Comparison between simulated scenarios and Swedish COVID-19 cases throughout the pandemic

Comparison between simulated scenarios and Swedish COVID-19 cases throughout the pandemic

Abstract This study assesses the accuracy of COVID-19 scenarios for new infections produced by the Swedish Public Health Agency (PHAS) from December 1, 2020, to March 20, 2023. We introduce a Similarity Error ( $$\:SEr$$ ), which evaluates the dissimilarity between simulated and observed case time s...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hatef Darabi, Ilias Galanis, Federico Benzi, Gerard Farré Puiggalí, Philip Gerlee, Torbjörn Lundh, Lisa Brouwers
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-07-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Subjects:
COVID-19
Scenario analysis
Simulation similarity
Time series comparison
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-08682-z
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