The potential distribution area and dynamic niche variation analysis of an alien invasive plant Senecio vulgaris L
Abstract Senecio vulgaris L. (Asteraceae), a European-origin invasive plant, has established widespread populations in China since the nineteenth century, posing both ecological and health-related threats due to its herbicide resistance, toxic pyrrolizidine alkaloids, and broad habitat adaptability....
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Nature Portfolio
2025-07-01
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| Series: | Scientific Reports |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-08144-6 |
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| author | Enxiang Zhang Xinshuai Wang Bo Lei Yongwei Han Jun Sun |
| author_facet | Enxiang Zhang Xinshuai Wang Bo Lei Yongwei Han Jun Sun |
| author_sort | Enxiang Zhang |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Senecio vulgaris L. (Asteraceae), a European-origin invasive plant, has established widespread populations in China since the nineteenth century, posing both ecological and health-related threats due to its herbicide resistance, toxic pyrrolizidine alkaloids, and broad habitat adaptability. Despite being classified as a Level 4 invasive species in China, its potential risk remains underestimated. In this study, we applied an optimized MaxEnt model using occurrence data from both native (Europe) and invasive (China) ranges to predict the species’ potential distribution. Our results revealed high environmental suitability in central, eastern, southwestern, and northeastern China, with human activity, temperature, and precipitation as dominant predictors. Niche analysis indicated that S. vulgaris in China occupies environmental conditions largely overlapping with its native niche, demonstrating niche conservatism rather than expansion. These findings suggest that even moderately ranked invasive species can maintain ecological stability while gradually expanding, especially under increasing anthropogenic pressure. Our results underscore the need for targeted monitoring and preemptive management in agriculturally sensitive regions. This study provides a practical framework for assessing and managing adaptable invasive plants beyond those classified as high risk. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-e39bd4d356714e109a5c4ac46ac51992 |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 2045-2322 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-07-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Scientific Reports |
| spelling | doaj-art-e39bd4d356714e109a5c4ac46ac519922025-08-20T03:04:38ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-07-0115111010.1038/s41598-025-08144-6The potential distribution area and dynamic niche variation analysis of an alien invasive plant Senecio vulgaris LEnxiang Zhang0Xinshuai Wang1Bo Lei2Yongwei Han3Jun Sun4Chongqing Academy of Ecology and Environmental Sciences (Southwest Branch of Chinese Academy of Environmental Sciences)University of Chinese Academy of SciencesChongqing Academy of Ecology and Environmental Sciences (Southwest Branch of Chinese Academy of Environmental Sciences)Chinese Research Academy of Environmental SciencesChina Academy of Natural Resources EconomicsAbstract Senecio vulgaris L. (Asteraceae), a European-origin invasive plant, has established widespread populations in China since the nineteenth century, posing both ecological and health-related threats due to its herbicide resistance, toxic pyrrolizidine alkaloids, and broad habitat adaptability. Despite being classified as a Level 4 invasive species in China, its potential risk remains underestimated. In this study, we applied an optimized MaxEnt model using occurrence data from both native (Europe) and invasive (China) ranges to predict the species’ potential distribution. Our results revealed high environmental suitability in central, eastern, southwestern, and northeastern China, with human activity, temperature, and precipitation as dominant predictors. Niche analysis indicated that S. vulgaris in China occupies environmental conditions largely overlapping with its native niche, demonstrating niche conservatism rather than expansion. These findings suggest that even moderately ranked invasive species can maintain ecological stability while gradually expanding, especially under increasing anthropogenic pressure. Our results underscore the need for targeted monitoring and preemptive management in agriculturally sensitive regions. This study provides a practical framework for assessing and managing adaptable invasive plants beyond those classified as high risk.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-08144-6Invasive plantMaxEnt modelNichePotential distributionS. vulgaris |
| spellingShingle | Enxiang Zhang Xinshuai Wang Bo Lei Yongwei Han Jun Sun The potential distribution area and dynamic niche variation analysis of an alien invasive plant Senecio vulgaris L Scientific Reports Invasive plant MaxEnt model Niche Potential distribution S. vulgaris |
| title | The potential distribution area and dynamic niche variation analysis of an alien invasive plant Senecio vulgaris L |
| title_full | The potential distribution area and dynamic niche variation analysis of an alien invasive plant Senecio vulgaris L |
| title_fullStr | The potential distribution area and dynamic niche variation analysis of an alien invasive plant Senecio vulgaris L |
| title_full_unstemmed | The potential distribution area and dynamic niche variation analysis of an alien invasive plant Senecio vulgaris L |
| title_short | The potential distribution area and dynamic niche variation analysis of an alien invasive plant Senecio vulgaris L |
| title_sort | potential distribution area and dynamic niche variation analysis of an alien invasive plant senecio vulgaris l |
| topic | Invasive plant MaxEnt model Niche Potential distribution S. vulgaris |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-08144-6 |
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