The Impact of Assimilating Atmospheric Infrared Sounder Observation on the Forecast of Typhoon Tracks

This work assesses the effects of assimilating atmospheric infrared sounder (AIRS) observations on typhoon prediction using the three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR) and forecasting system of the weather research and forecasting (WRF) model. Two major parameters in the data assimil...

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Main Authors: Chien-Ben Chou, Huei-Ping Huang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2011-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/803593
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author Chien-Ben Chou
Huei-Ping Huang
author_facet Chien-Ben Chou
Huei-Ping Huang
author_sort Chien-Ben Chou
collection DOAJ
description This work assesses the effects of assimilating atmospheric infrared sounder (AIRS) observations on typhoon prediction using the three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR) and forecasting system of the weather research and forecasting (WRF) model. Two major parameters in the data assimilation scheme, the spatial decorrelation scale and the magnitude of the covariance matrix of the background error, are varied in forecast experiments for the track of typhoon Sinlaku over the Western Pacific. The results show that within a wide parameter range, the inclusion of the AIRS observation improves the prediction. Outside this range, notably when the decorrelation scale of the background error is set to a large value, forcing the assimilation of AIRS data leads to degradation of the forecast. This illustrates how the impact of satellite data on the forecast depends on the adjustable parameters for data assimilation. The parameter-sweeping framework is potentially useful for improving operational typhoon prediction.
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spelling doaj-art-e3fbbe0e02294ef1abc4cf4effaffb262025-02-03T00:59:38ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172011-01-01201110.1155/2011/803593803593The Impact of Assimilating Atmospheric Infrared Sounder Observation on the Forecast of Typhoon TracksChien-Ben Chou0Huei-Ping Huang1Meteorological Satellite Center, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei 10048, TaiwanSchool for Engineering of Matter, Transport, and Energy, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85281, USAThis work assesses the effects of assimilating atmospheric infrared sounder (AIRS) observations on typhoon prediction using the three-dimensional variational data assimilation (3DVAR) and forecasting system of the weather research and forecasting (WRF) model. Two major parameters in the data assimilation scheme, the spatial decorrelation scale and the magnitude of the covariance matrix of the background error, are varied in forecast experiments for the track of typhoon Sinlaku over the Western Pacific. The results show that within a wide parameter range, the inclusion of the AIRS observation improves the prediction. Outside this range, notably when the decorrelation scale of the background error is set to a large value, forcing the assimilation of AIRS data leads to degradation of the forecast. This illustrates how the impact of satellite data on the forecast depends on the adjustable parameters for data assimilation. The parameter-sweeping framework is potentially useful for improving operational typhoon prediction.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/803593
spellingShingle Chien-Ben Chou
Huei-Ping Huang
The Impact of Assimilating Atmospheric Infrared Sounder Observation on the Forecast of Typhoon Tracks
Advances in Meteorology
title The Impact of Assimilating Atmospheric Infrared Sounder Observation on the Forecast of Typhoon Tracks
title_full The Impact of Assimilating Atmospheric Infrared Sounder Observation on the Forecast of Typhoon Tracks
title_fullStr The Impact of Assimilating Atmospheric Infrared Sounder Observation on the Forecast of Typhoon Tracks
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Assimilating Atmospheric Infrared Sounder Observation on the Forecast of Typhoon Tracks
title_short The Impact of Assimilating Atmospheric Infrared Sounder Observation on the Forecast of Typhoon Tracks
title_sort impact of assimilating atmospheric infrared sounder observation on the forecast of typhoon tracks
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/803593
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