Analysis and modelling of value added tax revenues on imports: Some issues of application in Ukraine

The aim of the article is to study the issues of analysis, modeling with the purpose of forecasting the payment of value added tax (VAT) on goods, works and services imported as imports into the customs territory of Ukraine. The reliability and validity of the planned VAT rate depend on the assessme...

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Main Authors: Mykhayilo Luchko, I. Drozd, K. Plutytska, R. Ruska, I. Vovk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitat Politècnica de València 2021-01-01
Series:International Journal of Production Management and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://polipapers.upv.es/index.php/IJPME/article/view/13984
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author Mykhayilo Luchko
I. Drozd
K. Plutytska
R. Ruska
I. Vovk
author_facet Mykhayilo Luchko
I. Drozd
K. Plutytska
R. Ruska
I. Vovk
author_sort Mykhayilo Luchko
collection DOAJ
description The aim of the article is to study the issues of analysis, modeling with the purpose of forecasting the payment of value added tax (VAT) on goods, works and services imported as imports into the customs territory of Ukraine. The reliability and validity of the planned VAT rate depend on the assessment of the status, forecast, seasonality and trends of economic and social development. The purpose of the work is to analyze and systematize the methodology for modeling VAT revenues from imports, justify the use of the econometric method and develop an adequate ARIMA model. It application is possible in the long term as well as smaller periods of time, which is relevant for monitoring and control of tax revenues. The study revealed the main factors influencing the application of the ARIMA model when modeling VAT revenues from imports. The resulting regression model in STATISTICA linked the variables with an accurate approximation.
format Article
id doaj-art-e6dff315b6ea45ae860cdec95059d62c
institution Kabale University
issn 2340-4876
language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Universitat Politècnica de València
record_format Article
series International Journal of Production Management and Engineering
spelling doaj-art-e6dff315b6ea45ae860cdec95059d62c2025-01-02T12:17:15ZengUniversitat Politècnica de ValènciaInternational Journal of Production Management and Engineering2340-48762021-01-0191374610.4995/ijpme.2021.139848530Analysis and modelling of value added tax revenues on imports: Some issues of application in UkraineMykhayilo Luchko0I. Drozd1K. Plutytska2R. Ruska3I. Vovk4Ternopil National Economic UniversityTaras Shevchenko National University of KyivZaporizhzhia National UniversityTernopil National Economic UniversityTernopil Ivan Puluj National Technical UniversityThe aim of the article is to study the issues of analysis, modeling with the purpose of forecasting the payment of value added tax (VAT) on goods, works and services imported as imports into the customs territory of Ukraine. The reliability and validity of the planned VAT rate depend on the assessment of the status, forecast, seasonality and trends of economic and social development. The purpose of the work is to analyze and systematize the methodology for modeling VAT revenues from imports, justify the use of the econometric method and develop an adequate ARIMA model. It application is possible in the long term as well as smaller periods of time, which is relevant for monitoring and control of tax revenues. The study revealed the main factors influencing the application of the ARIMA model when modeling VAT revenues from imports. The resulting regression model in STATISTICA linked the variables with an accurate approximation.https://polipapers.upv.es/index.php/IJPME/article/view/13984forecastingvalue added taxtax revenuearima modellingregression
spellingShingle Mykhayilo Luchko
I. Drozd
K. Plutytska
R. Ruska
I. Vovk
Analysis and modelling of value added tax revenues on imports: Some issues of application in Ukraine
International Journal of Production Management and Engineering
forecasting
value added tax
tax revenue
arima modelling
regression
title Analysis and modelling of value added tax revenues on imports: Some issues of application in Ukraine
title_full Analysis and modelling of value added tax revenues on imports: Some issues of application in Ukraine
title_fullStr Analysis and modelling of value added tax revenues on imports: Some issues of application in Ukraine
title_full_unstemmed Analysis and modelling of value added tax revenues on imports: Some issues of application in Ukraine
title_short Analysis and modelling of value added tax revenues on imports: Some issues of application in Ukraine
title_sort analysis and modelling of value added tax revenues on imports some issues of application in ukraine
topic forecasting
value added tax
tax revenue
arima modelling
regression
url https://polipapers.upv.es/index.php/IJPME/article/view/13984
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AT idrozd analysisandmodellingofvalueaddedtaxrevenuesonimportssomeissuesofapplicationinukraine
AT kplutytska analysisandmodellingofvalueaddedtaxrevenuesonimportssomeissuesofapplicationinukraine
AT rruska analysisandmodellingofvalueaddedtaxrevenuesonimportssomeissuesofapplicationinukraine
AT ivovk analysisandmodellingofvalueaddedtaxrevenuesonimportssomeissuesofapplicationinukraine