Investigating the accuracy of neural networks for blood pressure prediction in the ICU

This paper reports on research which investigates the viability of artificial neural networks, used in an ICU environment, for predicting both systolic and diastolic blood pressure up to 1 h ahead. In this environment, patients often receive pharmacological intervention to increase or decrease blood...

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Main Authors: Charles J. Gillan, Bartosz Gorecki
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-01-01
Series:Informatics in Medicine Unlocked
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352914825000231
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author Charles J. Gillan
Bartosz Gorecki
author_facet Charles J. Gillan
Bartosz Gorecki
author_sort Charles J. Gillan
collection DOAJ
description This paper reports on research which investigates the viability of artificial neural networks, used in an ICU environment, for predicting both systolic and diastolic blood pressure up to 1 h ahead. In this environment, patients often receive pharmacological intervention to increase or decrease blood pressure. The physiological state of an ICU patient is therefore quite different to a hyper or hypotensive patient outside hospital, suggesting that predicting blood pressure in this environment is more challenging The work investigates whether building neural network architectures with multivariate input data is capable of predicting blood pressures in this environment. Our work uses skin temperature and heart rate readings in addition to systolic and diastolic blood pressure. Two types of neural network are explored are explored in this paper: an encoder-decoder long short-term memory architecture and, separately, a convolutional neural network architecture. The top-performing configuration, when using a 70 %–30 % train-test split of data, is a convolutional neural network model. This predicted systolic and diastolic blood pressures for a patient with an error of approximately 3.4 %. These results are at the same level of accuracy as work on blood pressure prediction outside the ICU environment. Our work shows that neural networks are a viable tool for short term prediction of arterial blood pressures in an ICU context.
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spelling doaj-art-e0d59d8f49134448a17ead564c240ba42025-08-20T02:31:16ZengElsevierInformatics in Medicine Unlocked2352-91482025-01-015510163510.1016/j.imu.2025.101635Investigating the accuracy of neural networks for blood pressure prediction in the ICUCharles J. Gillan0Bartosz Gorecki1Corresponding author.; School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering and Computer Science, Queen's University Belfast, Computer Science Building, 16A Malone Road Belfast, Northern Ireland, BT9 5BN, UKSchool of Electrical and Electronic Engineering and Computer Science, Queen's University Belfast, Computer Science Building, 16A Malone Road Belfast, Northern Ireland, BT9 5BN, UKThis paper reports on research which investigates the viability of artificial neural networks, used in an ICU environment, for predicting both systolic and diastolic blood pressure up to 1 h ahead. In this environment, patients often receive pharmacological intervention to increase or decrease blood pressure. The physiological state of an ICU patient is therefore quite different to a hyper or hypotensive patient outside hospital, suggesting that predicting blood pressure in this environment is more challenging The work investigates whether building neural network architectures with multivariate input data is capable of predicting blood pressures in this environment. Our work uses skin temperature and heart rate readings in addition to systolic and diastolic blood pressure. Two types of neural network are explored are explored in this paper: an encoder-decoder long short-term memory architecture and, separately, a convolutional neural network architecture. The top-performing configuration, when using a 70 %–30 % train-test split of data, is a convolutional neural network model. This predicted systolic and diastolic blood pressures for a patient with an error of approximately 3.4 %. These results are at the same level of accuracy as work on blood pressure prediction outside the ICU environment. Our work shows that neural networks are a viable tool for short term prediction of arterial blood pressures in an ICU context.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352914825000231
spellingShingle Charles J. Gillan
Bartosz Gorecki
Investigating the accuracy of neural networks for blood pressure prediction in the ICU
Informatics in Medicine Unlocked
title Investigating the accuracy of neural networks for blood pressure prediction in the ICU
title_full Investigating the accuracy of neural networks for blood pressure prediction in the ICU
title_fullStr Investigating the accuracy of neural networks for blood pressure prediction in the ICU
title_full_unstemmed Investigating the accuracy of neural networks for blood pressure prediction in the ICU
title_short Investigating the accuracy of neural networks for blood pressure prediction in the ICU
title_sort investigating the accuracy of neural networks for blood pressure prediction in the icu
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352914825000231
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AT bartoszgorecki investigatingtheaccuracyofneuralnetworksforbloodpressurepredictionintheicu