A regional modelling perspective on the impacts on Central Asia of dust emitted from the Aralkum, the desiccated lakebed of the Aral Sea

Over the past 60 years the desiccation of the Aral Sea has created a new desert in Central Asia, the Aralkum (Aral Desert), and with it a new source of desert dust aerosol. COSMO-MUSCAT regional simulations of the Central Asian dust life-cycle provide estimates of dust emission from the Aralkum regi...

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Main Authors: Banks Jamie R., Heinold Bernd, Schepanski Kerstin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2024-01-01
Series:E3S Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2024/105/e3sconf_caduc2024_04002.pdf
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author Banks Jamie R.
Heinold Bernd
Schepanski Kerstin
author_facet Banks Jamie R.
Heinold Bernd
Schepanski Kerstin
author_sort Banks Jamie R.
collection DOAJ
description Over the past 60 years the desiccation of the Aral Sea has created a new desert in Central Asia, the Aralkum (Aral Desert), and with it a new source of desert dust aerosol. COSMO-MUSCAT regional simulations of the Central Asian dust life-cycle provide estimates of dust emission from the Aralkum region during the year of March 2015 to March 2016, indicating a near-doubling in its estimated late 20th century emissions into the 21st century, with estimates based on differences in surface water coverage. A consequence of this increase in dust emissions is a corresponding deterioration in air quality as particulate matter (PM10) concentrations increase. During the simulation year much of the Aralkum’s dust emissions are driven by westerly winds and hence areas of southern Kazahkstan to the east of the Aralkum would be particularly badly affected by its dust. In Uzbekistan, the WHO’s guidelines on maximum recommended daily average PM10 values are simulated to be exceeded on 29 days during the year in the city of Nukus, 8 days in the city of Bukhara, and 2 days in the capital city of Tashkent.
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spelling doaj-art-e34c475bbb994e46bf95b44f7096ede92025-08-20T02:10:42ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422024-01-015750400210.1051/e3sconf/202457504002e3sconf_caduc2024_04002A regional modelling perspective on the impacts on Central Asia of dust emitted from the Aralkum, the desiccated lakebed of the Aral SeaBanks Jamie R.0Heinold Bernd1Schepanski Kerstin2Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research (TROPOS)Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research (TROPOS)Institute of Meteorology, Freie Universität BerlinOver the past 60 years the desiccation of the Aral Sea has created a new desert in Central Asia, the Aralkum (Aral Desert), and with it a new source of desert dust aerosol. COSMO-MUSCAT regional simulations of the Central Asian dust life-cycle provide estimates of dust emission from the Aralkum region during the year of March 2015 to March 2016, indicating a near-doubling in its estimated late 20th century emissions into the 21st century, with estimates based on differences in surface water coverage. A consequence of this increase in dust emissions is a corresponding deterioration in air quality as particulate matter (PM10) concentrations increase. During the simulation year much of the Aralkum’s dust emissions are driven by westerly winds and hence areas of southern Kazahkstan to the east of the Aralkum would be particularly badly affected by its dust. In Uzbekistan, the WHO’s guidelines on maximum recommended daily average PM10 values are simulated to be exceeded on 29 days during the year in the city of Nukus, 8 days in the city of Bukhara, and 2 days in the capital city of Tashkent.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2024/105/e3sconf_caduc2024_04002.pdf
spellingShingle Banks Jamie R.
Heinold Bernd
Schepanski Kerstin
A regional modelling perspective on the impacts on Central Asia of dust emitted from the Aralkum, the desiccated lakebed of the Aral Sea
E3S Web of Conferences
title A regional modelling perspective on the impacts on Central Asia of dust emitted from the Aralkum, the desiccated lakebed of the Aral Sea
title_full A regional modelling perspective on the impacts on Central Asia of dust emitted from the Aralkum, the desiccated lakebed of the Aral Sea
title_fullStr A regional modelling perspective on the impacts on Central Asia of dust emitted from the Aralkum, the desiccated lakebed of the Aral Sea
title_full_unstemmed A regional modelling perspective on the impacts on Central Asia of dust emitted from the Aralkum, the desiccated lakebed of the Aral Sea
title_short A regional modelling perspective on the impacts on Central Asia of dust emitted from the Aralkum, the desiccated lakebed of the Aral Sea
title_sort regional modelling perspective on the impacts on central asia of dust emitted from the aralkum the desiccated lakebed of the aral sea
url https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2024/105/e3sconf_caduc2024_04002.pdf
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