Diagnostics of factors affecting the stability of a construction organization work
Introduction. For any construction organization (both for the contractor and the developer), it is important to have an idea of a degree of stability of their work. But for today there is no universal method for identifying such factors and determining the degree of their significance. The purpose o...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Russian |
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Siberian State Automobile and Highway University
2023-09-01
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| Series: | Вестник СибАДИ |
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| Online Access: | https://vestnik.sibadi.org/jour/article/view/1675 |
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| author | O. A. Pobegaylov N. O. Sizen V. M. Dedlovskii |
| author_facet | O. A. Pobegaylov N. O. Sizen V. M. Dedlovskii |
| author_sort | O. A. Pobegaylov |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Introduction. For any construction organization (both for the contractor and the developer), it is important to have an idea of a degree of stability of their work. But for today there is no universal method for identifying such factors and determining the degree of their significance. The purpose of the study was to develop a method for diagnosing factors affecting the stability of the work of construction organizations.Materials and methods. The methodological basis of the work was the general scientific principles and methods of research both empirical methods (experiment and expert evaluation) and theoretical (analysis and synthesis, ascent from the abstract to the concrete, systematization). Risk factors and uncertainties are separated from each other by the criterion of the presence or absence of probability of the occurrence of an event. It follows that risks can be minimized, but uncertainty can only be removed, since it is impossible to minimize something whose magnitude is unknown. The groups of risks affecting the stability of the construction organization, as well as some groups of uncertainties that may affect the construction are identified. An expert assessment of risk factors and uncertainty affecting the stability of the construction organization was carried out, as a result of which diagnostics and analysis of internal and external threat factors affecting the progress of construction were carried out.Results. A model for diagnosing risk factors and uncertainty in modern construction is proposed. Risks and uncertainties are ranked according to the level of their danger for the activities of a construction organization and, in general, for the implementation of an investment construction project. The obtained results of risk ranking help to make management decisions aimed at minimizing the most dangerous risks. For example, to plan the acquisition (leasing) of new equipment, to develop additional measures of social incentives for employees, to check the existing logistics chains, to strengthen financial management, etc. Recommendations are also given for removing uncertainties in the course of the work of a construction organization.Discussion and conclusions. The developed method of diagnosing uncertainty and risk factors can be used by both construction contractors and developers. Moreover, large developers and investors can use it not only in the work of their organization, but also to assess uncertainty and risk in general investment and construction activities. In the future, it is possible to study risk-forming factors, to take into account their mutual influence and the degree of controllability (manageability), to identify those factors that require special attention, as well as to develop a general program for managing risks and uncertainty of an investment project. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-e5cfbd253a52432990b7056ab53ef7e7 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2071-7296 2658-5626 |
| language | Russian |
| publishDate | 2023-09-01 |
| publisher | Siberian State Automobile and Highway University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Вестник СибАДИ |
| spelling | doaj-art-e5cfbd253a52432990b7056ab53ef7e72025-08-20T03:56:23ZrusSiberian State Automobile and Highway UniversityВестник СибАДИ2071-72962658-56262023-09-0120451452610.26518/2071-7296-2023-20-4-514-526821Diagnostics of factors affecting the stability of a construction organization workO. A. Pobegaylov0N. O. Sizen1V. M. Dedlovskii2Don State Technical UniversityDon State Technical UniversityDon State Technical UniversityIntroduction. For any construction organization (both for the contractor and the developer), it is important to have an idea of a degree of stability of their work. But for today there is no universal method for identifying such factors and determining the degree of their significance. The purpose of the study was to develop a method for diagnosing factors affecting the stability of the work of construction organizations.Materials and methods. The methodological basis of the work was the general scientific principles and methods of research both empirical methods (experiment and expert evaluation) and theoretical (analysis and synthesis, ascent from the abstract to the concrete, systematization). Risk factors and uncertainties are separated from each other by the criterion of the presence or absence of probability of the occurrence of an event. It follows that risks can be minimized, but uncertainty can only be removed, since it is impossible to minimize something whose magnitude is unknown. The groups of risks affecting the stability of the construction organization, as well as some groups of uncertainties that may affect the construction are identified. An expert assessment of risk factors and uncertainty affecting the stability of the construction organization was carried out, as a result of which diagnostics and analysis of internal and external threat factors affecting the progress of construction were carried out.Results. A model for diagnosing risk factors and uncertainty in modern construction is proposed. Risks and uncertainties are ranked according to the level of their danger for the activities of a construction organization and, in general, for the implementation of an investment construction project. The obtained results of risk ranking help to make management decisions aimed at minimizing the most dangerous risks. For example, to plan the acquisition (leasing) of new equipment, to develop additional measures of social incentives for employees, to check the existing logistics chains, to strengthen financial management, etc. Recommendations are also given for removing uncertainties in the course of the work of a construction organization.Discussion and conclusions. The developed method of diagnosing uncertainty and risk factors can be used by both construction contractors and developers. Moreover, large developers and investors can use it not only in the work of their organization, but also to assess uncertainty and risk in general investment and construction activities. In the future, it is possible to study risk-forming factors, to take into account their mutual influence and the degree of controllability (manageability), to identify those factors that require special attention, as well as to develop a general program for managing risks and uncertainty of an investment project.https://vestnik.sibadi.org/jour/article/view/1675risk factorsstability of the construction organizationremoval of uncertaintyrisk minimizationranking of factorscontractordeveloperinvestment projectmodelling |
| spellingShingle | O. A. Pobegaylov N. O. Sizen V. M. Dedlovskii Diagnostics of factors affecting the stability of a construction organization work Вестник СибАДИ risk factors stability of the construction organization removal of uncertainty risk minimization ranking of factors contractor developer investment project modelling |
| title | Diagnostics of factors affecting the stability of a construction organization work |
| title_full | Diagnostics of factors affecting the stability of a construction organization work |
| title_fullStr | Diagnostics of factors affecting the stability of a construction organization work |
| title_full_unstemmed | Diagnostics of factors affecting the stability of a construction organization work |
| title_short | Diagnostics of factors affecting the stability of a construction organization work |
| title_sort | diagnostics of factors affecting the stability of a construction organization work |
| topic | risk factors stability of the construction organization removal of uncertainty risk minimization ranking of factors contractor developer investment project modelling |
| url | https://vestnik.sibadi.org/jour/article/view/1675 |
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