Machine Learning-Driven Resilient Modulus Prediction for Flexible Pavements Across Mountainous and Other Regions

Accurate estimation of the elastic modulus (Mr) in the com- pacted subgrade soil is essential for the design of flexible pavement systems that are both reliable and environmentally friendly. Mr significantly affects the structural integrity of the pavement, especially in hilly areas with varying loa...

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Main Authors: Rauf Ayesha, Asif Usama, Javed Muhammad Faisal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2025-01-01
Series:BIO Web of Conferences
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Online Access:https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2025/02/bioconf_mblc2024_04005.pdf
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author Rauf Ayesha
Asif Usama
Javed Muhammad Faisal
author_facet Rauf Ayesha
Asif Usama
Javed Muhammad Faisal
author_sort Rauf Ayesha
collection DOAJ
description Accurate estimation of the elastic modulus (Mr) in the com- pacted subgrade soil is essential for the design of flexible pavement systems that are both reliable and environmentally friendly. Mr significantly affects the structural integrity of the pavement, especially in hilly areas with varying loads and climatic conditions. This study collects 2813 data points from pre- vious research results to create an accurate prediction model. The gradient boosted (GB) machine learning (ML) approach is selected to predict the Mr of the compacted subgrade soil. The accuracy and predictive performance of the GB model were evaluated using statistical analysis that includes fun- damental metrics such as root mean square error, mean absolute error, and relative squared error. The model obtained R² values of 0.96 and 0.94 for the training and testing datasets. The RMSE was 5 MPa for training and 7.48 MPa for testing, while the MAE was 3.18 MPa and 5.55 MPa. These results highlight the potential of GB in predicting soil Mr, thereby supporting the development of more accurate and efficient Mr prediction, ultimately reduc- ing time and cost.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2117-4458
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher EDP Sciences
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spelling doaj-art-e39d894f84d84d27a1da7a90ade1e2772025-02-05T10:42:42ZengEDP SciencesBIO Web of Conferences2117-44582025-01-011510400510.1051/bioconf/202515104005bioconf_mblc2024_04005Machine Learning-Driven Resilient Modulus Prediction for Flexible Pavements Across Mountainous and Other RegionsRauf Ayesha0Asif Usama1Javed Muhammad Faisal2Department of Civil Engineering, Nazarbayev UniversityDepartment of Civil Engineering, Nazarbayev UniversityDepartment of Civil Engineering, Ghulam Ishaq Khan Institute of Engineering Sciences and TechnologyAccurate estimation of the elastic modulus (Mr) in the com- pacted subgrade soil is essential for the design of flexible pavement systems that are both reliable and environmentally friendly. Mr significantly affects the structural integrity of the pavement, especially in hilly areas with varying loads and climatic conditions. This study collects 2813 data points from pre- vious research results to create an accurate prediction model. The gradient boosted (GB) machine learning (ML) approach is selected to predict the Mr of the compacted subgrade soil. The accuracy and predictive performance of the GB model were evaluated using statistical analysis that includes fun- damental metrics such as root mean square error, mean absolute error, and relative squared error. The model obtained R² values of 0.96 and 0.94 for the training and testing datasets. The RMSE was 5 MPa for training and 7.48 MPa for testing, while the MAE was 3.18 MPa and 5.55 MPa. These results highlight the potential of GB in predicting soil Mr, thereby supporting the development of more accurate and efficient Mr prediction, ultimately reduc- ing time and cost.https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2025/02/bioconf_mblc2024_04005.pdfresilient modulusgradient boostingmachine learning
spellingShingle Rauf Ayesha
Asif Usama
Javed Muhammad Faisal
Machine Learning-Driven Resilient Modulus Prediction for Flexible Pavements Across Mountainous and Other Regions
BIO Web of Conferences
resilient modulus
gradient boosting
machine learning
title Machine Learning-Driven Resilient Modulus Prediction for Flexible Pavements Across Mountainous and Other Regions
title_full Machine Learning-Driven Resilient Modulus Prediction for Flexible Pavements Across Mountainous and Other Regions
title_fullStr Machine Learning-Driven Resilient Modulus Prediction for Flexible Pavements Across Mountainous and Other Regions
title_full_unstemmed Machine Learning-Driven Resilient Modulus Prediction for Flexible Pavements Across Mountainous and Other Regions
title_short Machine Learning-Driven Resilient Modulus Prediction for Flexible Pavements Across Mountainous and Other Regions
title_sort machine learning driven resilient modulus prediction for flexible pavements across mountainous and other regions
topic resilient modulus
gradient boosting
machine learning
url https://www.bio-conferences.org/articles/bioconf/pdf/2025/02/bioconf_mblc2024_04005.pdf
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AT asifusama machinelearningdrivenresilientmoduluspredictionforflexiblepavementsacrossmountainousandotherregions
AT javedmuhammadfaisal machinelearningdrivenresilientmoduluspredictionforflexiblepavementsacrossmountainousandotherregions