Determinants of crop insurance demand in Türkiye: a PLS-SEM analysis integrating economic and ecological factors

IntroductionAgricultural production in Türkiye is increasingly exposed to risks stemming from climate change, environmental degradation, and economic volatility. Effective insurance mechanisms are crucial for building resilience in this sector.MethodsThis study analyzes agricultural insurance demand...

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Main Author: Serap Yörübulut
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-08-01
Series:Frontiers in Environmental Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2025.1651603/full
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author Serap Yörübulut
author_facet Serap Yörübulut
author_sort Serap Yörübulut
collection DOAJ
description IntroductionAgricultural production in Türkiye is increasingly exposed to risks stemming from climate change, environmental degradation, and economic volatility. Effective insurance mechanisms are crucial for building resilience in this sector.MethodsThis study analyzes agricultural insurance demand in Türkiye from 2006 to 2023 using Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM). Three latent constructs are examined: Agricultural Economy (agricultural GDP, agricultural area, insured area), Insurance Economy (government subsidized premium, total premiums, insured values), and Ecological-Meteorological Risks (Load Capacity Factor and meteorological disasters count).ResultsThe agricultural economy is identified as the strongest predictor of insurance demand, followed by the insurance economy and ecological-meteorological risks. The inclusion of Load Capacity Factor introduces a novel ecological dimension, revealing that insurance demand increases as ecological thresholds are approached.DiscussionThe study proposes that structural modeling outputs can be utilized in designing index-based insurance premiums. It recommends policy interventions such as ecological risk zoning, vulnerability-based premium subsidies, and adaptive insurance schemes. Integrating ecological indicators into insurance modeling offers a future-oriented approach to sustainable agricultural risk management.
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institution Kabale University
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publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
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spelling doaj-art-e46f7ca16049403b8666337d400bc6cd2025-08-20T04:01:01ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Environmental Science2296-665X2025-08-011310.3389/fenvs.2025.16516031651603Determinants of crop insurance demand in Türkiye: a PLS-SEM analysis integrating economic and ecological factorsSerap YörübulutIntroductionAgricultural production in Türkiye is increasingly exposed to risks stemming from climate change, environmental degradation, and economic volatility. Effective insurance mechanisms are crucial for building resilience in this sector.MethodsThis study analyzes agricultural insurance demand in Türkiye from 2006 to 2023 using Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM). Three latent constructs are examined: Agricultural Economy (agricultural GDP, agricultural area, insured area), Insurance Economy (government subsidized premium, total premiums, insured values), and Ecological-Meteorological Risks (Load Capacity Factor and meteorological disasters count).ResultsThe agricultural economy is identified as the strongest predictor of insurance demand, followed by the insurance economy and ecological-meteorological risks. The inclusion of Load Capacity Factor introduces a novel ecological dimension, revealing that insurance demand increases as ecological thresholds are approached.DiscussionThe study proposes that structural modeling outputs can be utilized in designing index-based insurance premiums. It recommends policy interventions such as ecological risk zoning, vulnerability-based premium subsidies, and adaptive insurance schemes. Integrating ecological indicators into insurance modeling offers a future-oriented approach to sustainable agricultural risk management.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2025.1651603/fullagricultural insurancecrop insurance demandclimate riskPLS-SEMecological sustainabilityload capacity factor
spellingShingle Serap Yörübulut
Determinants of crop insurance demand in Türkiye: a PLS-SEM analysis integrating economic and ecological factors
Frontiers in Environmental Science
agricultural insurance
crop insurance demand
climate risk
PLS-SEM
ecological sustainability
load capacity factor
title Determinants of crop insurance demand in Türkiye: a PLS-SEM analysis integrating economic and ecological factors
title_full Determinants of crop insurance demand in Türkiye: a PLS-SEM analysis integrating economic and ecological factors
title_fullStr Determinants of crop insurance demand in Türkiye: a PLS-SEM analysis integrating economic and ecological factors
title_full_unstemmed Determinants of crop insurance demand in Türkiye: a PLS-SEM analysis integrating economic and ecological factors
title_short Determinants of crop insurance demand in Türkiye: a PLS-SEM analysis integrating economic and ecological factors
title_sort determinants of crop insurance demand in turkiye a pls sem analysis integrating economic and ecological factors
topic agricultural insurance
crop insurance demand
climate risk
PLS-SEM
ecological sustainability
load capacity factor
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2025.1651603/full
work_keys_str_mv AT serapyorubulut determinantsofcropinsurancedemandinturkiyeaplssemanalysisintegratingeconomicandecologicalfactors