Quantifying the impact of nuisance flooding on urban coastal communities under present and future climatic conditions: Norfolk, Virginia as a case study

Study region: Norfolk, Virginia, United States Study focus: Nuisance flooding, characterized by frequent but minor floods, has been on the rise and the trend is expected to continue due to climate change. Utilizing a two-dimensional surface flow / one-dimensional pipe hydrodynamic model, this study...

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Main Authors: Jiwoo Jeong, Sergio A. Barbosa, Jonathan L. Goodall
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581825001284
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author Jiwoo Jeong
Sergio A. Barbosa
Jonathan L. Goodall
author_facet Jiwoo Jeong
Sergio A. Barbosa
Jonathan L. Goodall
author_sort Jiwoo Jeong
collection DOAJ
description Study region: Norfolk, Virginia, United States Study focus: Nuisance flooding, characterized by frequent but minor floods, has been on the rise and the trend is expected to continue due to climate change. Utilizing a two-dimensional surface flow / one-dimensional pipe hydrodynamic model, this study presents a methodology for simulating flooding from low return period tidal and rainfall events to quantify the impact of nuisance flooding on urban coastal communities under present and future climatic conditions. Applying the methodology, the results show the impact of nuisance flooding from tidal alone and compound (i.e., rainfall and tide) events. New hydrologic insights for the region: Using 2020 as a base year, the model suggests tidal nuisance flooding (TNF) impacts approximately 4 % (1.87 km2) of the study area. With a projected 1-meter sea-level rise by 2100, the TNF extent is projected to increase to approximately 12 % (5.85 km2) — more than tripling the 2020 TNF extent. For the 2020 base year, when rainfall and high tide occur simultaneously, compound nuisance flooding (CNF) leads to 11 % (5.15 km2) of the study area being inundated. By 2100, the projected inundated area by CNF is estimated to be 20 % (9.41 km2). Overall, sea level rise drives the expansion of TNF along riverbanks and adjacent areas, while submerging many urban drainage system outlets. This prevents efficient rainfall drainage, which causes CNF on inland low-lying areas.
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spelling doaj-art-e2cc958378124d9aa847e2d5616feaf72025-08-20T01:55:33ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182025-06-015910230410.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102304Quantifying the impact of nuisance flooding on urban coastal communities under present and future climatic conditions: Norfolk, Virginia as a case studyJiwoo Jeong0Sergio A. Barbosa1Jonathan L. Goodall2Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904, USA; Corresponding author.Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904, USA; Environmental Institute, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22902, USA; Now at Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37831, USADepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904, USAStudy region: Norfolk, Virginia, United States Study focus: Nuisance flooding, characterized by frequent but minor floods, has been on the rise and the trend is expected to continue due to climate change. Utilizing a two-dimensional surface flow / one-dimensional pipe hydrodynamic model, this study presents a methodology for simulating flooding from low return period tidal and rainfall events to quantify the impact of nuisance flooding on urban coastal communities under present and future climatic conditions. Applying the methodology, the results show the impact of nuisance flooding from tidal alone and compound (i.e., rainfall and tide) events. New hydrologic insights for the region: Using 2020 as a base year, the model suggests tidal nuisance flooding (TNF) impacts approximately 4 % (1.87 km2) of the study area. With a projected 1-meter sea-level rise by 2100, the TNF extent is projected to increase to approximately 12 % (5.85 km2) — more than tripling the 2020 TNF extent. For the 2020 base year, when rainfall and high tide occur simultaneously, compound nuisance flooding (CNF) leads to 11 % (5.15 km2) of the study area being inundated. By 2100, the projected inundated area by CNF is estimated to be 20 % (9.41 km2). Overall, sea level rise drives the expansion of TNF along riverbanks and adjacent areas, while submerging many urban drainage system outlets. This prevents efficient rainfall drainage, which causes CNF on inland low-lying areas.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581825001284Nuisance floodingCompound floodingCoastal communities2D hydrodynamic modelingClimate change
spellingShingle Jiwoo Jeong
Sergio A. Barbosa
Jonathan L. Goodall
Quantifying the impact of nuisance flooding on urban coastal communities under present and future climatic conditions: Norfolk, Virginia as a case study
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Nuisance flooding
Compound flooding
Coastal communities
2D hydrodynamic modeling
Climate change
title Quantifying the impact of nuisance flooding on urban coastal communities under present and future climatic conditions: Norfolk, Virginia as a case study
title_full Quantifying the impact of nuisance flooding on urban coastal communities under present and future climatic conditions: Norfolk, Virginia as a case study
title_fullStr Quantifying the impact of nuisance flooding on urban coastal communities under present and future climatic conditions: Norfolk, Virginia as a case study
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying the impact of nuisance flooding on urban coastal communities under present and future climatic conditions: Norfolk, Virginia as a case study
title_short Quantifying the impact of nuisance flooding on urban coastal communities under present and future climatic conditions: Norfolk, Virginia as a case study
title_sort quantifying the impact of nuisance flooding on urban coastal communities under present and future climatic conditions norfolk virginia as a case study
topic Nuisance flooding
Compound flooding
Coastal communities
2D hydrodynamic modeling
Climate change
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581825001284
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AT jonathanlgoodall quantifyingtheimpactofnuisancefloodingonurbancoastalcommunitiesunderpresentandfutureclimaticconditionsnorfolkvirginiaasacasestudy