mikail Olaniyi, Oluwatoyosi Victoria Oyewande
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: College of Engineering of Afe Babalola University, Ado-Ekiti (ABUAD), Ekiti State, Nigeria 2024-12-01
Series:ABUAD Journal of Engineering Research and Development
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.journals.abuad.edu.ng/index.php/ajerd/article/view/648
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author Victor Enemona Ochigbo
Oluwasogo Adekunle Okunade
Emmanuel Gbenga Dada
Oluyemi Mikail Olaniyi
Oluwatoyosi Victoria Oyewande
author_facet Victor Enemona Ochigbo
Oluwasogo Adekunle Okunade
Emmanuel Gbenga Dada
Oluyemi Mikail Olaniyi
Oluwatoyosi Victoria Oyewande
author_sort Victor Enemona Ochigbo
collection DOAJ
description Health insurance coverage remains critical to healthcare accessibility, particularly in developing nations like Nigeria. This paper focused on predicting the likelihood of medical insurance coverage among individuals in Nigeria by employing four prominent Machine learning techniques: Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Decision Tree, and Support Vector Machine classifiers. The dataset utilized for analysis comprises demographic information, socioeconomic factors, and health-related variables collected from a diverse sample across Nigeria. Four models are trained and evaluated: Logistic Regression widely accepted for its simplicity and interpretability. Random Forest is a robust ensemble learning algorithm capable of capturing complex relationships within the data. The decision Tree model is simple to understand and visualize and the Support Vector Machine model is known for producing a very good classification. Furthermore, the performance metrics uutilized to rate the predictive capabilities of the models are Accuracy, Precision, Sensitivity, F Score, and area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUC & ROC Curve). Additionally, a features importance analysis is conducted for the identification of the dominant factors contributing to the prediction of the spread of medical insurance in Nigeria. The outcome of this paper gives insights in the efficiency of each machine learning models used to forecast medical insurance coverage, and identifying key determinants influencing insurance coverage can assist policymakers and healthcare stakeholders in devising targeted strategies to improve healthcare access and affordability for the Nigerian people.
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spelling doaj-art-e73e654d5e9c4634b008177b0daa22092025-08-20T02:01:04ZengCollege of Engineering of Afe Babalola University, Ado-Ekiti (ABUAD), Ekiti State, NigeriaABUAD Journal of Engineering Research and Development2756-68112645-26852024-12-017210.53982/ajerd.2024.0702.52-jMachine Learning for Health Insurance Prediction in NigeriaVictor Enemona Ochigbo0Oluwasogo Adekunle Okunade1Emmanuel Gbenga Dada2Oluyemi Mikail Olaniyi3Oluwatoyosi Victoria Oyewande4Department of Knowledge Management and Communication, Agricultural Research Council of Nigeria, Abuja, NigeriaDepartment of Computer Science, Faculty of Sciences, National Open University of Nigeria, Abuja, NigeriaDepartment of Computer Science, Faculty of Physical Sciences, University of Maiduguri, Maiduguri, NigeriaDepartment of Computer Science, Faculty of Sciences, National Open University of Nigeria, Abuja, NigeriaDepartment of Computer Science, Faculty of Sciences, National Open University of Nigeria, Abuja, Nigeria Health insurance coverage remains critical to healthcare accessibility, particularly in developing nations like Nigeria. This paper focused on predicting the likelihood of medical insurance coverage among individuals in Nigeria by employing four prominent Machine learning techniques: Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Decision Tree, and Support Vector Machine classifiers. The dataset utilized for analysis comprises demographic information, socioeconomic factors, and health-related variables collected from a diverse sample across Nigeria. Four models are trained and evaluated: Logistic Regression widely accepted for its simplicity and interpretability. Random Forest is a robust ensemble learning algorithm capable of capturing complex relationships within the data. The decision Tree model is simple to understand and visualize and the Support Vector Machine model is known for producing a very good classification. Furthermore, the performance metrics uutilized to rate the predictive capabilities of the models are Accuracy, Precision, Sensitivity, F Score, and area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUC & ROC Curve). Additionally, a features importance analysis is conducted for the identification of the dominant factors contributing to the prediction of the spread of medical insurance in Nigeria. The outcome of this paper gives insights in the efficiency of each machine learning models used to forecast medical insurance coverage, and identifying key determinants influencing insurance coverage can assist policymakers and healthcare stakeholders in devising targeted strategies to improve healthcare access and affordability for the Nigerian people. https://www.journals.abuad.edu.ng/index.php/ajerd/article/view/648Ensemble Technique Odd RatioConfusion MatrixFeature ImportanceMedical Insurance
spellingShingle Victor Enemona Ochigbo
Oluwasogo Adekunle Okunade
Emmanuel Gbenga Dada
Oluyemi Mikail Olaniyi
Oluwatoyosi Victoria Oyewande
Machine Learning for Health Insurance Prediction in Nigeria
ABUAD Journal of Engineering Research and Development
Ensemble Technique
Odd Ratio
Confusion Matrix
Feature Importance
Medical Insurance
title Machine Learning for Health Insurance Prediction in Nigeria
title_full Machine Learning for Health Insurance Prediction in Nigeria
title_fullStr Machine Learning for Health Insurance Prediction in Nigeria
title_full_unstemmed Machine Learning for Health Insurance Prediction in Nigeria
title_short Machine Learning for Health Insurance Prediction in Nigeria
title_sort machine learning for health insurance prediction in nigeria
topic Ensemble Technique
Odd Ratio
Confusion Matrix
Feature Importance
Medical Insurance
url https://www.journals.abuad.edu.ng/index.php/ajerd/article/view/648
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