Early urea-to-creatinine ratio to predict rapid muscle loss in critically ill patients with sepsis: a single-center retrospective observational study

Abstract Background Patients with sepsis in the intensive care unit (ICU) often experience rapid muscle loss. The urea-to-creatinine ratio (UCR) is thought to reflect muscle breakdown (creatinine) and catabolism (urea) and is commonly used to assess nutritional and metabolic status. This study aimed...

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Main Authors: Jie Jiang, Hui Chen, Shan-shan Meng, Chun Pan, Jian-Feng Xie, Feng-Mei Guo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-01-01
Series:BMC Anesthesiology
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12871-025-02892-8
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author Jie Jiang
Hui Chen
Shan-shan Meng
Chun Pan
Jian-Feng Xie
Feng-Mei Guo
author_facet Jie Jiang
Hui Chen
Shan-shan Meng
Chun Pan
Jian-Feng Xie
Feng-Mei Guo
author_sort Jie Jiang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Patients with sepsis in the intensive care unit (ICU) often experience rapid muscle loss. The urea-to-creatinine ratio (UCR) is thought to reflect muscle breakdown (creatinine) and catabolism (urea) and is commonly used to assess nutritional and metabolic status. This study aimed to investigate whether changes in UCR (ΔUCR) can predict the development of rapid muscle loss in patients with sepsis. Methods This retrospective observational study was conducted in a university ICU between 2014 and 2021, involving adult patients (≥ 18 years) diagnosed with sepsis. The primary outcome was the incidence of rapid muscle loss during ICU hospitalization. Changes in the cross-sectional muscle area at the third lumbar vertebra (L3SMA) were measured using CT images to evaluate muscle loss. Rapid muscle loss was defined as a change in ΔL3SMA greater than 2% per day. Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine the association between UCR or ΔUCR and rapid muscle loss. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to assess the predictive performance of UCR or ΔUCR for rapid muscle loss. Results Of the 482 patients, 141 (29.2%) experienced rapid muscle loss during their ICU stay. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that ΔUCR was significantly associated with an increased risk of rapid muscle loss, with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.02 [95% CI: 1.01, 1.02]. The AUC for ΔUCR in predicting rapid muscle loss was 0.76 [95% CI: 0.68–0.83], with a threshold value of 19.4 µmol urea/µmol creatinine for ΔUCR. Conclusion The results demonstrate that ΔUCR is independently associated with rapid muscle loss in patients with sepsis and the AUC of the ROC curve for the ability of ΔUCR to predict rapid muscle loss was 0.76. Though additional prospective data are needed, our results suggest that ΔUCR may be useful in the early identification of critically ill patients with sepsis at risk of rapid muscle loss.
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spelling doaj-art-e5272a90e9bc4095aebb8891267435d02025-01-12T12:37:12ZengBMCBMC Anesthesiology1471-22532025-01-012511910.1186/s12871-025-02892-8Early urea-to-creatinine ratio to predict rapid muscle loss in critically ill patients with sepsis: a single-center retrospective observational studyJie Jiang0Hui Chen1Shan-shan Meng2Chun Pan3Jian-Feng Xie4Feng-Mei Guo5Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Critical Care Medicine, School of Medicine, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast UniversityJiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Critical Care Medicine, School of Medicine, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast UniversityJiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Critical Care Medicine, School of Medicine, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast UniversityJiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Critical Care Medicine, School of Medicine, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast UniversityJiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Critical Care Medicine, School of Medicine, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast UniversityJiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Critical Care Medicine, School of Medicine, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast UniversityAbstract Background Patients with sepsis in the intensive care unit (ICU) often experience rapid muscle loss. The urea-to-creatinine ratio (UCR) is thought to reflect muscle breakdown (creatinine) and catabolism (urea) and is commonly used to assess nutritional and metabolic status. This study aimed to investigate whether changes in UCR (ΔUCR) can predict the development of rapid muscle loss in patients with sepsis. Methods This retrospective observational study was conducted in a university ICU between 2014 and 2021, involving adult patients (≥ 18 years) diagnosed with sepsis. The primary outcome was the incidence of rapid muscle loss during ICU hospitalization. Changes in the cross-sectional muscle area at the third lumbar vertebra (L3SMA) were measured using CT images to evaluate muscle loss. Rapid muscle loss was defined as a change in ΔL3SMA greater than 2% per day. Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine the association between UCR or ΔUCR and rapid muscle loss. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to assess the predictive performance of UCR or ΔUCR for rapid muscle loss. Results Of the 482 patients, 141 (29.2%) experienced rapid muscle loss during their ICU stay. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that ΔUCR was significantly associated with an increased risk of rapid muscle loss, with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.02 [95% CI: 1.01, 1.02]. The AUC for ΔUCR in predicting rapid muscle loss was 0.76 [95% CI: 0.68–0.83], with a threshold value of 19.4 µmol urea/µmol creatinine for ΔUCR. Conclusion The results demonstrate that ΔUCR is independently associated with rapid muscle loss in patients with sepsis and the AUC of the ROC curve for the ability of ΔUCR to predict rapid muscle loss was 0.76. Though additional prospective data are needed, our results suggest that ΔUCR may be useful in the early identification of critically ill patients with sepsis at risk of rapid muscle loss.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12871-025-02892-8SepsisSkeletal muscle wastingUrea-to-creatinine ratioICU acquired weakness
spellingShingle Jie Jiang
Hui Chen
Shan-shan Meng
Chun Pan
Jian-Feng Xie
Feng-Mei Guo
Early urea-to-creatinine ratio to predict rapid muscle loss in critically ill patients with sepsis: a single-center retrospective observational study
BMC Anesthesiology
Sepsis
Skeletal muscle wasting
Urea-to-creatinine ratio
ICU acquired weakness
title Early urea-to-creatinine ratio to predict rapid muscle loss in critically ill patients with sepsis: a single-center retrospective observational study
title_full Early urea-to-creatinine ratio to predict rapid muscle loss in critically ill patients with sepsis: a single-center retrospective observational study
title_fullStr Early urea-to-creatinine ratio to predict rapid muscle loss in critically ill patients with sepsis: a single-center retrospective observational study
title_full_unstemmed Early urea-to-creatinine ratio to predict rapid muscle loss in critically ill patients with sepsis: a single-center retrospective observational study
title_short Early urea-to-creatinine ratio to predict rapid muscle loss in critically ill patients with sepsis: a single-center retrospective observational study
title_sort early urea to creatinine ratio to predict rapid muscle loss in critically ill patients with sepsis a single center retrospective observational study
topic Sepsis
Skeletal muscle wasting
Urea-to-creatinine ratio
ICU acquired weakness
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12871-025-02892-8
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