DPSTCN: Dynamic Pattern-Aware Spatio-Temporal Convolutional Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting

Accurate forecasting of multivariate traffic flow poses formidable challenges, primarily due to the ever-evolving spatio-temporal dynamics and intricate spatial heterogeneity, where the heterogeneity signifies that the correlations among locations are not just related to distance. However, few of th...

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Main Authors: Zeping Dou, Danhuai Guo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/14/1/10
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author Zeping Dou
Danhuai Guo
author_facet Zeping Dou
Danhuai Guo
author_sort Zeping Dou
collection DOAJ
description Accurate forecasting of multivariate traffic flow poses formidable challenges, primarily due to the ever-evolving spatio-temporal dynamics and intricate spatial heterogeneity, where the heterogeneity signifies that the correlations among locations are not just related to distance. However, few of the existing models are designed to fully and effectively integrate the above-mentioned features. To address these complexities head-on, this paper introduces a novel solution in the form of Dynamic Pattern-aware Spatio-Temporal Convolutional Networks (DPSTCN). Temporally, the model introduces a novel temporal module, containing a temporal convolutional network (TCN) enriched with an enhanced pattern-aware self-attention mechanism, adept at capturing temporal patterns, including local/global dependencies, dynamics, and periodicity. Spatially, the model constructs static and dynamic pattern-aware convolutions, leveraging geographical and area-functional information to effectively capture intricate spatial patterns, including dynamics and heterogeneity. Evaluations across four distinct traffic benchmark datasets consistently demonstrate the state-of-the-art capacity of our model compared to the existing eleven approaches, especially great improvements in RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error) value.
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spelling doaj-art-e3fca0efe07242fda8476714d8986a172025-01-24T13:34:58ZengMDPI AGISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information2220-99642024-12-011411010.3390/ijgi14010010DPSTCN: Dynamic Pattern-Aware Spatio-Temporal Convolutional Networks for Traffic Flow ForecastingZeping Dou0Danhuai Guo1College of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, ChinaCollege of Information Science and Technology, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, ChinaAccurate forecasting of multivariate traffic flow poses formidable challenges, primarily due to the ever-evolving spatio-temporal dynamics and intricate spatial heterogeneity, where the heterogeneity signifies that the correlations among locations are not just related to distance. However, few of the existing models are designed to fully and effectively integrate the above-mentioned features. To address these complexities head-on, this paper introduces a novel solution in the form of Dynamic Pattern-aware Spatio-Temporal Convolutional Networks (DPSTCN). Temporally, the model introduces a novel temporal module, containing a temporal convolutional network (TCN) enriched with an enhanced pattern-aware self-attention mechanism, adept at capturing temporal patterns, including local/global dependencies, dynamics, and periodicity. Spatially, the model constructs static and dynamic pattern-aware convolutions, leveraging geographical and area-functional information to effectively capture intricate spatial patterns, including dynamics and heterogeneity. Evaluations across four distinct traffic benchmark datasets consistently demonstrate the state-of-the-art capacity of our model compared to the existing eleven approaches, especially great improvements in RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error) value.https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/14/1/10traffic forecastingintelligent transportation systemspatio-temporal data miningconvolutional networkattention mechanism
spellingShingle Zeping Dou
Danhuai Guo
DPSTCN: Dynamic Pattern-Aware Spatio-Temporal Convolutional Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting
ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information
traffic forecasting
intelligent transportation system
spatio-temporal data mining
convolutional network
attention mechanism
title DPSTCN: Dynamic Pattern-Aware Spatio-Temporal Convolutional Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting
title_full DPSTCN: Dynamic Pattern-Aware Spatio-Temporal Convolutional Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting
title_fullStr DPSTCN: Dynamic Pattern-Aware Spatio-Temporal Convolutional Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting
title_full_unstemmed DPSTCN: Dynamic Pattern-Aware Spatio-Temporal Convolutional Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting
title_short DPSTCN: Dynamic Pattern-Aware Spatio-Temporal Convolutional Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting
title_sort dpstcn dynamic pattern aware spatio temporal convolutional networks for traffic flow forecasting
topic traffic forecasting
intelligent transportation system
spatio-temporal data mining
convolutional network
attention mechanism
url https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/14/1/10
work_keys_str_mv AT zepingdou dpstcndynamicpatternawarespatiotemporalconvolutionalnetworksfortrafficflowforecasting
AT danhuaiguo dpstcndynamicpatternawarespatiotemporalconvolutionalnetworksfortrafficflowforecasting