Automatic Detection of Equatorial Plasma Bubbles in Airglow Images Using Two-Dimensional Principal Component Analysis and Explainable Artificial Intelligence

Equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) are regions of depleted electron density that form in the Earth’s ionosphere due to Rayleigh–Taylor instability. These bubbles can cause signal scintillation, leading to signal loss and errors in position calculations. EPBs can be detected in images captured by All-S...

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Main Authors: Moheb Yacoub, Moataz Abdelwahab, Kazuo Shiokawa, Ayman Mahrous
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-03-01
Series:Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2504-4990/7/1/26
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author Moheb Yacoub
Moataz Abdelwahab
Kazuo Shiokawa
Ayman Mahrous
author_facet Moheb Yacoub
Moataz Abdelwahab
Kazuo Shiokawa
Ayman Mahrous
author_sort Moheb Yacoub
collection DOAJ
description Equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) are regions of depleted electron density that form in the Earth’s ionosphere due to Rayleigh–Taylor instability. These bubbles can cause signal scintillation, leading to signal loss and errors in position calculations. EPBs can be detected in images captured by All-Sky Imager (ASI) systems. This study proposes a low-cost automatic detection method for EPBs in ASI data that can be used for both real-time detection and classification purposes. This method utilizes Two-Dimensional Principal Component Analysis (2DPCA) with Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE), in conjunction with a Random Forest machine learning model, to create an Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) model capable of extracting image features to automatically detect EPBs with the lowest possible dimensionality. This led to having a small-sized and extremely fast-trained model that could be used to identify EPBs within the captured ASI images. A set of 2458 images, classified into two categories—Event and Empty—were used to build the database. This database was randomly split into two subsets: a training dataset (80%) and a testing dataset (20%). The produced XAI model demonstrated slightly higher detection accuracy compared to the standard 2DPCA model while being significantly smaller in size. Furthermore, the proposed model’s performance has been evaluated and compared with other deep learning baseline models (ResNet18, Inception-V3, VGG16, and VGG19) in the same environment.
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spelling doaj-art-e41590a423d84a10a3e9d8dd0e16d0992025-08-20T01:49:00ZengMDPI AGMachine Learning and Knowledge Extraction2504-49902025-03-01712610.3390/make7010026Automatic Detection of Equatorial Plasma Bubbles in Airglow Images Using Two-Dimensional Principal Component Analysis and Explainable Artificial IntelligenceMoheb Yacoub0Moataz Abdelwahab1Kazuo Shiokawa2Ayman Mahrous3Department of Space Environment, Institute of Basic and Applied Sciences, Egypt-Japan University of Science and Technology (E-JUST), New Borg El-Arab City 21934, Alexandria, EgyptDepartment of Electronics and Communication Engineering, Egypt-Japan University of Science and Technology (E-JUST), P.O. Box 179, New Borg El-Arab City 21934, Alexandria, EgyptInstitute for Space-Earth Environmental Research (ISEE), Nagoya University, Nagoya 464-8601, JapanDepartment of Space Environment, Institute of Basic and Applied Sciences, Egypt-Japan University of Science and Technology (E-JUST), New Borg El-Arab City 21934, Alexandria, EgyptEquatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) are regions of depleted electron density that form in the Earth’s ionosphere due to Rayleigh–Taylor instability. These bubbles can cause signal scintillation, leading to signal loss and errors in position calculations. EPBs can be detected in images captured by All-Sky Imager (ASI) systems. This study proposes a low-cost automatic detection method for EPBs in ASI data that can be used for both real-time detection and classification purposes. This method utilizes Two-Dimensional Principal Component Analysis (2DPCA) with Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE), in conjunction with a Random Forest machine learning model, to create an Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) model capable of extracting image features to automatically detect EPBs with the lowest possible dimensionality. This led to having a small-sized and extremely fast-trained model that could be used to identify EPBs within the captured ASI images. A set of 2458 images, classified into two categories—Event and Empty—were used to build the database. This database was randomly split into two subsets: a training dataset (80%) and a testing dataset (20%). The produced XAI model demonstrated slightly higher detection accuracy compared to the standard 2DPCA model while being significantly smaller in size. Furthermore, the proposed model’s performance has been evaluated and compared with other deep learning baseline models (ResNet18, Inception-V3, VGG16, and VGG19) in the same environment.https://www.mdpi.com/2504-4990/7/1/26equatorial plasma bubbleAll-Sky ImagerXAI2DPCA
spellingShingle Moheb Yacoub
Moataz Abdelwahab
Kazuo Shiokawa
Ayman Mahrous
Automatic Detection of Equatorial Plasma Bubbles in Airglow Images Using Two-Dimensional Principal Component Analysis and Explainable Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning and Knowledge Extraction
equatorial plasma bubble
All-Sky Imager
XAI
2DPCA
title Automatic Detection of Equatorial Plasma Bubbles in Airglow Images Using Two-Dimensional Principal Component Analysis and Explainable Artificial Intelligence
title_full Automatic Detection of Equatorial Plasma Bubbles in Airglow Images Using Two-Dimensional Principal Component Analysis and Explainable Artificial Intelligence
title_fullStr Automatic Detection of Equatorial Plasma Bubbles in Airglow Images Using Two-Dimensional Principal Component Analysis and Explainable Artificial Intelligence
title_full_unstemmed Automatic Detection of Equatorial Plasma Bubbles in Airglow Images Using Two-Dimensional Principal Component Analysis and Explainable Artificial Intelligence
title_short Automatic Detection of Equatorial Plasma Bubbles in Airglow Images Using Two-Dimensional Principal Component Analysis and Explainable Artificial Intelligence
title_sort automatic detection of equatorial plasma bubbles in airglow images using two dimensional principal component analysis and explainable artificial intelligence
topic equatorial plasma bubble
All-Sky Imager
XAI
2DPCA
url https://www.mdpi.com/2504-4990/7/1/26
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AT kazuoshiokawa automaticdetectionofequatorialplasmabubblesinairglowimagesusingtwodimensionalprincipalcomponentanalysisandexplainableartificialintelligence
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