A global overview of marine heatwaves in a changing climate

Abstract Marine heatwaves have profoundly impacted marine ecosystems over large areas of the world oceans, calling for improved understanding of their dynamics and predictability. Here, we critically review the recent substantial advances in this active area of research, including the exploration of...

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Main Authors: Antonietta Capotondi, Regina R. Rodrigues, Alex Sen Gupta, Jessica A. Benthuysen, Clara Deser, Thomas L. Frölicher, Nicole S. Lovenduski, Dillon J. Amaya, Natacha Le Grix, Tongtong Xu, Juliet Hermes, Neil J. Holbrook, Cristian Martinez-Villalobos, Simona Masina, Mathew Koll Roxy, Amandine Schaeffer, Robert W. Schlegel, Kathryn E. Smith, Chunzai Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-11-01
Series:Communications Earth & Environment
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01806-9
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author Antonietta Capotondi
Regina R. Rodrigues
Alex Sen Gupta
Jessica A. Benthuysen
Clara Deser
Thomas L. Frölicher
Nicole S. Lovenduski
Dillon J. Amaya
Natacha Le Grix
Tongtong Xu
Juliet Hermes
Neil J. Holbrook
Cristian Martinez-Villalobos
Simona Masina
Mathew Koll Roxy
Amandine Schaeffer
Robert W. Schlegel
Kathryn E. Smith
Chunzai Wang
author_facet Antonietta Capotondi
Regina R. Rodrigues
Alex Sen Gupta
Jessica A. Benthuysen
Clara Deser
Thomas L. Frölicher
Nicole S. Lovenduski
Dillon J. Amaya
Natacha Le Grix
Tongtong Xu
Juliet Hermes
Neil J. Holbrook
Cristian Martinez-Villalobos
Simona Masina
Mathew Koll Roxy
Amandine Schaeffer
Robert W. Schlegel
Kathryn E. Smith
Chunzai Wang
author_sort Antonietta Capotondi
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Marine heatwaves have profoundly impacted marine ecosystems over large areas of the world oceans, calling for improved understanding of their dynamics and predictability. Here, we critically review the recent substantial advances in this active area of research, including the exploration of the three-dimensional structure and evolution of these extremes, their drivers, their connection with other extremes in the ocean and over land, future projections, and assessment of their predictability and current prediction skill. To make progress on predicting and projecting marine heatwaves and their impacts, a more complete mechanistic understanding of these extremes over the full ocean depth and at the relevant spatial and temporal scales is needed, together with models that can realistically capture the leading mechanisms at those scales. Sustained observing systems, as well as measuring platforms that can be rapidly deployed, are essential to achieve comprehensive event characterizations while also chronicling the evolving nature of these extremes and their impacts in our changing climate.
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spelling doaj-art-e0d63e365d4c460b953f6cf4bb1be03f2025-08-20T02:40:18ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Earth & Environment2662-44352024-11-015111710.1038/s43247-024-01806-9A global overview of marine heatwaves in a changing climateAntonietta Capotondi0Regina R. Rodrigues1Alex Sen Gupta2Jessica A. Benthuysen3Clara Deser4Thomas L. Frölicher5Nicole S. Lovenduski6Dillon J. Amaya7Natacha Le Grix8Tongtong Xu9Juliet Hermes10Neil J. Holbrook11Cristian Martinez-Villalobos12Simona Masina13Mathew Koll Roxy14Amandine Schaeffer15Robert W. Schlegel16Kathryn E. Smith17Chunzai Wang18Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado BoulderFederal University of Santa CatarinaClimate Change Research Centre and Centre for Marine Science and Innovation, University of New South WalesAustralian Institute of Marine ScienceClimate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric ResearchClimate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of BernDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences and Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado BoulderNOAA/Physical Sciences LaboratoryClimate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of BernCooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado BoulderSouth African Environmental Observation NetworkInstitute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of TasmaniaFaculty of Engineering and Science, Universidad Adolfo IbáñezCMCC Foundation—Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate ChangeCentre for Climate Change Research, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Ministry of Earth SciencesSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, UNSWLaboratoire d’Océanographie de Villefranche, Sorbonne University, CNRSMarine Biological Association of the United KingdomState Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of SciencesAbstract Marine heatwaves have profoundly impacted marine ecosystems over large areas of the world oceans, calling for improved understanding of their dynamics and predictability. Here, we critically review the recent substantial advances in this active area of research, including the exploration of the three-dimensional structure and evolution of these extremes, their drivers, their connection with other extremes in the ocean and over land, future projections, and assessment of their predictability and current prediction skill. To make progress on predicting and projecting marine heatwaves and their impacts, a more complete mechanistic understanding of these extremes over the full ocean depth and at the relevant spatial and temporal scales is needed, together with models that can realistically capture the leading mechanisms at those scales. Sustained observing systems, as well as measuring platforms that can be rapidly deployed, are essential to achieve comprehensive event characterizations while also chronicling the evolving nature of these extremes and their impacts in our changing climate.https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01806-9
spellingShingle Antonietta Capotondi
Regina R. Rodrigues
Alex Sen Gupta
Jessica A. Benthuysen
Clara Deser
Thomas L. Frölicher
Nicole S. Lovenduski
Dillon J. Amaya
Natacha Le Grix
Tongtong Xu
Juliet Hermes
Neil J. Holbrook
Cristian Martinez-Villalobos
Simona Masina
Mathew Koll Roxy
Amandine Schaeffer
Robert W. Schlegel
Kathryn E. Smith
Chunzai Wang
A global overview of marine heatwaves in a changing climate
Communications Earth & Environment
title A global overview of marine heatwaves in a changing climate
title_full A global overview of marine heatwaves in a changing climate
title_fullStr A global overview of marine heatwaves in a changing climate
title_full_unstemmed A global overview of marine heatwaves in a changing climate
title_short A global overview of marine heatwaves in a changing climate
title_sort global overview of marine heatwaves in a changing climate
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01806-9
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