Nomogram M Prognostic Value for Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebral Events after Elective Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary Bypass
The objective: to evaluate the prognostic value of Nomogram M for major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and major adverse cardiac and cerebral events (MACCE) after elective cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass.Subjects and Methods. This is a retrospective cohort study of the Nomogram M prognost...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Russian |
| Published: |
New Terra Publishing House
2022-05-01
|
| Series: | Вестник анестезиологии и реаниматологии |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.vair-journal.com/jour/article/view/643 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1849252832833699840 |
|---|---|
| author | L. B. Berikashvili A. N. Kuzovlev M. Yа. Yadgarov K. K. Kadantseva E. A. Ozhiganova V. V. Likhvantsev |
| author_facet | L. B. Berikashvili A. N. Kuzovlev M. Yа. Yadgarov K. K. Kadantseva E. A. Ozhiganova V. V. Likhvantsev |
| author_sort | L. B. Berikashvili |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The objective: to evaluate the prognostic value of Nomogram M for major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and major adverse cardiac and cerebral events (MACCE) after elective cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass.Subjects and Methods. This is a retrospective cohort study of the Nomogram M prognostic value for MACE and MACCE after elective cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. 158 patients were enrolled in the study. The prognostic value was estimated using ROC-analysis.Results. The frequency of MACE and MACCE during hospitalization made 5.7% (9 of 158 patients) and 6.3% (10 of 158 patients), respectively. AUC Nomogram M for MACE was 0.888 [0.825; 0.950] (p < 0.001). Cut-off value made 12.5 points (sensitivity – 88.89%, specificity – 83.89%). Odd ratio was 41.67 [95% CI 4.98; 348.61] (p < 0.001).AUC Nomogram M for MACCE was 0.893 [0.834; 0.951] (p < 0.001). Cut-off value made 12.5 points (sensitivity – 90.00%, specificity – 84.46%). Odd ratio was 48.91 [95% CI 5.91; 404.78] (p < 0.001)Conclusion. Nomogram M has a good prognostic value for the occurrence of MACE and MACCE after elective cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. For MACE sensitivity made 88.89%, and specificity – 83.89%. For MACCE sensitivity was 90.00%, specificity – 84.46%. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-e4e89b0413b74237a6ea675dad72cf27 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2078-5658 2541-8653 |
| language | Russian |
| publishDate | 2022-05-01 |
| publisher | New Terra Publishing House |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Вестник анестезиологии и реаниматологии |
| spelling | doaj-art-e4e89b0413b74237a6ea675dad72cf272025-08-20T03:56:32ZrusNew Terra Publishing HouseВестник анестезиологии и реаниматологии2078-56582541-86532022-05-0119261310.21292/2078-5658-2022-19-2-6-13504Nomogram M Prognostic Value for Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebral Events after Elective Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary BypassL. B. Berikashvili0A. N. Kuzovlev1M. Yа. Yadgarov2K. K. Kadantseva3E. A. Ozhiganova4V. V. Likhvantsev5V. A. Negovsky Reanimatology Research Institute; M. F. Vladimirsky Moscow Regional Research and Clinical InstituteV. A. Negovsky Reanimatology Research InstituteV. A. Negovsky Reanimatology Research InstituteV. A. Negovsky Reanimatology Research InstituteV. A. Negovsky Reanimatology Research InstituteV. A. Negovsky Reanimatology Research Institute; I. M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University)The objective: to evaluate the prognostic value of Nomogram M for major adverse cardiac events (MACE) and major adverse cardiac and cerebral events (MACCE) after elective cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass.Subjects and Methods. This is a retrospective cohort study of the Nomogram M prognostic value for MACE and MACCE after elective cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. 158 patients were enrolled in the study. The prognostic value was estimated using ROC-analysis.Results. The frequency of MACE and MACCE during hospitalization made 5.7% (9 of 158 patients) and 6.3% (10 of 158 patients), respectively. AUC Nomogram M for MACE was 0.888 [0.825; 0.950] (p < 0.001). Cut-off value made 12.5 points (sensitivity – 88.89%, specificity – 83.89%). Odd ratio was 41.67 [95% CI 4.98; 348.61] (p < 0.001).AUC Nomogram M for MACCE was 0.893 [0.834; 0.951] (p < 0.001). Cut-off value made 12.5 points (sensitivity – 90.00%, specificity – 84.46%). Odd ratio was 48.91 [95% CI 5.91; 404.78] (p < 0.001)Conclusion. Nomogram M has a good prognostic value for the occurrence of MACE and MACCE after elective cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. For MACE sensitivity made 88.89%, and specificity – 83.89%. For MACCE sensitivity was 90.00%, specificity – 84.46%.https://www.vair-journal.com/jour/article/view/643cardiac surgerycardiopulmonary bypassmacemaccepostoperative complicationsprognostic scales |
| spellingShingle | L. B. Berikashvili A. N. Kuzovlev M. Yа. Yadgarov K. K. Kadantseva E. A. Ozhiganova V. V. Likhvantsev Nomogram M Prognostic Value for Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebral Events after Elective Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary Bypass Вестник анестезиологии и реаниматологии cardiac surgery cardiopulmonary bypass mace macce postoperative complications prognostic scales |
| title | Nomogram M Prognostic Value for Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebral Events after Elective Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary Bypass |
| title_full | Nomogram M Prognostic Value for Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebral Events after Elective Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary Bypass |
| title_fullStr | Nomogram M Prognostic Value for Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebral Events after Elective Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary Bypass |
| title_full_unstemmed | Nomogram M Prognostic Value for Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebral Events after Elective Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary Bypass |
| title_short | Nomogram M Prognostic Value for Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebral Events after Elective Cardiac Surgery with Cardiopulmonary Bypass |
| title_sort | nomogram m prognostic value for major adverse cardiac and cerebral events after elective cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass |
| topic | cardiac surgery cardiopulmonary bypass mace macce postoperative complications prognostic scales |
| url | https://www.vair-journal.com/jour/article/view/643 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT lbberikashvili nomogrammprognosticvalueformajoradversecardiacandcerebraleventsafterelectivecardiacsurgerywithcardiopulmonarybypass AT ankuzovlev nomogrammprognosticvalueformajoradversecardiacandcerebraleventsafterelectivecardiacsurgerywithcardiopulmonarybypass AT myayadgarov nomogrammprognosticvalueformajoradversecardiacandcerebraleventsafterelectivecardiacsurgerywithcardiopulmonarybypass AT kkkadantseva nomogrammprognosticvalueformajoradversecardiacandcerebraleventsafterelectivecardiacsurgerywithcardiopulmonarybypass AT eaozhiganova nomogrammprognosticvalueformajoradversecardiacandcerebraleventsafterelectivecardiacsurgerywithcardiopulmonarybypass AT vvlikhvantsev nomogrammprognosticvalueformajoradversecardiacandcerebraleventsafterelectivecardiacsurgerywithcardiopulmonarybypass |