High‐Precision Prediction of Ionospheric TEC in the China Region Based on CMONOC High‐Resolution Data and an Auxiliary Attention Temporal Convolutional Network
Abstract Accurate prediction of Total Electron Content (TEC) in the ionosphere is crucial for navigation, communication, and space weather forecasting. However, the Global Ionosphere Maps provided by the International GNSS Service have limitations in resolution and adaptability in the China region,...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Wiley
2025-06-01
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| Series: | Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JH000608 |
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| Summary: | Abstract Accurate prediction of Total Electron Content (TEC) in the ionosphere is crucial for navigation, communication, and space weather forecasting. However, the Global Ionosphere Maps provided by the International GNSS Service have limitations in resolution and adaptability in the China region, making high‐precision predictions difficult. This study constructs a high‐precision regional TEC map with 1° × 1° spatial resolution, 2‐hr temporal resolution, and coverage from 2019 to 2023, based on data from 270 Crustal Movement Observation Network of China (CMONOC) GNSS stations. At the data level, a non‐integrated spherical harmonic model and Differential Code Bias correction method are employed to significantly reduce interpolation errors and improve model accuracy. At the algorithmic level, an Auxiliary Attention Temporal Convolutional Network (AuxATTCN) model is proposed, integrating an auxiliary attention mechanism with a Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) to effectively capture long‐term dependencies and dynamically incorporate external driving factors such as geomagnetic activity and solar radiation. Comparative analysis with multiple experiments under varying geomagnetic and solar conditions shows that the AuxATTCN model significantly outperforms traditional time‐series methods (such as ARIMA, Prophet), mainstream deep learning models (including ConvLSTM, CONGRU, and TCN), and international ionospheric models (IRI2020, NeQuick2) in terms of overall error, seasonal and diurnal variations, and prediction accuracy during geomagnetic storms and solar activity peaks. The results demonstrate that the synergistic optimization of high‐quality CMONOC data sets and innovative algorithms achieves exceptional spatiotemporal accuracy and robustness in TEC prediction for the China region, providing new insights and technical support for fields such as navigation, communication, and space weather forecasting. |
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| ISSN: | 2993-5210 |