STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DYNAMICS AND FORECASTING FERTILITY IN THE ORENBURG REGION

The revealed structure of the time series analyzed indicator is selected cyclical and trend components. The simulation of one-dimensional timeseries taking into account the selected cyclesand variability. Comparative analysis of trends and variability of total fertility rate for selectedcycles. The...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Natalia S. Eremeeva, Tatiana V. Lebedeva
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Plekhanov Russian University of Economics 2016-08-01
Series:Статистика и экономика
Subjects:
Online Access:https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/1001
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Summary:The revealed structure of the time series analyzed indicator is selected cyclical and trend components. The simulation of one-dimensional timeseries taking into account the selected cyclesand variability. Comparative analysis of trends and variability of total fertility rate for selectedcycles. The identified factors and their estimated impact on the dynamics of the total fertility rateat the beginning of the ascending phase of cycle(2004-2012). Developed factor forecast andforecast univariate time series.
ISSN:2500-3925