Recent Decline in Global Ocean Evaporation Due To Wind Stilling

Abstract Ocean evaporation (Eo) is the major source of atmospheric water vapor and precipitation. While it is widely recognized that Eo may increase in a warming climate, recent studies have reported a diminished increase in the global water vapor since ∼2000s, raising doubts about recent changes in...

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Main Authors: Ning Ma, Yongqiang Zhang, Yuting Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-02-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL114256
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author Ning Ma
Yongqiang Zhang
Yuting Yang
author_facet Ning Ma
Yongqiang Zhang
Yuting Yang
author_sort Ning Ma
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Ocean evaporation (Eo) is the major source of atmospheric water vapor and precipitation. While it is widely recognized that Eo may increase in a warming climate, recent studies have reported a diminished increase in the global water vapor since ∼2000s, raising doubts about recent changes in Eo. Using satellite observations, here we show that while global Eo strongly increased from 1988 to 2017, the upward trend reversed in the late 2000s. Since then, two‐thirds of the ocean have experienced weakened evaporation, leading to a slight decreasing trend in global‐averaged Eo during 2008–2017. This suggests that even with saturated surface, a warmer climate does not always result in increased evaporation. The reversal in Eo trend is primarily attributed to wind stilling, which is likely tied to the Northern Oscillation Index shifting from positive to negative phases. These findings offer crucial insights into diverse responses of global hydrological cycle to climate change.
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publishDate 2025-02-01
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series Geophysical Research Letters
spelling doaj-art-e723a792c5da49debb4a6ddcb30f38ee2025-08-20T02:58:26ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072025-02-01524n/an/a10.1029/2024GL114256Recent Decline in Global Ocean Evaporation Due To Wind StillingNing Ma0Yongqiang Zhang1Yuting Yang2Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaKey Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydroscience and Engineering Department of Hydraulic Engineering Tsinghua University Beijing ChinaAbstract Ocean evaporation (Eo) is the major source of atmospheric water vapor and precipitation. While it is widely recognized that Eo may increase in a warming climate, recent studies have reported a diminished increase in the global water vapor since ∼2000s, raising doubts about recent changes in Eo. Using satellite observations, here we show that while global Eo strongly increased from 1988 to 2017, the upward trend reversed in the late 2000s. Since then, two‐thirds of the ocean have experienced weakened evaporation, leading to a slight decreasing trend in global‐averaged Eo during 2008–2017. This suggests that even with saturated surface, a warmer climate does not always result in increased evaporation. The reversal in Eo trend is primarily attributed to wind stilling, which is likely tied to the Northern Oscillation Index shifting from positive to negative phases. These findings offer crucial insights into diverse responses of global hydrological cycle to climate change.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL114256evaporationoceanwind stillingclimate change
spellingShingle Ning Ma
Yongqiang Zhang
Yuting Yang
Recent Decline in Global Ocean Evaporation Due To Wind Stilling
Geophysical Research Letters
evaporation
ocean
wind stilling
climate change
title Recent Decline in Global Ocean Evaporation Due To Wind Stilling
title_full Recent Decline in Global Ocean Evaporation Due To Wind Stilling
title_fullStr Recent Decline in Global Ocean Evaporation Due To Wind Stilling
title_full_unstemmed Recent Decline in Global Ocean Evaporation Due To Wind Stilling
title_short Recent Decline in Global Ocean Evaporation Due To Wind Stilling
title_sort recent decline in global ocean evaporation due to wind stilling
topic evaporation
ocean
wind stilling
climate change
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL114256
work_keys_str_mv AT ningma recentdeclineinglobaloceanevaporationduetowindstilling
AT yongqiangzhang recentdeclineinglobaloceanevaporationduetowindstilling
AT yutingyang recentdeclineinglobaloceanevaporationduetowindstilling