Shaping a sustainable future: Assessing the response of Russian aluminum exports to the global clean energy transition

This study extends the gravity model to examine how Russian aluminum exports respond to increases in renewable energy production across 58 global trading partners from 1990 to 2022. This objective is realized by estimating an augmented gravity model using quantiles via moments and the Driscoll and K...

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Main Authors: Shujaat Abbas, Monirul Islam, Irina Kalina, Oleg Mariev, Kazi Sohag
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-12-01
Series:Sustainable Futures
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188825005337
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author Shujaat Abbas
Monirul Islam
Irina Kalina
Oleg Mariev
Kazi Sohag
author_facet Shujaat Abbas
Monirul Islam
Irina Kalina
Oleg Mariev
Kazi Sohag
author_sort Shujaat Abbas
collection DOAJ
description This study extends the gravity model to examine how Russian aluminum exports respond to increases in renewable energy production across 58 global trading partners from 1990 to 2022. This objective is realized by estimating an augmented gravity model using quantiles via moments and the Driscoll and Kraay standard error approaches. The findings reveal a significant positive impact of the renewable energy transition on the export flow of Russian aluminum, indicating the critical role of Russian aluminum in renewable energy production. Furthermore, the study shows that the economic growth of the Russian Federation and its trading partners acts as a catalyst in facilitating the supply of Russian minerals to the global market. Additionally, geographic distance and exchange rates exert a significant negative influence on export flows, validating the basic proposition of the gravity model. These findings are further supported by the simultaneous panel quantile regression technique. Overall, this study provides robust insights with significant policy implications for ensuring a continuous flow of Russian mineral supply to support global clean energy transformation and a sustainable future.
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spelling doaj-art-e1c70eebb00e4aa69d42a1fd5e82f04c2025-08-20T02:36:03ZengElsevierSustainable Futures2666-18882025-12-011010096910.1016/j.sftr.2025.100969Shaping a sustainable future: Assessing the response of Russian aluminum exports to the global clean energy transitionShujaat Abbas0Monirul Islam1Irina Kalina2Oleg Mariev3Kazi Sohag4Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation; Institute of Graduate Studies and Research, Cyprus International University, North Cyprus, TurkiyeGraduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg, Russian FederationGraduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg, Russian FederationGraduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg, Russian FederationGraduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg, Russian FederationThis study extends the gravity model to examine how Russian aluminum exports respond to increases in renewable energy production across 58 global trading partners from 1990 to 2022. This objective is realized by estimating an augmented gravity model using quantiles via moments and the Driscoll and Kraay standard error approaches. The findings reveal a significant positive impact of the renewable energy transition on the export flow of Russian aluminum, indicating the critical role of Russian aluminum in renewable energy production. Furthermore, the study shows that the economic growth of the Russian Federation and its trading partners acts as a catalyst in facilitating the supply of Russian minerals to the global market. Additionally, geographic distance and exchange rates exert a significant negative influence on export flows, validating the basic proposition of the gravity model. These findings are further supported by the simultaneous panel quantile regression technique. Overall, this study provides robust insights with significant policy implications for ensuring a continuous flow of Russian mineral supply to support global clean energy transformation and a sustainable future.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188825005337Aluminum exportsClean energy transitionEconomic growthGravity modelQuantiles via momentsRussian Federation
spellingShingle Shujaat Abbas
Monirul Islam
Irina Kalina
Oleg Mariev
Kazi Sohag
Shaping a sustainable future: Assessing the response of Russian aluminum exports to the global clean energy transition
Sustainable Futures
Aluminum exports
Clean energy transition
Economic growth
Gravity model
Quantiles via moments
Russian Federation
title Shaping a sustainable future: Assessing the response of Russian aluminum exports to the global clean energy transition
title_full Shaping a sustainable future: Assessing the response of Russian aluminum exports to the global clean energy transition
title_fullStr Shaping a sustainable future: Assessing the response of Russian aluminum exports to the global clean energy transition
title_full_unstemmed Shaping a sustainable future: Assessing the response of Russian aluminum exports to the global clean energy transition
title_short Shaping a sustainable future: Assessing the response of Russian aluminum exports to the global clean energy transition
title_sort shaping a sustainable future assessing the response of russian aluminum exports to the global clean energy transition
topic Aluminum exports
Clean energy transition
Economic growth
Gravity model
Quantiles via moments
Russian Federation
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666188825005337
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