Disaggregated impacts of technology on agriculture in Nigeria: Insights into intensity and diversity

Do all subsectors of agriculture potentially benefit from the increasing transformation of technology within the Nigerian economy? This study responds by empirically investigating the relationship between technology and agricultural output in Nigeria’s crop, livestock, fishing, and forestry subsecto...

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Main Authors: Joel Tobiloba Adeyemo, Opeyemi Eunice Olagunju, Kehinde D. Ilesanmi, Adedoyin Isola Lawal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:Scientific African
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468227625001929
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author Joel Tobiloba Adeyemo
Opeyemi Eunice Olagunju
Kehinde D. Ilesanmi
Adedoyin Isola Lawal
author_facet Joel Tobiloba Adeyemo
Opeyemi Eunice Olagunju
Kehinde D. Ilesanmi
Adedoyin Isola Lawal
author_sort Joel Tobiloba Adeyemo
collection DOAJ
description Do all subsectors of agriculture potentially benefit from the increasing transformation of technology within the Nigerian economy? This study responds by empirically investigating the relationship between technology and agricultural output in Nigeria’s crop, livestock, fishing, and forestry subsectors from 1981 to 2021. Using the ARDL model, the findings reveal heterogeneous effects of technology on output. In the long run, agricultural total factor productivity significantly enhances productivity in the crop and fishing subsectors but exhibits an inverse relationship with forestry output, indicating inefficiencies in technology application. Capital stock exerts a strong short-run impact on crop and livestock output but demonstrates diminishing long-run effects, suggesting the need for continuous reinvestment. Meanwhile, labour remains largely insignificant in the short run but proves key in sustaining long-term crop and livestock production output. Macroeconomic factors such as real GDP, interest rates, and trade policies also exhibit varying effects across subsectors, underscoring the importance of a differentiated policy approach. To ensure the robustness of the findings, the study employs the DOLS estimator, which corroborates the ARDL results, reinforcing the reliability of the long-run estimates. The study stresses the necessity for targeted technology transfer initiatives, sustained capital investment, and sector-specific interventions to optimise agricultural productivity. These insights provide a foundation for designing policies that enhance sustainable agricultural growth, food security, and economic resilience in Nigeria.
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spelling doaj-art-e20f5fee0536462a8b0b54c8e33c63172025-08-20T03:11:06ZengElsevierScientific African2468-22762025-06-0128e0272210.1016/j.sciaf.2025.e02722Disaggregated impacts of technology on agriculture in Nigeria: Insights into intensity and diversityJoel Tobiloba Adeyemo0Opeyemi Eunice Olagunju1Kehinde D. Ilesanmi2Adedoyin Isola Lawal3Department of Economics, Bowen University, Iwo, NigeriaDepartment of Economics, Bowen University, Iwo, NigeriaDepartment of Economics, University of Zululand, South AfricaDepartment of Economics, Bowen University, Iwo, Nigeria; Corresponding author.Do all subsectors of agriculture potentially benefit from the increasing transformation of technology within the Nigerian economy? This study responds by empirically investigating the relationship between technology and agricultural output in Nigeria’s crop, livestock, fishing, and forestry subsectors from 1981 to 2021. Using the ARDL model, the findings reveal heterogeneous effects of technology on output. In the long run, agricultural total factor productivity significantly enhances productivity in the crop and fishing subsectors but exhibits an inverse relationship with forestry output, indicating inefficiencies in technology application. Capital stock exerts a strong short-run impact on crop and livestock output but demonstrates diminishing long-run effects, suggesting the need for continuous reinvestment. Meanwhile, labour remains largely insignificant in the short run but proves key in sustaining long-term crop and livestock production output. Macroeconomic factors such as real GDP, interest rates, and trade policies also exhibit varying effects across subsectors, underscoring the importance of a differentiated policy approach. To ensure the robustness of the findings, the study employs the DOLS estimator, which corroborates the ARDL results, reinforcing the reliability of the long-run estimates. The study stresses the necessity for targeted technology transfer initiatives, sustained capital investment, and sector-specific interventions to optimise agricultural productivity. These insights provide a foundation for designing policies that enhance sustainable agricultural growth, food security, and economic resilience in Nigeria.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468227625001929Technology innovationAgricultureARDLIntensityNigeria
spellingShingle Joel Tobiloba Adeyemo
Opeyemi Eunice Olagunju
Kehinde D. Ilesanmi
Adedoyin Isola Lawal
Disaggregated impacts of technology on agriculture in Nigeria: Insights into intensity and diversity
Scientific African
Technology innovation
Agriculture
ARDL
Intensity
Nigeria
title Disaggregated impacts of technology on agriculture in Nigeria: Insights into intensity and diversity
title_full Disaggregated impacts of technology on agriculture in Nigeria: Insights into intensity and diversity
title_fullStr Disaggregated impacts of technology on agriculture in Nigeria: Insights into intensity and diversity
title_full_unstemmed Disaggregated impacts of technology on agriculture in Nigeria: Insights into intensity and diversity
title_short Disaggregated impacts of technology on agriculture in Nigeria: Insights into intensity and diversity
title_sort disaggregated impacts of technology on agriculture in nigeria insights into intensity and diversity
topic Technology innovation
Agriculture
ARDL
Intensity
Nigeria
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468227625001929
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AT opeyemieuniceolagunju disaggregatedimpactsoftechnologyonagricultureinnigeriainsightsintointensityanddiversity
AT kehindedilesanmi disaggregatedimpactsoftechnologyonagricultureinnigeriainsightsintointensityanddiversity
AT adedoyinisolalawal disaggregatedimpactsoftechnologyonagricultureinnigeriainsightsintointensityanddiversity