STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION
The revealed structure of the time series analyzed indicator is selected cyclical and trend components. The simulation of one-dimensional timeseries taking into account the selected cyclesand variability. Comparative analysis of trends and variability of total fertility rate for selectedcycles. The...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Russian |
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Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
2016-08-01
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| Series: | Статистика и экономика |
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| Online Access: | https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/1001 |
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| _version_ | 1849250569468772352 |
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| author | Natalia S. Eremeeva Tatiana V. Lebedeva |
| author_facet | Natalia S. Eremeeva Tatiana V. Lebedeva |
| author_sort | Natalia S. Eremeeva |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The revealed structure of the time series analyzed indicator is selected cyclical and trend components. The simulation of one-dimensional timeseries taking into account the selected cyclesand variability. Comparative analysis of trends and variability of total fertility rate for selectedcycles. The identified factors and their estimated impact on the dynamics of the total fertility rateat the beginning of the ascending phase of cycle(2004-2012). Developed factor forecast andforecast univariate time series. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-e33975a303584407a59ac12ebc1f3e28 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2500-3925 |
| language | Russian |
| publishDate | 2016-08-01 |
| publisher | Plekhanov Russian University of Economics |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Статистика и экономика |
| spelling | doaj-art-e33975a303584407a59ac12ebc1f3e282025-08-20T03:57:12ZrusPlekhanov Russian University of EconomicsСтатистика и экономика2500-39252016-08-010216817210.21686/2500-3925-2015-2-168-1721000STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGIONNatalia S. Eremeeva0Tatiana V. Lebedeva1Orenburg stateUniversity (OSU)Orenburg state University (OSU)The revealed structure of the time series analyzed indicator is selected cyclical and trend components. The simulation of one-dimensional timeseries taking into account the selected cyclesand variability. Comparative analysis of trends and variability of total fertility rate for selectedcycles. The identified factors and their estimated impact on the dynamics of the total fertility rateat the beginning of the ascending phase of cycle(2004-2012). Developed factor forecast andforecast univariate time series.https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/1001общий коэффициент рождаемостиспектральный анализмоде лирование динамикикорреляционный и рег рессионный анализкоинтеграцияпрогнозthe total fertility ratespectralanalysismodelingdynamicscorrelation andregression analysiscointegrationforecasting |
| spellingShingle | Natalia S. Eremeeva Tatiana V. Lebedeva STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION Статистика и экономика общий коэффициент рождаемости спектральный анализ моде лирование динамики корреляционный и рег рессионный анализ коинтеграция прогноз the total fertility rate spectralanalysis modeling dynamics correlation andregression analysis cointegration forecasting |
| title | STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION |
| title_full | STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION |
| title_fullStr | STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION |
| title_full_unstemmed | STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION |
| title_short | STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION |
| title_sort | statistical analysis of the dynamics and forecasting fertility in the orenburg region |
| topic | общий коэффициент рождаемости спектральный анализ моде лирование динамики корреляционный и рег рессионный анализ коинтеграция прогноз the total fertility rate spectralanalysis modeling dynamics correlation andregression analysis cointegration forecasting |
| url | https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/1001 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT nataliaseremeeva statisticalanalysisofthedynamicsandforecastingfertilityintheorenburgregion AT tatianavlebedeva statisticalanalysisofthedynamicsandforecastingfertilityintheorenburgregion |