Machine learning prediction of severity and duration of hypoglycemic events in type 1 diabetes patients

We compare the performance of machine learning methods for building predictive models to estimate the expected characteristics of hypoglycemic or low blood glucose events in type 1 diabetes patients.  We hypothesize that the rate of change of blood glucose ahead of a hypoglycemic event may affect th...

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Main Authors: Annie Wu, Eashan Singh, Ivy Zhang, Anika Bilal, Anna Casu, Richard Pratley
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: LibraryPress@UF 2024-05-01
Series:Proceedings of the International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society Conference
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.flvc.org/FLAIRS/article/view/135600
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author Annie Wu
Eashan Singh
Ivy Zhang
Anika Bilal
Anna Casu
Richard Pratley
author_facet Annie Wu
Eashan Singh
Ivy Zhang
Anika Bilal
Anna Casu
Richard Pratley
author_sort Annie Wu
collection DOAJ
description We compare the performance of machine learning methods for building predictive models to estimate the expected characteristics of hypoglycemic or low blood glucose events in type 1 diabetes patients.  We hypothesize that the rate of change of blood glucose ahead of a hypoglycemic event may affect the severity and duration of the event and investigate the utility of machine learning methods on using blood glucose rate of change, in combination with other physiological and demographic factors, to predict the minimum glucose value and the duration of a hypoglycemic event.  This work compares the performance of six state-of-the-art methods on prediction accuracy and feature selection.  Results find that XGBoost delivers the best performance in all cases.  Examination of the XGBoost feature importance scores show that glucose rate of change is the most used feature in the models generated by XGBoost.
format Article
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institution OA Journals
issn 2334-0754
2334-0762
language English
publishDate 2024-05-01
publisher LibraryPress@UF
record_format Article
series Proceedings of the International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society Conference
spelling doaj-art-e4f7bcf354274672ac3e49c3e44201d52025-08-20T01:52:22ZengLibraryPress@UFProceedings of the International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society Conference2334-07542334-07622024-05-013710.32473/flairs.37.1.13560071979Machine learning prediction of severity and duration of hypoglycemic events in type 1 diabetes patientsAnnie Wu0Eashan Singh1Ivy Zhang2Anika Bilal3Anna Casu4Richard Pratley5University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central FloridaUniversity of Central FloridaAdventHealth Translational Research InstituteAdventHealth Translational Research InstituteAdventHealth Translational Research InstituteWe compare the performance of machine learning methods for building predictive models to estimate the expected characteristics of hypoglycemic or low blood glucose events in type 1 diabetes patients.  We hypothesize that the rate of change of blood glucose ahead of a hypoglycemic event may affect the severity and duration of the event and investigate the utility of machine learning methods on using blood glucose rate of change, in combination with other physiological and demographic factors, to predict the minimum glucose value and the duration of a hypoglycemic event.  This work compares the performance of six state-of-the-art methods on prediction accuracy and feature selection.  Results find that XGBoost delivers the best performance in all cases.  Examination of the XGBoost feature importance scores show that glucose rate of change is the most used feature in the models generated by XGBoost.https://journals.flvc.org/FLAIRS/article/view/135600machine learningdiabeteshypoglycemiadecision treerandom forestdeep neural network
spellingShingle Annie Wu
Eashan Singh
Ivy Zhang
Anika Bilal
Anna Casu
Richard Pratley
Machine learning prediction of severity and duration of hypoglycemic events in type 1 diabetes patients
Proceedings of the International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society Conference
machine learning
diabetes
hypoglycemia
decision tree
random forest
deep neural network
title Machine learning prediction of severity and duration of hypoglycemic events in type 1 diabetes patients
title_full Machine learning prediction of severity and duration of hypoglycemic events in type 1 diabetes patients
title_fullStr Machine learning prediction of severity and duration of hypoglycemic events in type 1 diabetes patients
title_full_unstemmed Machine learning prediction of severity and duration of hypoglycemic events in type 1 diabetes patients
title_short Machine learning prediction of severity and duration of hypoglycemic events in type 1 diabetes patients
title_sort machine learning prediction of severity and duration of hypoglycemic events in type 1 diabetes patients
topic machine learning
diabetes
hypoglycemia
decision tree
random forest
deep neural network
url https://journals.flvc.org/FLAIRS/article/view/135600
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