FloodGenome: interpretable machine learning for decoding features shaping property flood risk predisposition in cities

The study introduces FloodGenome, an interpretable machine learning model, to assess flood risk disposition in urban areas by analyzing hydrological, topographic, and built-environment features and their interactions. Utilizing data from the U.S. National Flood Insurance Program (2003–2023) across f...

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Main Authors: Chenyue Liu, Ali Mostafavi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/2634-4505/adb800
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author Chenyue Liu
Ali Mostafavi
author_facet Chenyue Liu
Ali Mostafavi
author_sort Chenyue Liu
collection DOAJ
description The study introduces FloodGenome, an interpretable machine learning model, to assess flood risk disposition in urban areas by analyzing hydrological, topographic, and built-environment features and their interactions. Utilizing data from the U.S. National Flood Insurance Program (2003–2023) across four metropolitan areas, it employs k-means clustering and a random forest model to classify and predict property flood risk levels. The model’s effectiveness is proven across different metropolitan areas, highlighting the importance of factors like elevation, and impervious surfaces in determining flood risk. FloodGenome’s analysis aids in evaluating future urban development impacts on flood risk and refining property flood risk assessments at a detailed level. This tool offers critical insights for flood risk management, supporting the development of urban design strategies to mitigate flood risks.
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series Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability
spelling doaj-art-e42a8031fe964b6287442146a5f396f22025-08-20T02:17:46ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability2634-45052025-01-015101501810.1088/2634-4505/adb800FloodGenome: interpretable machine learning for decoding features shaping property flood risk predisposition in citiesChenyue Liu0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3528-8721Ali Mostafavi1Zachry Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urban Resilience.AI Laboratory, Texas A&M University , College Station, TX, United States of AmericaZachry Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Urban Resilience.AI Laboratory, Texas A&M University , College Station, TX, United States of AmericaThe study introduces FloodGenome, an interpretable machine learning model, to assess flood risk disposition in urban areas by analyzing hydrological, topographic, and built-environment features and their interactions. Utilizing data from the U.S. National Flood Insurance Program (2003–2023) across four metropolitan areas, it employs k-means clustering and a random forest model to classify and predict property flood risk levels. The model’s effectiveness is proven across different metropolitan areas, highlighting the importance of factors like elevation, and impervious surfaces in determining flood risk. FloodGenome’s analysis aids in evaluating future urban development impacts on flood risk and refining property flood risk assessments at a detailed level. This tool offers critical insights for flood risk management, supporting the development of urban design strategies to mitigate flood risks.https://doi.org/10.1088/2634-4505/adb800urban floodingrandom forestSHAP analysis
spellingShingle Chenyue Liu
Ali Mostafavi
FloodGenome: interpretable machine learning for decoding features shaping property flood risk predisposition in cities
Environmental Research: Infrastructure and Sustainability
urban flooding
random forest
SHAP analysis
title FloodGenome: interpretable machine learning for decoding features shaping property flood risk predisposition in cities
title_full FloodGenome: interpretable machine learning for decoding features shaping property flood risk predisposition in cities
title_fullStr FloodGenome: interpretable machine learning for decoding features shaping property flood risk predisposition in cities
title_full_unstemmed FloodGenome: interpretable machine learning for decoding features shaping property flood risk predisposition in cities
title_short FloodGenome: interpretable machine learning for decoding features shaping property flood risk predisposition in cities
title_sort floodgenome interpretable machine learning for decoding features shaping property flood risk predisposition in cities
topic urban flooding
random forest
SHAP analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1088/2634-4505/adb800
work_keys_str_mv AT chenyueliu floodgenomeinterpretablemachinelearningfordecodingfeaturesshapingpropertyfloodriskpredispositionincities
AT alimostafavi floodgenomeinterpretablemachinelearningfordecodingfeaturesshapingpropertyfloodriskpredispositionincities